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From causal loop diagrams to future scenarios: Using the cross-impact balance method to augment understanding of urban health in Latin America

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  • Stankov, Ivana
  • Useche, Andres Felipe
  • Meisel, Jose D.
  • Montes, Felipe
  • Morais, Lidia MO.
  • Friche, Amelia AL.
  • Langellier, Brent A.
  • Hovmand, Peter
  • Sarmiento, Olga Lucia
  • Hammond, Ross A.
  • Diez Roux, Ana V.

Abstract

Urban health is shaped by a system of factors spanning multiple levels and scales, and through a complex set of interactions. Building on causal loop diagrams developed via several group model building workshops, we apply the cross-impact balance (CIB) method to understand the strength and nature of the relationships between factors in the food and transportation system, and to identify possible future urban health scenarios (i.e., permutations of factor states that impact health in cities).

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  • Stankov, Ivana & Useche, Andres Felipe & Meisel, Jose D. & Montes, Felipe & Morais, Lidia MO. & Friche, Amelia AL. & Langellier, Brent A. & Hovmand, Peter & Sarmiento, Olga Lucia & Hammond, Ross A. & , 2021. "From causal loop diagrams to future scenarios: Using the cross-impact balance method to augment understanding of urban health in Latin America," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:socmed:v:282:y:2021:i:c:s0277953621004895
    DOI: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2021.114157
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    1. Hosseinichimeh, Niyousha & MacDonald, Rod & Li, Kaigang & Fell, James C. & Haynie, Denise L. & Simons-Morton, Bruce & Banz, Barbara C. & Camenga, Deepa R. & Iannotti, Ronald J. & Curry, Leslie A. & Dz, 2022. "Mapping the complex causal mechanisms of drinking and driving behaviors among adolescents and young adults," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).

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