IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/rensus/v137y2021ics1364032120308753.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A deep learning framework for building energy consumption forecast

Author

Listed:
  • Somu, Nivethitha
  • Raman M R, Gauthama
  • Ramamritham, Krithi

Abstract

Increasing global building energy demand, with the related economic and environmental impact, upsurges the need for the design of reliable energy demand forecast models. This work presents kCNN-LSTM, a deep learning framework that operates on the energy consumption data recorded at predefined intervals to provide accurate building energy consumption forecasts. kCNN-LSTM employs (i) k−means clustering – to perform cluster analysis to understand the energy consumption pattern/trend; (ii) Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) – to extract complex features with non-linear interactions that affect energy consumption; and (iii) Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks – to handle long-term dependencies through modeling temporal information in the time series data. The efficiency and applicability of kCNN-LSTM were demonstrated using a real time building energy consumption data acquired from a four-storeyed building in IIT-Bombay, India. The performance of kCNN-LSTM was compared with the k-means variant of the state-of-the-art energy demand forecast models in terms of well-known quality metrics. It is also observed that the accurate energy demand forecast provided by kCNN-LSTM due to its ability to learn the spatio-temporal dependencies in the energy consumption data makes it a suitable deep learning model for energy consumption forecast problems.

Suggested Citation

  • Somu, Nivethitha & Raman M R, Gauthama & Ramamritham, Krithi, 2021. "A deep learning framework for building energy consumption forecast," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:137:y:2021:i:c:s1364032120308753
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2020.110591
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364032120308753
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.rser.2020.110591?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Somu, Nivethitha & M R, Gauthama Raman & Ramamritham, Krithi, 2020. "A hybrid model for building energy consumption forecasting using long short term memory networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    2. Chengdong Li & Zixiang Ding & Jianqiang Yi & Yisheng Lv & Guiqing Zhang, 2018. "Deep Belief Network Based Hybrid Model for Building Energy Consumption Prediction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-26, January.
    3. Kim, Tae-Young & Cho, Sung-Bae, 2019. "Predicting residential energy consumption using CNN-LSTM neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 72-81.
    4. Rahman, Aowabin & Srikumar, Vivek & Smith, Amanda D., 2018. "Predicting electricity consumption for commercial and residential buildings using deep recurrent neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 372-385.
    5. Jain, Rishee K. & Smith, Kevin M. & Culligan, Patricia J. & Taylor, John E., 2014. "Forecasting energy consumption of multi-family residential buildings using support vector regression: Investigating the impact of temporal and spatial monitoring granularity on performance accuracy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 168-178.
    6. Molina-Solana, Miguel & Ros, María & Ruiz, M. Dolores & Gómez-Romero, Juan & Martin-Bautista, M.J., 2017. "Data science for building energy management: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 598-609.
    7. Amber, K.P. & Ahmad, R. & Aslam, M.W. & Kousar, A. & Usman, M. & Khan, M.S., 2018. "Intelligent techniques for forecasting electricity consumption of buildings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 886-893.
    8. Mat Daut, Mohammad Azhar & Hassan, Mohammad Yusri & Abdullah, Hayati & Rahman, Hasimah Abdul & Abdullah, Md Pauzi & Hussin, Faridah, 2017. "Building electrical energy consumption forecasting analysis using conventional and artificial intelligence methods: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 1108-1118.
    9. Chou, Jui-Sheng & Tran, Duc-Son, 2018. "Forecasting energy consumption time series using machine learning techniques based on usage patterns of residential householders," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 709-726.
    10. Deb, Chirag & Zhang, Fan & Yang, Junjing & Lee, Siew Eang & Shah, Kwok Wei, 2017. "A review on time series forecasting techniques for building energy consumption," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 902-924.
    11. Ciulla, G. & D'Amico, A., 2019. "Building energy performance forecasting: A multiple linear regression approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
    12. Ghimire, Sujan & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Raj, Nawin & Mi, Jianchun, 2019. "Deep solar radiation forecasting with convolutional neural network and long short-term memory network algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
    13. Xiao, Jin & Li, Yuxi & Xie, Ling & Liu, Dunhu & Huang, Jing, 2018. "A hybrid model based on selective ensemble for energy consumption forecasting in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 534-546.
    14. Bedi, Jatin & Toshniwal, Durga, 2019. "Deep learning framework to forecast electricity demand," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 1312-1326.
    15. Sadaei, Hossein Javedani & de Lima e Silva, Petrônio Cândido & Guimarães, Frederico Gadelha & Lee, Muhammad Hisyam, 2019. "Short-term load forecasting by using a combined method of convolutional neural networks and fuzzy time series," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 365-377.
    16. Wang, Wei & Hong, Tianzhen & Xu, Xiaodong & Chen, Jiayu & Liu, Ziang & Xu, Ning, 2019. "Forecasting district-scale energy dynamics through integrating building network and long short-term memory learning algorithm," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C), pages 217-230.
    17. Raza, Muhammad Qamar & Khosravi, Abbas, 2015. "A review on artificial intelligence based load demand forecasting techniques for smart grid and buildings," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 1352-1372.
    18. Federico Divina & Aude Gilson & Francisco Goméz-Vela & Miguel García Torres & José F. Torres, 2018. "Stacking Ensemble Learning for Short-Term Electricity Consumption Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-31, April.
    19. Amasyali, Kadir & El-Gohary, Nora M., 2018. "A review of data-driven building energy consumption prediction studies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1192-1205.
    20. Sehrish Malik & DoHyeun Kim, 2018. "Prediction-Learning Algorithm for Efficient Energy Consumption in Smart Buildings Based on Particle Regeneration and Velocity Boost in Particle Swarm Optimization Neural Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-21, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jianhua Deng & Ji Zeng & Songyan Mai & Bowen Jin & Bo Yuan & Yunhui You & Shifeng Lu & Mengkai Yang, 2021. "Analysis and prediction of ship energy efficiency using 6G big data internet of things and artificial intelligence technology," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 12(4), pages 824-834, August.
    2. Sekhar, Charan & Dahiya, Ratna, 2023. "Robust framework based on hybrid deep learning approach for short term load forecasting of building electricity demand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    3. Zhao, Xinxing & Li, Kainan & Ang, Candice Ke En & Cheong, Kang Hao, 2023. "A deep learning based hybrid architecture for weekly dengue incidences forecasting," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    4. Li, Wei & Becker, Denis Mike, 2021. "Day-ahead electricity price prediction applying hybrid models of LSTM-based deep learning methods and feature selection algorithms under consideration of market coupling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    5. Shangfu Wei & Xiaoqing Bai, 2022. "Multi-Step Short-Term Building Energy Consumption Forecasting Based on Singular Spectrum Analysis and Hybrid Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-21, February.
    6. Tingting Hou & Rengcun Fang & Jinrui Tang & Ganheng Ge & Dongjun Yang & Jianchao Liu & Wei Zhang, 2021. "A Novel Short-Term Residential Electric Load Forecasting Method Based on Adaptive Load Aggregation and Deep Learning Algorithms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-21, November.
    7. Diogo M. F. Izidio & Paulo S. G. de Mattos Neto & Luciano Barbosa & João F. L. de Oliveira & Manoel Henrique da Nóbrega Marinho & Guilherme Ferretti Rissi, 2021. "Evolutionary Hybrid System for Energy Consumption Forecasting for Smart Meters," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-19, March.
    8. Fang, Lei & He, Bin, 2023. "A deep learning framework using multi-feature fusion recurrent neural networks for energy consumption forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 348(C).
    9. Hu, Yuqing & Cheng, Xiaoyuan & Wang, Suhang & Chen, Jianli & Zhao, Tianxiang & Dai, Enyan, 2022. "Times series forecasting for urban building energy consumption based on graph convolutional network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
    10. Venkatraj, V. & Dixit, M.K., 2022. "Challenges in implementing data-driven approaches for building life cycle energy assessment: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    11. Mahmoud Abdelkader Bashery Abbass & Mohamed Hamdy, 2021. "A Generic Pipeline for Machine Learning Users in Energy and Buildings Domain," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-30, August.
    12. Maciej Slowik & Wieslaw Urban, 2022. "Machine Learning Short-Term Energy Consumption Forecasting for Microgrids in a Manufacturing Plant," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-16, May.
    13. Ifaei, Pouya & Nazari-Heris, Morteza & Tayerani Charmchi, Amir Saman & Asadi, Somayeh & Yoo, ChangKyoo, 2023. "Sustainable energies and machine learning: An organized review of recent applications and challenges," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    14. Lee, Junsoo & Kim, Tae Wan & Koo, Choongwan, 2022. "A novel process model for developing a scalable room-level energy benchmark using real-time bigdata: Focused on identifying representative energy usage patterns," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jason Runge & Radu Zmeureanu, 2021. "A Review of Deep Learning Techniques for Forecasting Energy Use in Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-26, January.
    2. Razak Olu-Ajayi & Hafiz Alaka & Hakeem Owolabi & Lukman Akanbi & Sikiru Ganiyu, 2023. "Data-Driven Tools for Building Energy Consumption Prediction: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-20, March.
    3. Ding, Zhikun & Chen, Weilin & Hu, Ting & Xu, Xiaoxiao, 2021. "Evolutionary double attention-based long short-term memory model for building energy prediction: Case study of a green building," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    4. Zhang, Liang & Wen, Jin & Li, Yanfei & Chen, Jianli & Ye, Yunyang & Fu, Yangyang & Livingood, William, 2021. "A review of machine learning in building load prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    5. Sunil Kumar Mohapatra & Sushruta Mishra & Hrudaya Kumar Tripathy & Akash Kumar Bhoi & Paolo Barsocchi, 2021. "A Pragmatic Investigation of Energy Consumption and Utilization Models in the Urban Sector Using Predictive Intelligence Approaches," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-28, June.
    6. Venkatraj, V. & Dixit, M.K., 2022. "Challenges in implementing data-driven approaches for building life cycle energy assessment: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    7. Federico Divina & Miguel García Torres & Francisco A. Goméz Vela & José Luis Vázquez Noguera, 2019. "A Comparative Study of Time Series Forecasting Methods for Short Term Electric Energy Consumption Prediction in Smart Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-23, May.
    8. Liu, Che & Sun, Bo & Zhang, Chenghui & Li, Fan, 2020. "A hybrid prediction model for residential electricity consumption using holt-winters and extreme learning machine," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    9. Ijaz Ul Haq & Amin Ullah & Samee Ullah Khan & Noman Khan & Mi Young Lee & Seungmin Rho & Sung Wook Baik, 2021. "Sequential Learning-Based Energy Consumption Prediction Model for Residential and Commercial Sectors," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-17, March.
    10. Chou, Jui-Sheng & Tran, Duc-Son, 2018. "Forecasting energy consumption time series using machine learning techniques based on usage patterns of residential householders," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 709-726.
    11. Gautham Krishnadas & Aristides Kiprakis, 2020. "A Machine Learning Pipeline for Demand Response Capacity Scheduling," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-25, April.
    12. Guillaume Guerard & Hugo Pousseur & Ihab Taleb, 2021. "Isolated Areas Consumption Short-Term Forecasting Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-23, November.
    13. Chakraborty, Debaditya & Alam, Arafat & Chaudhuri, Saptarshi & Başağaoğlu, Hakan & Sulbaran, Tulio & Langar, Sandeep, 2021. "Scenario-based prediction of climate change impacts on building cooling energy consumption with explainable artificial intelligence," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    14. Tang, Lingfeng & Xie, Haipeng & Wang, Xiaoyang & Bie, Zhaohong, 2023. "Privacy-preserving knowledge sharing for few-shot building energy prediction: A federated learning approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 337(C).
    15. O’Dwyer, Edward & Pan, Indranil & Acha, Salvador & Shah, Nilay, 2019. "Smart energy systems for sustainable smart cities: Current developments, trends and future directions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 581-597.
    16. Khan, Waqas & Liao, Juo Yu & Walker, Shalika & Zeiler, Wim, 2022. "Impact assessment of varied data granularities from commercial buildings on exploration and learning mechanism," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 319(C).
    17. Lu, Hongfang & Cheng, Feifei & Ma, Xin & Hu, Gang, 2020. "Short-term prediction of building energy consumption employing an improved extreme gradient boosting model: A case study of an intake tower," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    18. Fath U Min Ullah & Noman Khan & Tanveer Hussain & Mi Young Lee & Sung Wook Baik, 2021. "Diving Deep into Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting: Comparative Analysis and a Novel Framework," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-22, March.
    19. Wenting Zhao & Juanjuan Zhao & Xilong Yao & Zhixin Jin & Pan Wang, 2019. "A Novel Adaptive Intelligent Ensemble Model for Forecasting Primary Energy Demand," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-28, April.
    20. Kasım Zor & Özgür Çelik & Oğuzhan Timur & Ahmet Teke, 2020. "Short-Term Building Electrical Energy Consumption Forecasting by Employing Gene Expression Programming and GMDH Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-24, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:137:y:2021:i:c:s1364032120308753. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/600126/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.