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Life cycle reliability assessment of new products—A Bayesian model updating approach

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  • Peng, Weiwen
  • Huang, Hong-Zhong
  • Li, Yanfeng
  • Zuo, Ming J.
  • Xie, Min

Abstract

The rapidly increasing pace and continuously evolving reliability requirements of new products have made life cycle reliability assessment of new products an imperative yet difficult work. While much work has been done to separately estimate reliability of new products in specific stages, a gap exists in carrying out life cycle reliability assessment throughout all life cycle stages. We present a Bayesian model updating approach (BMUA) for life cycle reliability assessment of new products. Novel features of this approach are the development of Bayesian information toolkits by separately including “reliability improvement factor†and “information fusion factor†, which allow the integration of subjective information in a specific life cycle stage and the transition of integrated information between adjacent life cycle stages. They lead to the unique characteristics of the BMUA in which information generated throughout life cycle stages are integrated coherently. To illustrate the approach, an application to the life cycle reliability assessment of a newly developed Gantry Machining Center is shown.

Suggested Citation

  • Peng, Weiwen & Huang, Hong-Zhong & Li, Yanfeng & Zuo, Ming J. & Xie, Min, 2013. "Life cycle reliability assessment of new products—A Bayesian model updating approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 109-119.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:112:y:2013:i:c:p:109-119
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2012.12.002
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    2. Zhong, Jilong & Sanhedrai, Hillel & Zhang, FengMing & Yang, Yi & Guo, Shu & Yang, Shunkun & Li, Daqing, 2020. "Network endurance against cascading overload failure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    3. Tatbita Titin Suhariyanto & Dzuraidah Abd Wahab & Mohd Nizam Ab Rahman, 2018. "Product Design Evaluation Using Life Cycle Assessment and Design for Assembly: A Case Study of a Water Leakage Alarm," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-26, August.
    4. Wei Wang & Yaofeng Xu & Liguo Hou, 2019. "Optimal allocation of test times for reliability growth testing with interval-valued model parameters," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 233(5), pages 791-802, October.
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    6. Awad, Mahmoud, 2016. "Economic allocation of reliability growth testing using Weibull distributions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 273-280.
    7. Wang, Zequn & Wang, Pingfeng, 2015. "A double-loop adaptive sampling approach for sensitivity-free dynamic reliability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 346-356.

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