IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transa/v156y2022icp237-252.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Rumors in the air? Exploring public misconceptions about automated vehicles

Author

Listed:
  • Du, Manqing
  • Zhang, Tingru
  • Liu, Jinting
  • Xu, Zhigang
  • Liu, Peng

Abstract

Automated vehicles (AVs) have potential to impact transportation, mobility, and society considerably in the future. Many beliefs surrounding this technology are criticized as “misconceptions” by transport experts, developers, journalists, and communicators. Understanding how the public views these beliefs offers insights for improving public communication and policymaking. We conducted the first study on views of 24 of these beliefs, including 21 arguable misconceptions (seven optimistic beliefs, 10 pessimistic beliefs, two beliefs of low requirements for AVs, two beliefs of high requirements for AVs) and three factual misconceptions about current AVs (e.g., “AVs are already available in the market”). During June 2020, Chinese participants (N = 1209) rated their agreement with these beliefs. They reached consensus on 16 beliefs. More than 50% of participants rejected nine beliefs and supported seven beliefs. They had some misconceptions about AVs. Nearly one third believed that AVs are already available in the market. Four classes of participants emerged through latent class analysis, labeled as “don’t know” (19.2%), “neutral to positive” (32.6%), “naïve enthusiasts” (28.3%), and “sober skeptics” (19.9%). Comparison of the latter two classes demonstrated the irony that those holding more misconceptions about AVs were more receptive to AVs, whereas those holding fewer misconceptions about AVs were more skeptical about AVs. Knowing more about AVs was associated viewing AVs more negatively. Effective public communication is urgent to dispel myths about AVs and prevent AV technology from becoming controversial.

Suggested Citation

  • Du, Manqing & Zhang, Tingru & Liu, Jinting & Xu, Zhigang & Liu, Peng, 2022. "Rumors in the air? Exploring public misconceptions about automated vehicles," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 237-252.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:156:y:2022:i:c:p:237-252
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2022.01.003
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0965856422000039
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tra.2022.01.003?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lucas S. Lourenço & Claudio R. F. Vasconcelos, 2018. "Nonlinear exchange rate pass-through in Latin America," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 38(3), pages 1566-1582.
    2. Gene Rowe & George Wright, 2001. "Differences in Expert and Lay Judgments of Risk: Myth or Reality?," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 21(2), pages 341-356, April.
    3. Kim, Sung Hoo & Circella, Giovanni & Mokhtarian, Patricia L., 2019. "Identifying latent mode-use propensity segments in an all-AV era," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 192-207.
    4. Fagnant, Daniel J. & Kockelman, Kara, 2015. "Preparing a nation for autonomous vehicles: opportunities, barriers and policy recommendations," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 167-181.
    5. Peng Liu & Run Yang & Zhigang Xu, 2019. "How Safe Is Safe Enough for Self‐Driving Vehicles?," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(2), pages 315-325, February.
    6. Andrea Taylor & Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Suraje Dessai, 2014. "Climate Change Beliefs and Perceptions of Weather‐Related Changes in the United Kingdom," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(11), pages 1995-2004, November.
    7. ., 2018. "Tax reform in Latin America: a long-term assessment," Chapters, in: The Ecology of Tax Systems, chapter 9, pages 116-130, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    8. Don I. Cummings & Hazen A. J. Russell, 2018. "Glacial dispersal trains in North America," Journal of Maps, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 476-485, November.
    9. Rajagopal & Vladimir Zlatev, 2018. "Business Dynamics in North America," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-57606-0, December.
    10. Nielsen, Thomas Alexander Sick & Haustein, Sonja, 2018. "On sceptics and enthusiasts: What are the expectations towards self-driving cars?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 49-55.
    11. Wadud, Zia & MacKenzie, Don & Leiby, Paul, 2016. "Help or hindrance? The travel, energy and carbon impacts of highly automated vehicles," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1-18.
    12. Peng Jing & Gang Xu & Yuexia Chen & Yuji Shi & Fengping Zhan, 2020. "The Determinants behind the Acceptance of Autonomous Vehicles: A Systematic Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-26, February.
    13. Pettigrew, Simone & Dana, Liyuwork Mitiku & Norman, Richard, 2019. "Clusters of potential autonomous vehicles users according to propensity to use individual versus shared vehicles," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 13-20.
    14. Liu, Peng & Xu, Zhigang, 2020. "Public attitude toward self-driving vehicles on public roads: Direct experience changed ambivalent people to be more positive," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    15. Lane, Bradley W., 2019. "Revisiting ‘An unpopular essay on transportation:’ The outcomes of old myths and the implications of new technologies for the sustainability of transport," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    16. Felix Becker & Kay W. Axhausen, 2017. "Literature review on surveys investigating the acceptance of automated vehicles," Transportation, Springer, vol. 44(6), pages 1293-1306, November.
    17. Rodrigo Marçal Gandia & Fabio Antonialli & Bruna Habib Cavazza & Arthur Miranda Neto & Danilo Alves de Lima & Joel Yutaka Sugano & Isabelle Nicolai & Andre Luiz Zambalde, 2019. "Autonomous vehicles: scientometric and bibliometric review," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(1), pages 9-28, January.
    18. Linzer, Drew A. & Lewis, Jeffrey B., 2011. "poLCA: An R Package for Polytomous Variable Latent Class Analysis," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 42(i10).
    19. Wouter Poortinga & Nick F. Pidgeon, 2005. "Trust in Risk Regulation: Cause or Consequence of the Acceptability of GM Food?," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(1), pages 199-209, February.
    20. Michael Siegrist & Carmen Keller & Hans Kastenholz & Silvia Frey & Arnim Wiek, 2007. "Laypeople's and Experts' Perception of Nanotechnology Hazards," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 27(1), pages 59-69, February.
    21. Michael Blastland & Alexandra L. J. Freeman & Sander van der Linden & Theresa M. Marteau & David Spiegelhalter, 2020. "Five rules for evidence communication," Nature, Nature, vol. 587(7834), pages 362-364, November.
    22. Teresa Brell & Ralf Philipsen & Martina Ziefle, 2019. "sCARy! Risk Perceptions in Autonomous Driving: The Influence of Experience on Perceived Benefits and Barriers," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(2), pages 342-357, February.
    23. Edmond Awad & Sohan Dsouza & Richard Kim & Jonathan Schulz & Joseph Henrich & Azim Shariff & Jean-François Bonnefon & Iyad Rahwan, 2018. "The Moral Machine experiment," Nature, Nature, vol. 563(7729), pages 59-64, November.
    24. Mitu Gulati & Marcel Kahan, 2018. "Cash America and the structure of bondholder remedies," Capital Markets Law Journal, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(4), pages 570-586.
    25. De La O,Ana Lorena, 2018. "Crafting Policies to End Poverty in Latin America," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107461086.
    26. Alexandros Nikitas & Eric Tchouamou Njoya & Samir Dani, 2019. "Examining the myths of connected and autonomous vehicles: analysing the pathway to a driverless mobility paradigm," International Journal of Automotive Technology and Management, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 19(1/2), pages 10-30.
    27. Bornholt, Jennifer & Heidt, Margareta, 2019. "To Drive or not to Drive - A Critical Review regarding the Acceptance of Autonomous Vehicles," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 118704, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    28. ., 2018. "A natural experiment: the Americas," Chapters, in: A History of the Global Economy, chapter 14, pages 239-258, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    29. von der Gracht, Heiko A., 2012. "Consensus measurement in Delphi studies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 1525-1536.
    30. Liu, Peng, 2020. "Positive, negative, ambivalent, or indifferent? Exploring the structure of public attitudes toward self-driving vehicles on public roads," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 27-38.
    31. Asif Faisal & Tan Yigitcanlar & Md. Kamruzzaman & Alexander Paz, 2021. "Mapping Two Decades of Autonomous Vehicle Research: A Systematic Scientometric Analysis," Journal of Urban Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(3-4), pages 45-74, October.
    32. Kalra, Nidhi & Paddock, Susan M., 2016. "Driving to safety: How many miles of driving would it take to demonstrate autonomous vehicle reliability?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 182-193.
    33. Robert Braun & Richard Randell, 2020. "Futuramas of the present: the “driver problem” in the autonomous vehicle sociotechnical imaginary," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 7(1), pages 1-10, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cai, Yunhao & Jing, Peng & Wang, Baihui & Jiang, Chengxi & Wang, Yuan, 2023. "How does “over-hype” lead to public misconceptions about autonomous vehicles? A new insight applying causal inference," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    2. Swain, Ritwik & Truelove, Verity & Rakotonirainy, Andry & Kaye, Sherrie-Anne, 2023. "A comparison of the views of experts and the public on automated vehicles technologies and societal implications," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liu, Peng, 2020. "Positive, negative, ambivalent, or indifferent? Exploring the structure of public attitudes toward self-driving vehicles on public roads," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 27-38.
    2. Ljubi, Klara & Groznik, Aleš, 2023. "Role played by social factors and privacy concerns in autonomous vehicle adoption," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 1-15.
    3. Iwona Oleniuch, 2021. "Employees' Perception of the Difficulties of Work at Home from the Perspective of their Experience on Remote Working," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 781-796.
    4. Xing, Yingying & Zhou, Huiyu & Han, Xiao & Zhang, Meng & Lu, Jian, 2022. "What influences vulnerable road users’ perceptions of autonomous vehicles? A comparative analysis of the 2017 and 2019 Pittsburgh surveys," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    5. Li, Dun & Huang, Youlin & Qian, Lixian, 2022. "Potential adoption of robotaxi service: The roles of perceived benefits to multiple stakeholders and environmental awareness," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 120-135.
    6. Willows, Gizelle D. & October, Charnè, 2023. "Perceptions of retirement savings: Through the lens of Black amaXhosa women in South Africa," CRITICAL PERSPECTIVES ON ACCOUNTING, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    7. Hussain, Qinaat & Alhajyaseen, Wael K.M. & Adnan, Muhammad & Almallah, Mustafa & Almukdad, Abdulkarim & Alqaradawi, Mohammed, 2021. "Autonomous vehicles between anticipation and apprehension: Investigations through safety and security perceptions," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 440-451.
    8. Liu, Peng & Xu, Zhigang, 2020. "Public attitude toward self-driving vehicles on public roads: Direct experience changed ambivalent people to be more positive," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    9. Talebian, Ahmadreza & Mishra, Sabyasachee, 2022. "Unfolding the state of the adoption of connected autonomous trucks by the commercial fleet owner industry," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    10. Dai, Jingchen & Wang, Xiaokun Cara & Ma, Wenxin & Li, Ruimin, 2023. "Future transport vision propensity segments: A latent class analysis of autonomous taxi market," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    11. Ahmed, Tanjeeb & Hyland, Michael & Sarma, Navjyoth J.S. & Mitra, Suman & Ghaffar, Arash, 2020. "Quantifying the employment accessibility benefits of shared automated vehicle mobility services: Consumer welfare approach using logsums," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 221-247.
    12. Liu, Peng & Ma, Yanjiao & Zuo, Yaqing, 2019. "Self-driving vehicles: Are people willing to trade risks for environmental benefits?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 139-149.
    13. Perrine, Kenneth A. & Kockelman, Kara M. & Huang, Yantao, 2020. "Anticipating long-distance travel shifts due to self-driving vehicles," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    14. Kassens-Noor, Eva & Kotval-Karamchandani, Zeenat & Cai, Meng, 2020. "Willingness to ride and perceptions of autonomous public transit," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 92-104.
    15. Hudson, John & Orviska, Marta & Hunady, Jan, 2019. "People’s attitudes to autonomous vehicles," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 164-176.
    16. Liu, Peng & Zhang, Yawen & He, Zhen, 2019. "The effect of population age on the acceptable safety of self-driving vehicles," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 341-347.
    17. Schweitzer, Nicola & Hofmann, Rupert & Meinheit, Andreas, 2019. "Strategic customer foresight: From research to strategic decision-making using the example of highly automated vehicles," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 49-65.
    18. Zhao, Xiaoyun & Susilo, Yusak O. & Pernestål, Anna, 2022. "The dynamic and long-term changes of automated bus service adoption," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 450-463.
    19. Andreja Pucihar & Iztok Zajc & Radovan Sernec & Gregor Lenart, 2019. "Living Lab as an Ecosystem for Development, Demonstration and Assessment of Autonomous Mobility Solutions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-21, July.
    20. Tao, Tao & Cao, Jason, 2022. "Examining motivations for owning autonomous vehicles: Implications for land use and transportation," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:156:y:2022:i:c:p:237-252. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/547/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.