IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v118y2018icp425-436.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Simulation of transcontinental wind and solar PV generation time series

Author

Listed:
  • Nuño, Edgar
  • Maule, Petr
  • Hahmann, Andrea
  • Cutululis, Nicolaos
  • Sørensen, Poul
  • Karagali, Ioanna

Abstract

The deployment of Renewable Energy Sources (RES) is driving modern power systems towards a fundamental green transition. In this regard, there is a need to develop models to accurately capture the variability of wind and solar photovoltaic (PV) power, at different geographical and temporal scales. This paper presents a general methodology based on meteorological reanalysis techniques allowing to simulate aggregated RES time series over large geographical areas. It also introduces a novel PV conversion approach based on aggregated power curves in order to capture the uncertainty associated to the technical characteristics of individual installations spread across large regions. The proposed methodology is validated using actual power data in Europe and can be applied to represent intermittent generation in network development plans, reliability and market studies, as well as operational guidelines.

Suggested Citation

  • Nuño, Edgar & Maule, Petr & Hahmann, Andrea & Cutululis, Nicolaos & Sørensen, Poul & Karagali, Ioanna, 2018. "Simulation of transcontinental wind and solar PV generation time series," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 425-436.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:118:y:2018:i:c:p:425-436
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2017.11.039
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148117311400
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2017.11.039?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lingfors, D. & Widén, J., 2016. "Development and validation of a wide-area model of hourly aggregate solar power generation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 559-566.
    2. Cradden, Lucy C. & McDermott, Frank & Zubiate, Laura & Sweeney, Conor & O'Malley, Mark, 2017. "A 34-year simulation of wind generation potential for Ireland and the impact of large-scale atmospheric pressure patterns," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 165-176.
    3. Thomas Huld & Ana M. Gracia Amillo, 2015. "Estimating PV Module Performance over Large Geographical Regions: The Role of Irradiance, Air Temperature, Wind Speed and Solar Spectrum," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(6), pages 1-23, June.
    4. Olauson, Jon & Bergkvist, Mikael, 2015. "Modelling the Swedish wind power production using MERRA reanalysis data," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 717-725.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Matti Koivisto & Kaushik Das & Feng Guo & Poul Sørensen & Edgar Nuño & Nicolaos Cutululis & Petr Maule, 2019. "Using time series simulation tools for assessing the effects of variable renewable energy generation on power and energy systems," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(3), May.
    2. Gea-Bermúdez, Juan & Bramstoft, Rasmus & Koivisto, Matti & Kitzing, Lena & Ramos, Andrés, 2023. "Going offshore or not: Where to generate hydrogen in future integrated energy systems?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    3. Russell McKenna & Stefan Pfenninger & Heidi Heinrichs & Johannes Schmidt & Iain Staffell & Katharina Gruber & Andrea N. Hahmann & Malte Jansen & Michael Klingler & Natascha Landwehr & Xiaoli Guo Lars', 2021. "Reviewing methods and assumptions for high-resolution large-scale onshore wind energy potential assessments," Papers 2103.09781, arXiv.org.
    4. Olsen, Karen Pardos & Zong, Yi & You, Shi & Bindner, Henrik & Koivisto, Matti & Gea-Bermúdez, Juan, 2020. "Multi-timescale data-driven method identifying flexibility requirements for scenarios with high penetration of renewables," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
    5. McKenna, Russell & Pfenninger, Stefan & Heinrichs, Heidi & Schmidt, Johannes & Staffell, Iain & Bauer, Christian & Gruber, Katharina & Hahmann, Andrea N. & Jansen, Malte & Klingler, Michael & Landwehr, 2022. "High-resolution large-scale onshore wind energy assessments: A review of potential definitions, methodologies and future research needs," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 659-684.
    6. Aqdas Naz & Nadeem Javaid & Muhammad Babar Rasheed & Abdul Haseeb & Musaed Alhussein & Khursheed Aurangzeb, 2019. "Game Theoretical Energy Management with Storage Capacity Optimization and Photo-Voltaic Cell Generated Power Forecasting in Micro Grid," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-22, May.
    7. Murcia, Juan Pablo & Koivisto, Matti Juhani & Luzia, Graziela & Olsen, Bjarke T. & Hahmann, Andrea N. & Sørensen, Poul Ejnar & Als, Magnus, 2022. "Validation of European-scale simulated wind speed and wind generation time series," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    8. Swisher, Philip & Murcia Leon, Juan Pablo & Gea-Bermúdez, Juan & Koivisto, Matti & Madsen, Helge Aagaard & Münster, Marie, 2022. "Competitiveness of a low specific power, low cut-out wind speed wind turbine in North and Central Europe towards 2050," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).
    9. Sneum, Daniel Møller & González, Mario Garzón & Gea-Bermúdez, Juan, 2021. "Increased heat-electricity sector coupling by constraining biomass use?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    10. Olauson, Jon, 2018. "ERA5: The new champion of wind power modelling?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 322-331.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Åberg, Magnus & Lingfors, David & Olauson, Jon & Widén, Joakim, 2019. "Can electricity market prices control power-to-heat production for peak shaving of renewable power generation? The case of Sweden," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 1-14.
    2. Hayes, Liam & Stocks, Matthew & Blakers, Andrew, 2021. "Accurate long-term power generation model for offshore wind farms in Europe using ERA5 reanalysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    3. Madeleine McPherson & Theofilos Sotiropoulos-Michalakakos & LD Danny Harvey & Bryan Karney, 2017. "An Open-Access Web-Based Tool to Access Global, Hourly Wind and Solar PV Generation Time-Series Derived from the MERRA Reanalysis Dataset," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-14, July.
    4. Federica Cucchiella & Idiano D’Adamo & Paolo Rosa, 2015. "Industrial Photovoltaic Systems: An Economic Analysis in Non-Subsidized Electricity Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-16, November.
    5. Maria Taljegard & Lisa Göransson & Mikael Odenberger & Filip Johnsson, 2021. "To Represent Electric Vehicles in Electricity Systems Modelling—Aggregated Vehicle Representation vs. Individual Driving Profiles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-25, January.
    6. Hamed Khodayar Sahebi & Siamak Hoseinzadeh & Hossein Ghadamian & Mohammad Hadi Ghasemi & Farbod Esmaeilion & Davide Astiaso Garcia, 2021. "Techno-Economic Analysis and New Design of a Photovoltaic Power Plant by a Direct Radiation Amplification System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-18, October.
    7. Tang, Daogui & Fang, Yi-Ping & Zio, Enrico, 2023. "Vulnerability analysis of demand-response with renewable energy integration in smart grids to cyber attacks and online detection methods," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    8. Mikovits, Christian & Wetterlund, Elisabeth & Wehrle, Sebastian & Baumgartner, Johann & Schmidt, Johannes, 2021. "Stronger together: Multi-annual variability of hydrogen production supported by wind power in Sweden," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PB).
    9. Kaplanis, S. & Kaplani, E. & Kaldellis, J.K., 2022. "PV temperature and performance prediction in free-standing, BIPV and BAPV incorporating the effect of temperature and inclination on the heat transfer coefficients and the impact of wind, efficiency a," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 235-249.
    10. Senturk, Ali, 2020. "Investigation of datasheet provided temperature coefficients of photovoltaic modules under various sky profiles at the field by applying a new validation procedure," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 644-652.
    11. Matti Koivisto & Kaushik Das & Feng Guo & Poul Sørensen & Edgar Nuño & Nicolaos Cutululis & Petr Maule, 2019. "Using time series simulation tools for assessing the effects of variable renewable energy generation on power and energy systems," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(3), May.
    12. Alberto Bocca & Luca Bergamasco & Matteo Fasano & Lorenzo Bottaccioli & Eliodoro Chiavazzo & Alberto Macii & Pietro Asinari, 2018. "Multiple-Regression Method for Fast Estimation of Solar Irradiation and Photovoltaic Energy Potentials over Europe and Africa," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-17, December.
    13. Coker, Phil J. & Bloomfield, Hannah C. & Drew, Daniel R. & Brayshaw, David J., 2020. "Interannual weather variability and the challenges for Great Britain’s electricity market design," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 509-522.
    14. Rabbani, R. & Zeeshan, M., 2020. "Exploring the suitability of MERRA-2 reanalysis data for wind energy estimation, analysis of wind characteristics and energy potential assessment for selected sites in Pakistan," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 1240-1251.
    15. Reinhold Lehneis & Daniela Thrän, 2023. "Temporally and Spatially Resolved Simulation of the Wind Power Generation in Germany," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-16, April.
    16. Bódis, Katalin & Kougias, Ioannis & Jäger-Waldau, Arnulf & Taylor, Nigel & Szabó, Sándor, 2019. "A high-resolution geospatial assessment of the rooftop solar photovoltaic potential in the European Union," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1-1.
    17. Yajing Gao & Jing Zhu & Huaxin Cheng & Fushen Xue & Qing Xie & Peng Li, 2016. "Study of Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Forecast Based on Error Calibration under Typical Climate Categories," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-15, July.
    18. Julián Ascencio-Vásquez & Jakob Bevc & Kristjan Reba & Kristijan Brecl & Marko Jankovec & Marko Topič, 2020. "Advanced PV Performance Modelling Based on Different Levels of Irradiance Data Accuracy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-12, May.
    19. Sofia Spyridonidou & Eva Loukogeorgaki & Dimitra G. Vagiona & Teresa Bertrand, 2022. "Towards a Sustainable Spatial Planning Approach for PV Site Selection in Portugal," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-22, November.
    20. Mayer, Martin János & Szilágyi, Artúr & Gróf, Gyula, 2020. "Environmental and economic multi-objective optimization of a household level hybrid renewable energy system by genetic algorithm," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:118:y:2018:i:c:p:425-436. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.