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Uncertainty management tensions in radical open innovation projects between established firms and startups

Author

Listed:
  • Gomes, Leonardo Augusto de Vasconcelos
  • Facin, Ana Lucia Figueiredo
  • Flechas, Ximena Alejandra
  • Maniçoba, Rafaela Ferreira
  • Farago, Fabio Emanuel
  • Moraga, Francisca Nicole Urra
  • Silva, Lucas Emmanuel Nascimento

Abstract

This study investigates how established firms and startups deal with tensions regarding uncertainty management in radical open innovation projects. Tensions might emerge for various reasons—including contradictory divergences in how managers and entrepreneurs perceive and assess an uncertainty, distinct preferences or biases regarding the optimal approach to cope with uncertainties, and difficulties coping with the non-anticipated consequences of uncertainty management. Although open innovation projects between established firms and startups represent a unique, fast-growing phenomenon crucial for accelerating innovation, current scholarship has paid less attention to these tensions and how managers and entrepreneurs cope with them. By studying 14 open innovation projects between established firms and startups in 9 companies, we identify tensions and responses to these tensions. The critical insight of our framework is that the way firms dynamically handle themselves with respect to the tensions is central to understanding why some open innovation projects lead to a positive trajectory, whereby both the established firm and startup have their goals, outcomes, expectations, and perceptions transformed. This trajectory generates effective learning for both sides, while other projects face a growing dissociation effect, which might result in failure. This study's implications and opportunities for future research are highlighted.

Suggested Citation

  • Gomes, Leonardo Augusto de Vasconcelos & Facin, Ana Lucia Figueiredo & Flechas, Ximena Alejandra & Maniçoba, Rafaela Ferreira & Farago, Fabio Emanuel & Moraga, Francisca Nicole Urra & Silva, Lucas Emm, 2025. "Uncertainty management tensions in radical open innovation projects between established firms and startups," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:214:y:2025:i:c:s0040162525000575
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124026
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