IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v180y2021icp1114-1123.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modelling global solar irradiance for any location on earth through regression analysis using high-resolution data

Author

Listed:
  • Arumugham, Dinesh Rajan
  • Rajendran, Parvathy

Abstract

The focus of this study is to develop a highly accurate formulation to estimate the day number (DN), solar declination angle (SOLDEC), solar altitude angle (SOLALT) and also to predict the diffuse horizontal irradiance (DHI), direct normal irradiance (DNI) and global horizontal irradiance (GHI) for any location around the world at any time of the day for both short term and long term periods. Regression analysis is done using continuous 12 years of satellite measured historical solar irradiance, weather and solar angle data in the temporal resolution of 10 min for 12 cities around the world such as Kuala Lumpur, Auckland, Tokyo, Riyadh, London, Accra, Antananarivo, Brasilia, Lima, Quito, Ottawa and Honolulu. The models generated through the regression analysis perform better than existing models in predicting the solar irradiance, hence, these models are efficient and reliable for universal global application.

Suggested Citation

  • Arumugham, Dinesh Rajan & Rajendran, Parvathy, 2021. "Modelling global solar irradiance for any location on earth through regression analysis using high-resolution data," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 1114-1123.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:180:y:2021:i:c:p:1114-1123
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2021.09.030
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148121013288
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2021.09.030?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Munir Husein & Il-Yop Chung, 2019. "Day-Ahead Solar Irradiance Forecasting for Microgrids Using a Long Short-Term Memory Recurrent Neural Network: A Deep Learning Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-21, May.
    2. Li, Jiaming & Ward, John K. & Tong, Jingnan & Collins, Lyle & Platt, Glenn, 2016. "Machine learning for solar irradiance forecasting of photovoltaic system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 542-553.
    3. Yang, Dazhi & Gu, Chaojun & Dong, Zibo & Jirutitijaroen, Panida & Chen, Nan & Walsh, Wilfred M., 2013. "Solar irradiance forecasting using spatial-temporal covariance structures and time-forward kriging," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 235-245.
    4. Zhiyong Tian & Bengt Perers & Simon Furbo & Jianhua Fan & Jie Deng & Janne Dragsted, 2018. "A Comprehensive Approach for Modelling Horizontal Diffuse Radiation, Direct Normal Irradiance and Total Tilted Solar Radiation Based on Global Radiation under Danish Climate Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-19, May.
    5. Fei Wang & Zengqiang Mi & Shi Su & Hongshan Zhao, 2012. "Short-Term Solar Irradiance Forecasting Model Based on Artificial Neural Network Using Statistical Feature Parameters," Energies, MDPI, vol. 5(5), pages 1-16, May.
    6. McCandless, T.C. & Haupt, S.E. & Young, G.S., 2016. "A regime-dependent artificial neural network technique for short-range solar irradiance forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 351-359.
    7. Cristian Crisosto & Martin Hofmann & Riyad Mubarak & Gunther Seckmeyer, 2018. "One-Hour Prediction of the Global Solar Irradiance from All-Sky Images Using Artificial Neural Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-16, October.
    8. Hsu-Yung Cheng & Chih-Chang Yu & Kuo-Chang Hsu & Chi-Chang Chan & Mei-Hui Tseng & Chih-Lung Lin, 2019. "Estimating Solar Irradiance on Tilted Surface with Arbitrary Orientations and Tilt Angles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-14, April.
    9. Zambrano, Andres Felipe & Giraldo, Luis Felipe, 2020. "Solar irradiance forecasting models without on-site training measurements," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 557-566.
    10. Leocadio Hontoria & Catalina Rus-Casas & Juan Domingo Aguilar & Jesús C. Hernandez, 2019. "An Improved Method for Obtaining Solar Irradiation Data at Temporal High-Resolution," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-15, September.
    11. Trapero, Juan R. & Kourentzes, Nikolaos & Martin, A., 2015. "Short-term solar irradiation forecasting based on Dynamic Harmonic Regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 289-295.
    12. Hussein Al-Taani & Sameer Arabasi, 2018. "Solar Irradiance Measurements Using Smart Devices: A Cost-Effective Technique for Estimation of Solar Irradiance for Sustainable Energy Systems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-11, February.
    13. Jessica Wojtkiewicz & Matin Hosseini & Raju Gottumukkala & Terrence Lynn Chambers, 2019. "Hour-Ahead Solar Irradiance Forecasting Using Multivariate Gated Recurrent Units," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-13, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yang, Mao & Zhao, Meng & Huang, Dawei & Su, Xin, 2022. "A composite framework for photovoltaic day-ahead power prediction based on dual clustering of dynamic time warping distance and deep autoencoder," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 659-673.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hanany Tolba & Nouha Dkhili & Julien Nou & Julien Eynard & Stéphane Thil & Stéphane Grieu, 2020. "Multi-Horizon Forecasting of Global Horizontal Irradiance Using Online Gaussian Process Regression: A Kernel Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-23, August.
    2. Giorgio Guariso & Giuseppe Nunnari & Matteo Sangiorgio, 2020. "Multi-Step Solar Irradiance Forecasting and Domain Adaptation of Deep Neural Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-18, August.
    3. Majid Hosseini & Satya Katragadda & Jessica Wojtkiewicz & Raju Gottumukkala & Anthony Maida & Terrence Lynn Chambers, 2020. "Direct Normal Irradiance Forecasting Using Multivariate Gated Recurrent Units," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-15, July.
    4. Ping-Huan Kuo & Chiou-Jye Huang, 2018. "A Green Energy Application in Energy Management Systems by an Artificial Intelligence-Based Solar Radiation Forecasting Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-15, April.
    5. Vu, Ba Hau & Chung, Il-Yop, 2022. "Optimal generation scheduling and operating reserve management for PV generation using RNN-based forecasting models for stand-alone microgrids," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 1137-1154.
    6. Cervone, Guido & Clemente-Harding, Laura & Alessandrini, Stefano & Delle Monache, Luca, 2017. "Short-term photovoltaic power forecasting using Artificial Neural Networks and an Analog Ensemble," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 274-286.
    7. Konstantinos Blazakis & Yiannis Katsigiannis & Georgios Stavrakakis, 2022. "One-Day-Ahead Solar Irradiation and Windspeed Forecasting with Advanced Deep Learning Techniques," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-25, June.
    8. YoungHyun Koo & Myeongchan Oh & Sung-Min Kim & Hyeong-Dong Park, 2020. "Estimation and Mapping of Solar Irradiance for Korea by Using COMS MI Satellite Images and an Artificial Neural Network Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-19, January.
    9. Gupta, Priya & Singh, Rhythm, 2023. "Combining a deep learning model with multivariate empirical mode decomposition for hourly global horizontal irradiance forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 908-927.
    10. Fateh Mehazzem & Maina André & Rudy Calif, 2022. "Efficient Output Photovoltaic Power Prediction Based on MPPT Fuzzy Logic Technique and Solar Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Approach in a Tropical Insular Region," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-21, November.
    11. Chih-Chiang Wei, 2019. "Evaluation of Photovoltaic Power Generation by Using Deep Learning in Solar Panels Installed in Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-18, September.
    12. Jessica Wojtkiewicz & Matin Hosseini & Raju Gottumukkala & Terrence Lynn Chambers, 2019. "Hour-Ahead Solar Irradiance Forecasting Using Multivariate Gated Recurrent Units," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-13, October.
    13. Pedregal, Diego J. & Trapero, Juan R., 2021. "Adjusted combination of moving averages: A forecasting system for medium-term solar irradiance," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    14. Si-Ya Wang & Jun Qiu & Fang-Fang Li, 2018. "Hybrid Decomposition-Reconfiguration Models for Long-Term Solar Radiation Prediction Only Using Historical Radiation Records," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-17, May.
    15. Theo, Wai Lip & Lim, Jeng Shiun & Ho, Wai Shin & Hashim, Haslenda & Lee, Chew Tin, 2017. "Review of distributed generation (DG) system planning and optimisation techniques: Comparison of numerical and mathematical modelling methods," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 531-573.
    16. Varaha Satra Bharath Kurukuru & Ahteshamul Haque & Mohammed Ali Khan & Subham Sahoo & Azra Malik & Frede Blaabjerg, 2021. "A Review on Artificial Intelligence Applications for Grid-Connected Solar Photovoltaic Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-35, August.
    17. Wang, Fei & Lu, Xiaoxing & Mei, Shengwei & Su, Ying & Zhen, Zhao & Zou, Zubing & Zhang, Xuemin & Yin, Rui & Duić, Neven & Shafie-khah, Miadreza & Catalão, João P.S., 2022. "A satellite image data based ultra-short-term solar PV power forecasting method considering cloud information from neighboring plant," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    18. Rial A. Rajagukguk & Raden A. A. Ramadhan & Hyun-Jin Lee, 2020. "A Review on Deep Learning Models for Forecasting Time Series Data of Solar Irradiance and Photovoltaic Power," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-23, December.
    19. N. Yogambal Jayalakshmi & R. Shankar & Umashankar Subramaniam & I. Baranilingesan & Alagar Karthick & Balasubramaniam Stalin & Robbi Rahim & Aritra Ghosh, 2021. "Novel Multi-Time Scale Deep Learning Algorithm for Solar Irradiance Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-23, April.
    20. Pin Li & Jinsuo Zhang, 2019. "Is China’s Energy Supply Sustainable? New Research Model Based on the Exponential Smoothing and GM(1,1) Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-30, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:180:y:2021:i:c:p:1114-1123. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.