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Assessment of risk modification due to safety barrier performance degradation in Natech events

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  • Misuri, Alessio
  • Landucci, Gabriele
  • Cozzani, Valerio

Abstract

Natural hazards may cause severe technological accidents involving hazardous substances (Natech accidents). Along with process equipment also safety critical elements as safety barriers might be impacted by such events, thus reducing the protection provided and the possibility to prevent escalation and cascading effects. In the present study a comprehensive methodology is developed to address the quantitative assessment of the risk caused by the escalation of Natech accidents, specifically addressing the effect of the performance modification of safety barriers caused by the impact of the natural hazard. Barrier performance depletion is modelled through an innovative multi-level approach, and it is then introduced in the quantitative risk assessment procedure by a modified event tree analysis. A demonstrative application of the proposed methodology to a case study is provided, showing a relevant increase in risk figures deriving from the degradation of safety barrier performance caused by natural events. The proposed framework extends the systemic assessment of Natech scenarios to encompass the specific criticalities introduced by safety barrier performance modification induced by natural events, providing a more effective support to decision-making in the management and control of risk deriving from the interaction of natural hazards with technological installations.

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  • Misuri, Alessio & Landucci, Gabriele & Cozzani, Valerio, 2021. "Assessment of risk modification due to safety barrier performance degradation in Natech events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:212:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021001757
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107634
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    Cited by:

    1. Misuri, Alessio & Ricci, Federica & Sorichetti, Riccardo & Cozzani, Valerio, 2023. "The Effect of Safety Barrier Degradation on the Severity of Primary Natech Scenarios," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    2. Rossi, Lorenzo & Casson Moreno, Valeria & Landucci, Gabriele, 2022. "Vulnerability assessment of process pipelines affected by flood events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    3. Yunfeng Yang & Guohua Chen & Yuanfei Zhao, 2023. "A Quantitative Framework for Propagation Paths of Natech Domino Effects in Chemical Industrial Parks: Part II—Risk Assessment and Mitigation System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-19, May.
    4. Caratozzolo, Vincenzo & Misuri, Alessio & Cozzani, Valerio, 2022. "A generalized equipment vulnerability model for the quantitative risk assessment of horizontal vessels involved in Natech scenarios triggered by floods," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    5. Di Maio, Francesco & Marchetti, Stefano & Zio, Enrico, 2023. "Robust multi-objective optimization of safety barriers performance parameters for NaTech scenarios risk assessment and management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    6. Jiajun Ma & Guohua Chen & Tao Zeng & Lixing Zhou & Jie Zhao & Yuanfei Zhao, 2023. "Methodology for Resilience Assessment of Oil Pipeline Network System Exposed to Earthquake," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-20, January.
    7. Weiliang Qiao & Enze Huang & Hongtongyang Guo & Yang Liu & Xiaoxue Ma, 2022. "Barriers Involved in the Safety Management Systems: A Systematic Review of Literature," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(15), pages 1-35, August.
    8. Casson Moreno, Valeria & Marroni, Giulia & Landucci, Gabriele, 2022. "Probabilistic assessment aimed at the evaluation of escalating scenarios in process facilities combining safety and security barriers," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    9. Yuan, Shuaiqi & Cai, Jitao & Reniers, Genserik & Yang, Ming & Chen, Chao & Wu, Jiansong, 2022. "Safety barrier performance assessment by integrating computational fluid dynamics and evacuation modeling for toxic gas leakage scenarios," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).

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