IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v348y2023ics0306261923009273.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A deep learning framework using multi-feature fusion recurrent neural networks for energy consumption forecasting

Author

Listed:
  • Fang, Lei
  • He, Bin

Abstract

Accurate energy load forecasting can not only provide favorable conditions for ensuring energy security but also reduce carbon emissions and thereby slow down the process of global warming. With the continuous construction of smart grids, energy consumption information can be easily obtained, which provides a good foundation for forecasting work. In the household energy consumption forecasting field, the current mainstream methods combine signal processing with artificial intelligence methods to improve forecasting accuracy. However, due to differences in residents' daily habits and sensor errors, the energy consumption data of individual households exhibit high volatility and contain noise. Existing methods' accuracy, robustness, generalization ability, and efficiency are challenged when considering multi-time scales and multi-samples. Based on this, this paper proposes a deep learning framework using multi-feature fusion recurrent neural networks for univariate energy consumption data. The proposed framework employs improved Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) and multivariate input recurrent neural network (RNN). To verify the effectiveness of the proposed framework, a series of comparative experiments were conducted on the Moroccan buildings' electricity consumption dataset (MORED). Experiments reveal that the proposed framework achieves adaptive decomposition of raw time series data and multi-feature fusion input. Moreover, under the evaluation of multiple metrics, the proposed framework outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in terms of forecasting accuracy, robustness, generalization ability, and efficiency.

Suggested Citation

  • Fang, Lei & He, Bin, 2023. "A deep learning framework using multi-feature fusion recurrent neural networks for energy consumption forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 348(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:348:y:2023:i:c:s0306261923009273
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121563
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261923009273
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.121563?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nsangou, Jean Calvin & Kenfack, Joseph & Nzotcha, Urbain & Ngohe Ekam, Paul Salomon & Voufo, Joseph & Tamo, Thomas T., 2022. "Explaining household electricity consumption using quantile regression, decision tree and artificial neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    2. Alobaidi, Mohammad H. & Chebana, Fateh & Meguid, Mohamed A., 2018. "Robust ensemble learning framework for day-ahead forecasting of household based energy consumption," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 997-1012.
    3. Mohamed Aymane Ahajjam & Daniel Bonilla Licea & Chaimaa Essayeh & Mounir Ghogho & Abdellatif Kobbane, 2020. "MORED: A Moroccan Buildings’ Electricity Consumption Dataset," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-22, December.
    4. Xiao, Jin & Li, Yuxi & Xie, Ling & Liu, Dunhu & Huang, Jing, 2018. "A hybrid model based on selective ensemble for energy consumption forecasting in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 534-546.
    5. Dong, Hanjiang & Zhu, Jizhong & Li, Shenglin & Wu, Wanli & Zhu, Haohao & Fan, Junwei, 2023. "Short-term residential household reactive power forecasting considering active power demand via deep Transformer sequence-to-sequence networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 329(C).
    6. Lange, Jelto & Kaltschmitt, Martin, 2022. "Probabilistic day-ahead forecast of available thermal storage capacities in residential households," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
    7. Somu, Nivethitha & Raman M R, Gauthama & Ramamritham, Krithi, 2021. "A deep learning framework for building energy consumption forecast," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    8. Wei, Nan & Li, Changjun & Peng, Xiaolong & Li, Yang & Zeng, Fanhua, 2019. "Daily natural gas consumption forecasting via the application of a novel hybrid model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 358-368.
    9. Somu, Nivethitha & M R, Gauthama Raman & Ramamritham, Krithi, 2020. "A hybrid model for building energy consumption forecasting using long short term memory networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    10. Amber, K.P. & Ahmad, R. & Aslam, M.W. & Kousar, A. & Usman, M. & Khan, M.S., 2018. "Intelligent techniques for forecasting electricity consumption of buildings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 886-893.
    11. Ivana Kiprijanovska & Simon Stankoski & Igor Ilievski & Slobodan Jovanovski & Matjaž Gams & Hristijan Gjoreski, 2020. "HousEEC: Day-Ahead Household Electrical Energy Consumption Forecasting Using Deep Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-29, May.
    12. Yang, Wangwang & Shi, Jing & Li, Shujian & Song, Zhaofang & Zhang, Zitong & Chen, Zexu, 2022. "A combined deep learning load forecasting model of single household resident user considering multi-time scale electricity consumption behavior," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
    13. Ahajjam, Mohamed Aymane & Bonilla Licea, Daniel & Ghogho, Mounir & Kobbane, Abdellatif, 2022. "Experimental investigation of variational mode decomposition and deep learning for short-term multi-horizon residential electric load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
    14. Hewamalage, Hansika & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bandara, Kasun, 2021. "Recurrent Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting: Current status and future directions," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 388-427.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hesen Zuo & Wengang Zheng & Mingfei Wang & Xin Zhang, 2023. "Prediction of Heat and Cold Loads of Factory Mushroom Houses Based on EWT Decomposition," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-19, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liu, Che & Li, Fan & Zhang, Chenghui & Sun, Bo & Zhang, Guanguan, 2023. "A day-ahead prediction method for high-resolution electricity consumption in residential units," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    2. Venkatraj, V. & Dixit, M.K., 2022. "Challenges in implementing data-driven approaches for building life cycle energy assessment: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    3. Ramos, Paulo Vitor B. & Villela, Saulo Moraes & Silva, Walquiria N. & Dias, Bruno H., 2023. "Residential energy consumption forecasting using deep learning models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
    4. Somu, Nivethitha & Raman M R, Gauthama & Ramamritham, Krithi, 2021. "A deep learning framework for building energy consumption forecast," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    5. Wu, Han & Liang, Yan & Heng, Jiani, 2023. "Pulse-diagnosis-inspired multi-feature extraction deep network for short-term electricity load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 339(C).
    6. Tsoumalis, Georgios I. & Bampos, Zafeirios N. & Chatzis, Georgios V. & Biskas, Pandelis N. & Keranidis, Stratos D., 2021. "Minimization of natural gas consumption of domestic boilers with convolutional, long-short term memory neural networks and genetic algorithm," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
    7. Chakraborty, Debaditya & Alam, Arafat & Chaudhuri, Saptarshi & Başağaoğlu, Hakan & Sulbaran, Tulio & Langar, Sandeep, 2021. "Scenario-based prediction of climate change impacts on building cooling energy consumption with explainable artificial intelligence," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    8. Fathi, Soheil & Srinivasan, Ravi & Fenner, Andriel & Fathi, Sahand, 2020. "Machine learning applications in urban building energy performance forecasting: A systematic review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    9. Xin Ma & Yubin Cai & Hong Yuan & Yanqiao Deng, 2023. "Partially Linear Component Support Vector Machine for Primary Energy Consumption Forecasting of the Electric Power Sector in the United States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-26, April.
    10. Razak Olu-Ajayi & Hafiz Alaka & Hakeem Owolabi & Lukman Akanbi & Sikiru Ganiyu, 2023. "Data-Driven Tools for Building Energy Consumption Prediction: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-20, March.
    11. Bampoulas, Adamantios & Pallonetto, Fabiano & Mangina, Eleni & Finn, Donal P., 2022. "An ensemble learning-based framework for assessing the energy flexibility of residential buildings with multicomponent energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 315(C).
    12. Jason Runge & Radu Zmeureanu, 2021. "A Review of Deep Learning Techniques for Forecasting Energy Use in Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-26, January.
    13. Lu, Hongfang & Cheng, Feifei & Ma, Xin & Hu, Gang, 2020. "Short-term prediction of building energy consumption employing an improved extreme gradient boosting model: A case study of an intake tower," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    14. Kamel, Ehsan & Sheikh, Shaya & Huang, Xueqing, 2020. "Data-driven predictive models for residential building energy use based on the segregation of heating and cooling days," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    15. Mobarak Abumohsen & Amani Yousef Owda & Majdi Owda, 2023. "Electrical Load Forecasting Using LSTM, GRU, and RNN Algorithms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-31, February.
    16. Zheng, Peijun & Zhou, Heng & Liu, Jiang & Nakanishi, Yosuke, 2023. "Interpretable building energy consumption forecasting using spectral clustering algorithm and temporal fusion transformers architecture," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 349(C).
    17. Fekri, Mohammad Navid & Patel, Harsh & Grolinger, Katarina & Sharma, Vinay, 2021. "Deep learning for load forecasting with smart meter data: Online Adaptive Recurrent Neural Network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).
    18. Marek Vochozka & Jaromir Vrbka & Petr Suler, 2020. "Bankruptcy or Success? The Effective Prediction of a Company’s Financial Development Using LSTM," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-17, September.
    19. Fatemi Bushehri, Seyyed Mohammad Mehdi & Dehghan Khavari, Saeed & Mirjalili, Seyed Hossein & Babaei Meybodi, Hamid & Sardari Zarchi, Mohsen, 2022. "Energy Consumption Prediction in Iran: A Hybrid Machine Learning and Genetic Algorithm Method with Sustainable Development Considerations," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 6(2).
    20. Yong Wang & Nan Wei & Dejun Wan & Shouxi Wang & Zongming Yuan, 2019. "Numerical Simulation for Preheating New Submarine Hot Oil Pipelines," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-26, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:348:y:2023:i:c:s0306261923009273. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.