IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v201y2022ip1p1200-1212.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Statistical analysis of electricity supply deficits from renewable energy sources across an Alpine transect

Author

Listed:
  • François, B.
  • Puspitarini, H.D.
  • Volpi, E.
  • Borga, M.

Abstract

While most of renewable integration studies rely on indicators that are integrated in time, little is known about the statistical properties of the electricity supply deficit periods. This study investigates the frequency and intensity of the electricity supply deficit using the Complete-Time-Analysis (CTA), an approach that allows assessing recurrence intervals of values over thresholds. Conversely to typical extreme analysis, CTA makes uses of the entire time series rather than only using values above the chosen thresholds. As such, it is suitable for short length time series and does not require the independence of the events above thresholds. Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curves are derived for the considered renewable sources and the role of the complementarity among sources and the use of electricity storage is investigated to reduce the occurrence of electricity supply deficit. The approach is illustrated for a region in North-Eastern Italy where solar photovoltaic (PV) and small run-of the river (RoR) hydropower are the main sources of electricity. Our results highlight that solar PV and small electricity storage capacities are effective to reduce significantly the occurrence of deficits, and RoR hydropower and large electricity storage is more effective to prevent long periods of deficit from happening.

Suggested Citation

  • François, B. & Puspitarini, H.D. & Volpi, E. & Borga, M., 2022. "Statistical analysis of electricity supply deficits from renewable energy sources across an Alpine transect," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(P1), pages 1200-1212.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:201:y:2022:i:p1:p:1200-1212
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2022.10.125
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148122016275
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2022.10.125?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. François, B. & Borga, M. & Creutin, J.D. & Hingray, B. & Raynaud, D. & Sauterleute, J.F., 2016. "Complementarity between solar and hydro power: Sensitivity study to climate characteristics in Northern-Italy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 543-553.
    2. Plain, N. & Hingray, B. & Mathy, S., 2019. "Accounting for low solar resource days to size 100% solar microgrids power systems in Africa," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 448-458.
    3. Baptiste François & Sara Martino & Lena S. Tøfte & Benoit Hingray & Birger Mo & Jean-Dominique Creutin, 2017. "Effects of Increased Wind Power Generation on Mid-Norway’s Energy Balance under Climate Change: A Market Based Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-18, February.
    4. Glassmire, John & Komor, Paul & Lilienthal, Peter, 2012. "Electricity demand savings from distributed solar photovoltaics," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 323-331.
    5. Raynaud, D. & Hingray, B. & François, B. & Creutin, J.D., 2018. "Energy droughts from variable renewable energy sources in European climates," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 578-589.
    6. Wang, Yaoping & Bielicki, Jeffrey M., 2018. "Acclimation and the response of hourly electricity loads to meteorological variables," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 473-485.
    7. Engeland, Kolbjørn & Borga, Marco & Creutin, Jean-Dominique & François, Baptiste & Ramos, Maria-Helena & Vidal, Jean-Philippe, 2017. "Space-time variability of climate variables and intermittent renewable electricity production – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 600-617.
    8. Handriyanti Diah Puspitarini & Baptiste François & Marco Baratieri & Casey Brown & Mattia Zaramella & Marco Borga, 2020. "Complementarity between Combined Heat and Power Systems, Solar PV and Hydropower at a District Level: Sensitivity to Climate Characteristics along an Alpine Transect," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-19, August.
    9. Heide, Dominik & von Bremen, Lueder & Greiner, Martin & Hoffmann, Clemens & Speckmann, Markus & Bofinger, Stefan, 2010. "Seasonal optimal mix of wind and solar power in a future, highly renewable Europe," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(11), pages 2483-2489.
    10. Weitemeyer, Stefan & Kleinhans, David & Vogt, Thomas & Agert, Carsten, 2015. "Integration of Renewable Energy Sources in future power systems: The role of storage," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 14-20.
    11. Höltinger, Stefan & Mikovits, Christian & Schmidt, Johannes & Baumgartner, Johann & Arheimer, Berit & Lindström, Göran & Wetterlund, Elisabeth, 2019. "The impact of climatic extreme events on the feasibility of fully renewable power systems: A case study for Sweden," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 695-713.
    12. Staffell, Iain & Pfenninger, Stefan, 2018. "The increasing impact of weather on electricity supply and demand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 65-78.
    13. Burgholzer, Bettina & Auer, Hans, 2016. "Cost/benefit analysis of transmission grid expansion to enable further integration of renewable electricity generation in Austria," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 189-196.
    14. Pascal Hänggi & Rolf Weingartner, 2012. "Variations in Discharge Volumes for Hydropower Generation in Switzerland," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(5), pages 1231-1252, March.
    15. Hanieh Seyedhashemi & Benoît Hingray & Christophe Lavaysse & Théo Chamarande, 2021. "The Impact of Low-Resource Periods on the Reliability of Wind Power Systems for Rural Electrification in Africa," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-18, May.
    16. François, B. & Hingray, B. & Raynaud, D. & Borga, M. & Creutin, J.D., 2016. "Increasing climate-related-energy penetration by integrating run-of-the river hydropower to wind/solar mix," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(P1), pages 686-696.
    17. Ohlendorf, Nils & Schill, Wolf-Peter, 2020. "Frequency and duration of low-wind-power events in Germany," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 15(8).
    18. François, B. & Zoccatelli, D. & Borga, M., 2017. "Assessing small hydro/solar power complementarity in ungauged mountainous areas: A crash test study for hydrological prediction methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 716-729.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Martin Kittel & Wolf-Peter Schill, 2024. "Measuring the Dunkelflaute: How (not) to analyze variable renewable energy shortage," Papers 2402.06758, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Handriyanti Diah Puspitarini & Baptiste François & Marco Baratieri & Casey Brown & Mattia Zaramella & Marco Borga, 2020. "Complementarity between Combined Heat and Power Systems, Solar PV and Hydropower at a District Level: Sensitivity to Climate Characteristics along an Alpine Transect," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-19, August.
    2. Baptiste François & Benoit Hingray & Marco Borga & Davide Zoccatelli & Casey Brown & Jean-Dominique Creutin, 2018. "Impact of Climate Change on Combined Solar and Run-of-River Power in Northern Italy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.
    3. Hanieh Seyedhashemi & Benoît Hingray & Christophe Lavaysse & Théo Chamarande, 2021. "The Impact of Low-Resource Periods on the Reliability of Wind Power Systems for Rural Electrification in Africa," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-18, May.
    4. Emmanouil, Stergios & Nikolopoulos, Efthymios I. & François, Baptiste & Brown, Casey & Anagnostou, Emmanouil N., 2021. "Evaluating existing water supply reservoirs as small-scale pumped hydroelectric storage options – A case study in Connecticut," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    5. François, B. & Zoccatelli, D. & Borga, M., 2017. "Assessing small hydro/solar power complementarity in ungauged mountainous areas: A crash test study for hydrological prediction methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 716-729.
    6. Bracken, Cameron & Voisin, Nathalie & Burleyson, Casey D. & Campbell, Allison M. & Hou, Z. Jason & Broman, Daniel, 2024. "Standardized benchmark of historical compound wind and solar energy droughts across the Continental United States," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    7. François, B. & Hingray, B. & Raynaud, D. & Borga, M. & Creutin, J.D., 2016. "Increasing climate-related-energy penetration by integrating run-of-the river hydropower to wind/solar mix," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(P1), pages 686-696.
    8. Canales, Fausto A. & Jurasz, Jakub & Beluco, Alexandre & Kies, Alexander, 2020. "Assessing temporal complementarity between three variable energy sources through correlation and compromise programming," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    9. Engeland, Kolbjørn & Borga, Marco & Creutin, Jean-Dominique & François, Baptiste & Ramos, Maria-Helena & Vidal, Jean-Philippe, 2017. "Space-time variability of climate variables and intermittent renewable electricity production – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 600-617.
    10. Plain, N. & Hingray, B. & Mathy, S., 2019. "Accounting for low solar resource days to size 100% solar microgrids power systems in Africa," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 448-458.
    11. Otero, Noelia & Martius, Olivia & Allen, Sam & Bloomfield, Hannah & Schaefli, Bettina, 2022. "A copula-based assessment of renewable energy droughts across Europe," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(P1), pages 667-677.
    12. Chattopadhyay, Kabitri & Kies, Alexander & Lorenz, Elke & von Bremen, Lüder & Heinemann, Detlev, 2017. "The impact of different PV module configurations on storage and additional balancing needs for a fully renewable European power system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 176-189.
    13. Ming, Bo & Liu, Pan & Guo, Shenglian & Cheng, Lei & Zhou, Yanlai & Gao, Shida & Li, He, 2018. "Robust hydroelectric unit commitment considering integration of large-scale photovoltaic power: A case study in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 1341-1352.
    14. Alexander Kies & Bruno U. Schyska & Lueder Von Bremen, 2016. "The Demand Side Management Potential to Balance a Highly Renewable European Power System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-14, November.
    15. Mads Raunbak & Timo Zeyer & Kun Zhu & Martin Greiner, 2017. "Principal Mismatch Patterns Across a Simplified Highly Renewable European Electricity Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-13, November.
    16. Alexis Tantet & Marc Stéfanon & Philippe Drobinski & Jordi Badosa & Silvia Concettini & Anna Cretì & Claudia D’Ambrosio & Dimitri Thomopulos & Peter Tankov, 2019. "e 4 clim 1.0: The Energy for a Climate Integrated Model: Description and Application to Italy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-37, November.
    17. Chu, Cheng-Ta & Hawkes, Adam D., 2020. "Optimal mix of climate-related energy in global electricity systems," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 955-963.
    18. Schyska, Bruno U. & Kies, Alexander, 2020. "How regional differences in cost of capital influence the optimal design of power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    19. Jiang, Haiyang & Du, Ershun & He, Boyu & Zhang, Ning & Wang, Peng & Li, Fuqiang & Ji, Jie, 2023. "Analysis and modeling of seasonal characteristics of renewable energy generation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(P1).
    20. François, B., 2016. "Influence of winter North-Atlantic Oscillation on Climate-Related-Energy penetration in Europe," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 602-613.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:201:y:2022:i:p1:p:1200-1212. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.