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Financial market risk and gold investment in an emerging market: the case of Malaysia

Author

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  • Mansor H. Ibrahim

Abstract

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to examine the relation between gold return and stock market return and whether its relation changes in times of consecutive negative market returns for an emerging market, Malaysia. Design/methodology/approach - The paper applies the autoregressive distributed model to link gold returns to stock returns with TGARCH/EGARCH error specification using daily data from August 1, 2001 to March 31, 2010, a total of 2,261 observations. Findings - A significant positive but low correlation is found between gold and once‐lagged stock returns. Moreover, consecutive negative market returns do not seem to intensify the co‐movement between the gold and stock markets as normally documented among national stock markets in times of financial turbulences. Indeed, there is some evidence that the gold market surges when faced with consecutive market declines. Practical implications - Based on these results, there are potential benefits of gold investment during periods of stock market slumps. The findings should prove useful for designing financial investment portfolios. Originality/value - The paper evaluates the role of gold from a domestic perspective, which should be more relevant to domestic investors in guarding against recurring heightened stock market risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Mansor H. Ibrahim, 2012. "Financial market risk and gold investment in an emerging market: the case of Malaysia," International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(1), pages 25-34, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:imefmp:v:5:y:2012:i:1:p:25-34
    DOI: 10.1108/17538391211216802
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    Cited by:

    1. Sabry, Saajid & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "Is gold a hedge against equity risk? Malaysian experience based on NARDL approach," MPRA Paper 91584, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Nagayev, Ruslan & Masih, Mansur, 2013. "The Role of Gold as a Hedge and Safe Haven in Shariah-Compliant Portfolios," MPRA Paper 58852, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Nihat Gümüþ & Murtala Mustapha Baba, 2024. "Unveiling the Dynamics: Exploring the Relationship between Emerging Stock Market Prices and Macroeconomic Indicators through ARDL Analysis," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 16(1), pages 24-49, June.
    4. O'Connor, Fergal A. & Lucey, Brian M. & Batten, Jonathan A. & Baur, Dirk G., 2015. "The financial economics of gold — A survey," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 186-205.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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