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Long-term portfolio investments: New insight into return and risk

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  • Abramov, Alexander
  • Radygin, Alexander
  • Chernova, Maria

Abstract

This article analyzes the impact of the increase of an investment horizon on the comparative advantages of the basic asset classes and on the principles of constructing the investment strategy. It demonstrates that the traditional approach of portfolio management theory, which states that investments in stocks are preferable over bonds in terms of their long-run risk–return trade-offs, is by no means always consistent with empirical evidence. This article proves the opposite, i.e., that for long-term investors, investments in corporate bonds are more profitable in terms of the risk–return ratio than investments in stocks, arguing in favor of strategies pursued by pension funds and other institutional investors focused primarily on investments in fixed-income instruments, including infrastructural bonds.

Suggested Citation

  • Abramov, Alexander & Radygin, Alexander & Chernova, Maria, 2015. "Long-term portfolio investments: New insight into return and risk," Russian Journal of Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(3), pages 273-293.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:rujoec:v:1:y:2015:i:3:p:273-293
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ruje.2015.12.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mehra, Rajnish & Prescott, Edward C., 1985. "The equity premium: A puzzle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(2), pages 145-161, March.
    2. A. Abramov & A. Radygin & M. Chernova & K. Akshentseva., 2015. "Effectiveness of Pension Saving Management: Theoretical and Empirical Aspects," VOPROSY ECONOMIKI, N.P. Redaktsiya zhurnala "Voprosy Economiki", vol. 7.
    3. Delong J. Bradford, 2008. "Stocks for the Long Run," The Economists' Voice, De Gruyter, vol. 5(7), pages 1-2, November.
    4. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, March.
    5. J. Bradford DeLong & Konstantin Magin, 2009. "The U.S. Equity Return Premium: Past, Present, and Future," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 23(1), pages 193-208, Winter.
    6. Roger G. Ibbotson & Peng Chen, 2003. "Long-Run Stock Returns: Participating in the Real Economy," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm354, Yale School of Management.
    7. A. Abramov & A. Radygin & M. Chernova/, 2014. "Financial Markets Regulation: Models, Evolution, Efficiency," VOPROSY ECONOMIKI, N.P. Redaktsiya zhurnala "Voprosy Economiki", vol. 2.
    8. Robertson, Donald & Wright, Stephen, 1998. "The Good News and the Bad News about Long-run Stock Market Returns," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9822, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Liudmyla Zakharkina & Maryna Abramchuk, 2018. "The Correctness Of The Capm-Model Application In The Ukrainian Reality In Terms Of Investors Financial Security," Baltic Journal of Economic Studies, Publishing house "Baltija Publishing", vol. 4(1).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    retirement savings; long-term investments; investment horizon; stock and bond returns; stock and bond investment risks; portfolio diversification;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions

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