IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v167y2017icp128-135.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Bayesian reliability evaluation method with different types of data from multiple sources

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Lizhi
  • Pan, Rong
  • Wang, Xiaohong
  • Fan, Wenhui
  • Xuan, Jinquan

Abstract

Bernoulli data (pass/fail), lifetime data, and degradation data are commonly encountered in product reliability assessment. Oftentimes these data are collected from different sources (such as field use, accelerated tests, history, and so on), and it is desirable to utilize these heterogeneous data within one computational framework to provide a comprehensive evaluation of product reliability. In this paper, three Bayesian inference models are proposed to establish the relationship among pass/fail-type Bernoulli data, lifetime data, and degradation data, and to integrate them to solve relevant problems and improve the accuracy of reliability prediction. The proposed methods are demonstrated by a synthetic example and two real examples. The evaluation results can be used for formulating product development strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Lizhi & Pan, Rong & Wang, Xiaohong & Fan, Wenhui & Xuan, Jinquan, 2017. "A Bayesian reliability evaluation method with different types of data from multiple sources," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 128-135.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:167:y:2017:i:c:p:128-135
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2017.05.039
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832016301181
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2017.05.039?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Li, Mingyang & Liu, Jian & Li, Jing & Uk Kim, Byoung, 2014. "Bayesian modeling of multi-state hierarchical systems with multi-level information aggregation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 158-164.
    2. Wang, Lizhi & Pan, Rong & Li, Xiaoyang & Jiang, Tongmin, 2013. "A Bayesian reliability evaluation method with integrated accelerated degradation testing and field information," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 38-47.
    3. Jackson, Chris & Mosleh, Ali, 2016. "Bayesian inference with overlapping data: Reliability estimation of multi-state on-demand continuous life metric systems with uncertain evidence," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 124-135.
    4. Graves, T.L. & Hamada, M.S. & Klamann, R.M. & Koehler, A.C. & Martz, H.F., 2008. "Using simultaneous higher-level and partial lower-level data in reliability assessments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(8), pages 1273-1279.
    5. Yontay, Petek & Pan, Rong, 2016. "A computational Bayesian approach to dependency assessment in system reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 104-114.
    6. Bae, Suk Joo & Yuan, Tao & Ning, Shuluo & Kuo, Way, 2015. "A Bayesian approach to modeling two-phase degradation using change-point regression," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 66-74.
    7. Touw, Anduin E., 2009. "Bayesian estimation of mixed Weibull distributions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 463-473.
    8. Tian, Guo-Liang & Ma, Huijuan & Zhou, Yong & Deng, Dianliang, 2015. "Generalized endpoint-inflated binomial model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 97-114.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Guang-Jun Jiang & Hong-Xia Chen & Le Gao & Hong-Hua Sun & Qing-Yang Li, 2022. "Reliability analysis on ammonium nitrate/fuel oil explosive vehicle pharmaceutical system based on dynamic fault tree and Bayesian network," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 311(1), pages 167-182, April.
    2. Xu, Yingchun & Yao, Wen & Zheng, Xiaohu & Chen, Xiaoqian, 2020. "An iterative information integration method for multi-level system reliability analysis based on Bayesian Melding Method," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    3. Zhao, Xiujie & He, Shuguang & Xie, Min, 2018. "Utilizing experimental degradation data for warranty cost optimization under imperfect repair," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 108-119.
    4. Zinke, Ronald & Melnychuk, Julia & Köhler, Florian & Krause, Ulrich, 2020. "Quantitative risk assessment of emissions from external floating roof tanks during normal operation and in case of damages using Bayesian Networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    5. Chen, Wen-Bin & Li, Xiao-Yang & Kang, Rui, 2022. "Integration for degradation analysis with multi-source ADT datasets considering dataset discrepancies and epistemic uncertainties," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    6. Yingchun Xu & Xiaohu Zheng & Wen Yao & Ning Wang & Xiaoqian Chen, 2021. "A sequential multi-prior integration and updating method for complex multi-level system based on Bayesian melding method," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 235(5), pages 863-876, October.
    7. Chemweno, Peter & Pintelon, Liliane & Muchiri, Peter Nganga & Van Horenbeek, Adriaan, 2018. "Risk assessment methodologies in maintenance decision making: A review of dependability modelling approaches," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 64-77.
    8. Liu, Di & Wang, Shaoping, 2021. "Reliability estimation from lifetime testing data and degradation testing data with measurement error based on evidential variable and Wiener process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    9. Kowal, Karol, 2022. "Lifetime reliability and availability simulation for the electrical system of HTTR coupled to the electricity-hydrogen cogeneration plant," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yang, Lechang & Wang, Pidong & Wang, Qiang & Bi, Sifeng & Peng, Rui & Behrensdorf, Jasper & Beer, Michael, 2021. "Reliability analysis of a complex system with hybrid structures and multi-level dependent life metrics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    2. Junyu Guo & Hong-Zhong Huang & Weiwen Peng & Jie Zhou, 2019. "Bayesian information fusion for degradation analysis of deteriorating products with individual heterogeneity," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 233(4), pages 615-622, August.
    3. Yontay, Petek & Pan, Rong, 2016. "A computational Bayesian approach to dependency assessment in system reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 104-114.
    4. Jiang, Tao & Liu, Yu, 2017. "Parameter inference for non-repairable multi-state system reliability models by multi-level observation sequences," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 3-15.
    5. Dongjin Lee & Rong Pan, 2017. "Predictive maintenance of complex system with multi-level reliability structure," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(16), pages 4785-4801, August.
    6. Zheng, Yi-Xuan & Xiahou, Tangfan & Liu, Yu & Xie, Chaoyang, 2021. "Structure function learning of hierarchical multi-state systems with incomplete observation sequences," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    7. Sun, Xuxue & Mraied, Hesham & Cai, Wenjun & Zhang, Qiong & Liang, Guoyuan & Li, Mingyang, 2018. "Bayesian latent degradation performance modeling and quantification of corroding aluminum alloys," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 84-96.
    8. Yingchun Xu & Xiaohu Zheng & Wen Yao & Ning Wang & Xiaoqian Chen, 2021. "A sequential multi-prior integration and updating method for complex multi-level system based on Bayesian melding method," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 235(5), pages 863-876, October.
    9. Wang, Lizhi & Pan, Rong & Li, Xiaoyang & Jiang, Tongmin, 2013. "A Bayesian reliability evaluation method with integrated accelerated degradation testing and field information," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 38-47.
    10. Soliman, Ahmed A. & Abd-Ellah, Ahmed H. & Abou-Elheggag, Naser A. & Ahmed, Essam A., 2012. "Modified Weibull model: A Bayes study using MCMC approach based on progressive censoring data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 48-57.
    11. Wen, Yuxin & Wu, Jianguo & Das, Devashish & Tseng, Tzu-Liang(Bill), 2018. "Degradation modeling and RUL prediction using Wiener process subject to multiple change points and unit heterogeneity," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 113-124.
    12. Wang, Pingping & Tang, Yincai & Joo Bae, Suk & He, Yong, 2018. "Bayesian analysis of two-phase degradation data based on change-point Wiener process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 244-256.
    13. Liu, Di & Wang, Shaoping, 2021. "An artificial neural network supported stochastic process for degradation modeling and prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    14. Jackson, Chris & Mosleh, Ali, 2016. "Bayesian inference with overlapping data: Reliability estimation of multi-state on-demand continuous life metric systems with uncertain evidence," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 124-135.
    15. Liu, Di & Wang, Shaoping & Cui, Xiaoyu, 2022. "An artificial neural network supported Wiener process based reliability estimation method considering individual difference and measurement error," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).
    16. Livio Finos & Fortunato Pesarin, 2020. "On zero-inflated permutation testing and some related problems," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 2157-2174, October.
    17. Vimal Vijayan & Sanjay K Chaturvedi & Ritesh Chandra, 2020. "A failure interaction model for multicomponent repairable systems," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 234(3), pages 470-486, June.
    18. Wang, Huan & Wang, Guan-jun & Duan, Feng-jun, 2016. "Planning of step-stress accelerated degradation test based on the inverse Gaussian process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 97-105.
    19. Chen, Wen-Bin & Li, Xiao-Yang & Kang, Rui, 2022. "Integration for degradation analysis with multi-source ADT datasets considering dataset discrepancies and epistemic uncertainties," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    20. Zhao, Xiujie & Chen, Piao & Gaudoin, Olivier & Doyen, Laurent, 2021. "Accelerated degradation tests with inspection effects," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 292(3), pages 1099-1114.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:167:y:2017:i:c:p:128-135. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.