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Shrinking and growing metropolitan areas asymmetric real estate price reactions?: The case of German single-family houses

  • Maennig, Wolfgang
  • Dust, Lisa

The population of Germany will be one of the first in the western hemisphere to undergo considerable permanent reduction. In view of the relatively low elasticities of supply and demand significant negative price reactions might be expected. This work supplements existing studies by estimating real estate prices at a disaggregated level, for single-family homes in German metropolitan areas. It highlights asymmetric price reactions: growth in population numbers has no significant effect on price, whereas declining population significantly lowered prices.

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Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Regional Science and Urban Economics.

Volume (Year): 38 (2008)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 63-69

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Handle: RePEc:eee:regeco:v:38:y:2008:i:1:p:63-69
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  1. DiPasquale Denise & Wheaton William C., 1994. "Housing Market Dynamics and the Future of Housing Prices," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 1-27, January.
  2. Engelhardt, Gary V. & Poterba, James M., 1991. "House prices and demographic change: Canadian evidence," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 539-546, December.
  3. Ermisch, J. F. & Findlay, J. & Gibb, K., 1996. "The Price Elasticity of Housing Demand in Britain: Issues of Sample Selection," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 64-86, March.
  4. N. Gregory Mankiw & David N. Weil, 1988. "The Baby Boom, The Baby Bust, and the Housing Market," NBER Working Papers 2794, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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