IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v210y2021ics0951832021000089.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Creation of preventive mass evacuation plan with the use of public transport

Author

Listed:
  • Teichmann, Dusan
  • Dorda, Michal
  • Sousek, Radovan

Abstract

The article deals with the planning of the preventive evacuation processes from the point of view of ensuring the mass transportation of inhabitants from hazardous areas, when dangerous substances that are leaking into the surroundings from factories and other industrial facilities (such as nuclear power plants) threaten the inhabitants. The approach presented in this article is based on multi-criteria mixed integer linear programming. Optimisation modelling has not been yet applied in the Czech Republic to create evacuation plans. The main contribution of the article lies in a new type of optimisation approach to evacuation planning when speed of the mass evacuation process is determinative. The mathematical model was applied to the planning of the mass evacuation process in the emergency planning zone which is demarcated around the nuclear power plant Dukovany in the Czech Republic.

Suggested Citation

  • Teichmann, Dusan & Dorda, Michal & Sousek, Radovan, 2021. "Creation of preventive mass evacuation plan with the use of public transport," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:210:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021000089
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107437
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832021000089
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2021.107437?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Musharraf, Mashrura & Smith, Jennifer & Khan, Faisal & Veitch, Brian & MacKinnon, Scott, 2016. "Assessing offshore emergency evacuation behavior in a virtual environment using a Bayesian Network approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 28-37.
    2. Stepanov, Alexander & Smith, James MacGregor, 2009. "Multi-objective evacuation routing in transportation networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 198(2), pages 435-446, October.
    3. Ibraheem M. Karaye & Courtney Thompson & Maria Perez‐Patron & Nicholas Taylor & Jennifer A. Horney, 2020. "Estimating Evacuation Shelter Deficits in the Houston–Galveston Metropolitan Area," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(5), pages 1079-1091, May.
    4. Daganzo, Carlos F., 1995. "The cell transmission model, part II: Network traffic," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 79-93, April.
    5. Lv, Y. & Yan, X.D. & Sun, W. & Gao, Z.Y., 2015. "A risk-based method for planning of bus–subway corridor evacuation under hybrid uncertainties," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 188-199.
    6. Zheng, Xiaoping & Liu, Mengting, 2010. "Forecasting model for pedestrian distribution under emergency evacuation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(11), pages 1186-1192.
    7. Alf Kimms & Marc Maiwald, 2017. "An exact network flow formulation for cell‐based evacuation in urban areas," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 64(7), pages 547-555, October.
    8. Dingde Xu & Wenfeng Zhou & Xin Deng & Zhixing Ma & Zhuolin Yong & Cheng Qin, 2020. "Information credibility, disaster risk perception and evacuation willingness of rural households in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(3), pages 2865-2882, September.
    9. Georgiadou, Paraskevi S. & Papazoglou, Ioannis A. & Kiranoudis, Chris T. & Markatos, Nikolaos C., 2007. "Modeling emergency evacuation for major hazard industrial sites," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(10), pages 1388-1402.
    10. Hammond, Gregory D. & Bier, Vicki M., 2015. "Alternative evacuation strategies for nuclear power accidents," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 9-14.
    11. Gai, Wen-mei & Deng, Yun-feng & Jiang, Zhong-an & Li, Jing & Du, Yan, 2017. "Multi-objective evacuation routing optimization for toxic cloud releases," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 58-68.
    12. Liu, Yu & Wang, Weijie & Huang, Hong-Zhong & Li, Yanfeng & Yang, Yuanjian, 2014. "A new simulation model for assessing aircraft emergency evacuation considering passenger physical characteristics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 187-197.
    13. Lovreglio, Ruggiero & Ronchi, Enrico & Borri, Dino, 2014. "The validation of evacuation simulation models through the analysis of behavioural uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 166-174.
    14. Dulebenets, Maxim A. & Abioye, Olumide F. & Ozguven, Eren Erman & Moses, Ren & Boot, Walter R. & Sando, Thobias, 2019. "Development of statistical models for improving efficiency of emergency evacuation in areas with vulnerable population," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 233-249.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Enze & Barker, Kash & Chen, Hong, 2022. "A multi-modal evacuation-based response strategy for mitigating disruption in an intercity railway system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    2. Liu, Zhichen & Li, Ying & Zhang, Zhaoyi & Yu, Wenbo, 2022. "A new evacuation accessibility analysis approach based on spatial information," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    3. Chen, Dingjun & Fang, Xufeng & Li, Yao & Ni, Shaoquan & Zhang, Qingpeng & Sang, Chin Kwai, 2022. "Three-level multimodal transportation network for cross-regional emergency resources dispatch under demand and route reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    4. Song, Chengcheng & Shao, Quan & Zhu, Pei & Dong, Min & Yu, Wenfei, 2023. "An emergency aircraft evacuation simulation considering passenger overtaking and luggage retrieval," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    5. Kim, Gibeom & Heo, Gyunyoung, 2023. "Agent-based radiological emergency evacuation simulation modeling considering mitigation infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    6. Wang, Xinjian & Liu, Zhengjiang & Loughney, Sean & Yang, Zaili & Wang, Yanfu & Wang, Jin, 2022. "Numerical analysis and staircase layout optimisation for a Ro-Ro passenger ship during emergency evacuation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    7. Tao, Longlong & Wu, Jie & Ge, Daochuan & Chen, Liwei & Sun, Ming, 2022. "Risk-informed based comprehensive path-planning method for radioactive materials road transportation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liu, Zhichen & Li, Ying & Zhang, Zhaoyi & Yu, Wenbo, 2022. "A new evacuation accessibility analysis approach based on spatial information," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    2. Wang, Xinjian & Liu, Zhengjiang & Loughney, Sean & Yang, Zaili & Wang, Yanfu & Wang, Jin, 2022. "Numerical analysis and staircase layout optimisation for a Ro-Ro passenger ship during emergency evacuation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    3. Lovreglio, Ruggiero & Spearpoint, Michael & Girault, Mathilde, 2019. "The impact of sampling methods on evacuation model convergence and egress time," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 24-34.
    4. Seo, Seung-Kwon & Yoon, Young-Gak & Lee, Ju-sung & Na, Jonggeol & Lee, Chul-Jin, 2022. "Deep Neural Network-based Optimization Framework for Safety Evacuation Route during Toxic Gas Leak Incidents," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    5. Song, Chengcheng & Shao, Quan & Zhu, Pei & Dong, Min & Yu, Wenfei, 2023. "An emergency aircraft evacuation simulation considering passenger overtaking and luggage retrieval," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    6. Fang, Zhi-Ming & Lv, Wei & Jiang, Li-Xue & Xu, Qing-Feng & Song, Wei-Guo, 2016. "Modeling and assessment of civil aircraft evacuation based on finer-grid," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 448(C), pages 102-112.
    7. Fang, Zhixiang & Zong, Xinlu & Li, Qingquan & Li, Qiuping & Xiong, Shengwu, 2011. "Hierarchical multi-objective evacuation routing in stadium using ant colony optimization approach," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 443-451.
    8. Mojahid Saeed Osman & Bala Ram, 2017. "Distributed scheduling approach for dynamic evacuation networks," Mathematical and Computer Modelling of Dynamical Systems, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(6), pages 554-569, November.
    9. Lv, Y. & Yan, X.D. & Sun, W. & Gao, Z.Y., 2015. "A risk-based method for planning of bus–subway corridor evacuation under hybrid uncertainties," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 188-199.
    10. Gai, Wen-mei & Deng, Yun-feng & Jiang, Zhong-an & Li, Jing & Du, Yan, 2017. "Multi-objective evacuation routing optimization for toxic cloud releases," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 58-68.
    11. Liu, Yu & Wang, Weijie & Huang, Hong-Zhong & Li, Yanfeng & Yang, Yuanjian, 2014. "A new simulation model for assessing aircraft emergency evacuation considering passenger physical characteristics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 187-197.
    12. Knut Haase & Mathias Kasper & Matthes Koch & Sven Müller, 2019. "A Pilgrim Scheduling Approach to Increase Safety During the Hajj," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 67(2), pages 376-406, March.
    13. Kimms, A. & Maiwald, M., 2018. "Bi-objective safe and resilient urban evacuation planning," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 269(3), pages 1122-1136.
    14. Galindo, Gina & Batta, Rajan, 2013. "Review of recent developments in OR/MS research in disaster operations management," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 230(2), pages 201-211.
    15. Hediye Tuydes-Yaman & Athanasios Ziliaskopoulos, 2014. "Modeling demand management strategies for evacuations," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 217(1), pages 491-512, June.
    16. Bretschneider, S. & Kimms, A., 2012. "Pattern-based evacuation planning for urban areas," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 216(1), pages 57-69.
    17. Qixiu Cheng & Zhiyuan Liu & Feifei Liu & Ruo Jia, 2017. "Urban dynamic congestion pricing: an overview and emerging research needs," International Journal of Urban Sciences, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(0), pages 3-18, August.
    18. Gentile, Guido & Meschini, Lorenzo & Papola, Natale, 2007. "Spillback congestion in dynamic traffic assignment: A macroscopic flow model with time-varying bottlenecks," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 41(10), pages 1114-1138, December.
    19. Souza, Juliano Silva & Lim-Apo, Flávio Araújo & Varella, Leonardo & Coelho, Antônio Sérgio & Souza, João Carlos, 2022. "Multi-period optimization model for planning people allocation in shelters and distributing aid with special constraints," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    20. Wu, Bing & Yip, Tsz Leung & Yan, Xinping & Guedes Soares, C., 2022. "Review of techniques and challenges of human and organizational factors analysis in maritime transportation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:210:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021000089. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.