IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eso/journl/v44y2013i1p103-115.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

UK Tourists, the Great Recession and Irish Tourism Policy

Author

Listed:
  • Niamh Callaghan

    (The Economic and Social Research Institute)

  • Richard S. J. Tol

    (University of Sussex, United Kingdom The Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam Department of Spacial Economics, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam)

Abstract

Inbound tourism to Ireland fell sharply in 2009 and 2010. Visits to Ireland from the UK, the dominant country of origin of visitors to Ireland, did not fall faster than UK visits elsewhere. We use a pooled travel cost model for UK travellers to estimate price elasticities of tourism demand for various market segments. The proposed reduction in the travel tax, and the reduction in the VAT rate for “tourism goods and services” would lead to a modest increase in visitor numbers and expenditure. However, the increase in expenditure is small compared to the forgone tax revenue.

Suggested Citation

  • Niamh Callaghan & Richard S. J. Tol, 2013. "UK Tourists, the Great Recession and Irish Tourism Policy," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 44(1), pages 103-116.
  • Handle: RePEc:eso:journl:v:44:y:2013:i:1:p:103-115
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.esr.ie/vol44_1/05%20Callaghan%20PP%20_ESRI%20Vol%2044-1.pdf
    File Function: First version,2013
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Panayiota Lyssiotou, 2000. "Dynamic analysis of British demand for tourism abroad," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 421-436.
    2. Graham, Anne, 2000. "Demand for leisure air travel and limits to growth," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 109-118.
    3. Sarath Divisekera & Jim Deegan, 2010. "An analysis of consumption behaviour of foreign tourists in Ireland," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(13), pages 1681-1697.
    4. Njegovan, Nenad, 2006. "Elasticities of demand for leisure air travel: A system modelling approach," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 33-39.
    5. Grubb, Howard & Mason, Alexina, 2001. "Long lead-time forecasting of UK air passengers by Holt-Winters methods with damped trend," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 71-82.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zdravko Šergo & Jasmina Gržiniæ & Mirela Suèiæ Èevra, 2017. "The tourism and travel industry and its effect on the Great Recession: A multilevel survival analysis," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 35(2), pages 427-458.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fu, Xiaowen & Lei, Zheng & Wang, Kun & Yan, Jia, 2015. "Low cost carrier competition and route entry in an emerging but regulated aviation market – The case of China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 3-16.
    2. Profillidis, V. & Botzoris, G., 2015. "Air passenger transport and economic activity," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 23-27.
    3. repec:dau:papers:123456789/6792 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Zietsman, Davina & Vanderschuren, Marianne, 2014. "Analytic Hierarchy Process assessment for potential multi-airport systems – The case of Cape Town," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 41-49.
    5. Benoit Chèze & Pascal Gastineau & Julien Chevallier, 2010. "Forecasting air traffic and corresponding jet-fuel demande until 2025," Working Papers hal-02489878, HAL.
    6. Kaukin, Andrey (Каукин, Андрей), 2018. "Diagnosis of the Growth Model of the Russian Air Transportation Market: Bottlenecks and Directions of Development [Диагностика Модели Роста Российского Рынка Авиаперевозок: Узкие Места И Направлени," Working Papers 061830, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration.
    7. Agbahey, Johanes & Siddig, Khalid & Grethe, Harald, 2021. "Economy-wide effects of cross-border labor mobility: The case of Palestinian employment in Israel," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 43(5), pages 964-981.
    8. Guizzardi, Andrea & Mazzocchi, Mario, 2010. "Tourism demand for Italy and the business cycle," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 367-377.
    9. Seetaram, Neelu, 2010. "Computing airfare elasticities or opening Pandora's box," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 27-36.
    10. Fildes, Robert & Bretschneider, Stuart & Collopy, Fred & Lawrence, Michael & Stewart, Doug & Winklhofer, Heidi & Mentzer, John T. & Moon, Mark A., 2003. "Researching Sales Forecasting Practice: Commentaries and authors' response on "Conducting a Sales Forecasting Audit" by M.A. Moon, J.T. Mentzer & C.D. Smith," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 27-42.
    11. Andrea Saayman & Isabel Cortés-Jiménez, 2013. "Modelling Intercontinental Tourism Consumption in South Africa: A Systems-of-Equations Approach," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 81(4), pages 538-560, December.
    12. Marrocu, Emanuela & Paci, Raffaele & Zara, Andrea, 2015. "Micro-economic determinants of tourist expenditure: A quantile regression approach," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 13-30.
    13. Li, Gang & Song, Haiyan & Cao, Zheng & Wu, Doris Chenguang, 2013. "How competitive is Hong Kong against its competitors? An econometric study," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 247-256.
    14. Njegovan, Nenad, 2006. "Elasticities of demand for leisure air travel: A system modelling approach," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 33-39.
    15. Nieto, María Rosa & Carmona-Benítez, Rafael Bernardo, 2018. "ARIMA + GARCH + Bootstrap forecasting method applied to the airline industry," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 1-8.
    16. Maria M. De Mello & Natércia Fortuna, 2005. "Testing Alternative Dynamic Systems for Modelling Tourism Demand," CEF.UP Working Papers 0501, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
    17. Rodrigo Acuna-Agost & Eoin Thomas & Alix Lhéritier, 2021. "Price elasticity estimation for deep learning-based choice models: an application to air itinerary choices," Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(3), pages 213-226, June.
    18. Boonekamp, Thijs & Zuidberg, Joost & Burghouwt, Guillaume, 2018. "Determinants of air travel demand: The role of low-cost carriers, ethnic links and aviation-dependent employment," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 18-28.
    19. Dewansh Raheja & R. Guo & S. M. Phyoe & Y. X. Lee & Z. W. Zhong, 2017. "Air Traffic and Economic Output: Projections for ASEAN," International Journal of Business and Administrative Studies, Professor Dr. Bahaudin G. Mujtaba, vol. 3(3), pages 92-99.
    20. Antonio Núñez, 2008. "Estimating the functional form of road traffic maturity," Post-Print halshs-00323046, HAL.
    21. Sarath Divisekera, 2016. "Interdependencies of demand for international air transportation and international tourism," Tourism Economics, , vol. 22(6), pages 1191-1206, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eso:journl:v:44:y:2013:i:1:p:103-115. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Aedin Doris (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.esr.ie .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.