IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/quaeco/v93y2024icp155-163.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Dissecting value-growth strategies conditioned on expectation errors

Author

Listed:
  • MEMIS, HALIL I.
  • WESSELS, ULRICH

Abstract

We examine the previously documented effect between a firm’s FSCORE and book-to-market ratio proposed by Piotroski and So (2012) and analyze the authors’ expectation errors hypothesis from a present value perspective. We find a strong value premium which is concentrated among firms where book-to-market implied expectations are incongruent with underlying fundamental strength. Using the decomposition of variation in book-to-market ratios motivated by Cohen et al. (2003), we show that the observed effect between a firm’s FSCORE and book-to-market ratio is attributable to mispricing as the variation is mostly due to variation in expected returns rather than variation in expected profitability.

Suggested Citation

  • Memis, Halil I. & Wessels, Ulrich, 2024. "Dissecting value-growth strategies conditioned on expectation errors," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 155-163.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:93:y:2024:i:c:p:155-163
    DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2023.11.009
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1062976923001370
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.qref.2023.11.009?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1992. "The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 427-465, June.
    2. Lakonishok, Josef & Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W, 1994. "Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(5), pages 1541-1578, December.
    3. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 2017. "International tests of a five-factor asset pricing model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(3), pages 441-463.
    4. Eugene F. Fama & Kenneth R. French, 2008. "Average Returns, B/M, and Share Issues," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 63(6), pages 2971-2995, December.
    5. Ang, Andrew & Hodrick, Robert J. & Xing, Yuhang & Zhang, Xiaoyan, 2009. "High idiosyncratic volatility and low returns: International and further U.S. evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(1), pages 1-23, January.
    6. La Porta, Rafael, et al, 1997. "Good News for Value Stocks: Further Evidence on Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(2), pages 859-874, June.
    7. Anwer S. Ahmed & Irfan Safdar, 2018. "Dissecting stock price momentum using financial statement analysis," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 58(S1), pages 3-43, November.
    8. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 2012. "Size, value, and momentum in international stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(3), pages 457-472.
    9. Piotroski, JD, 2000. "Value investing: The use of historical financial statement information to separate winners from losers," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38, pages 1-41.
    10. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 2015. "A five-factor asset pricing model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(1), pages 1-22.
    11. Jarno Tikkanen & Janne Äijö, 2018. "Does the F-score improve the performance of different value investment strategies in Europe?," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(7), pages 495-506, December.
    12. Joseph D. Piotroski & Eric C. So, 2012. "Identifying Expectation Errors in Value/Glamour Strategies: A Fundamental Analysis Approach," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 25(9), pages 2841-2875.
    13. Fama, Eugene F & MacBeth, James D, 1973. "Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 607-636, May-June.
    14. Ng, Chi Cheong Allen & Shen, Jianfu, 2016. "Screen winners from losers using simple fundamental analysis in the Pacific-Basin stock markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 159-177.
    15. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 2006. "Profitability, investment and average returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 82(3), pages 491-518, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Christian Walkshäusl, 2020. "Piotroski’s FSCORE: international evidence," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(2), pages 106-118, March.
    2. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, June.
    3. Walkshäusl, Christian, 2015. "Equity financing activities and European value-growth returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 27-40.
    4. Walkshäusl, Christian, 2021. "Predicting stock returns from the pricing and mispricing of accounting fundamentals," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 253-260.
    5. Lu Zhang, 2017. "The Investment CAPM," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 23(4), pages 545-603, September.
    6. Jarno Tikkanen & Janne Äijö, 2018. "Does the F-score improve the performance of different value investment strategies in Europe?," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(7), pages 495-506, December.
    7. Tobek, Ondrej & Hronec, Martin, 2021. "Does it pay to follow anomalies research? Machine learning approach with international evidence," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    8. Nusret Cakici & Sris Chatterjee & Yi Tang & Lin Tong, 2021. "Alternative profitability measures and cross-section of expected stock returns: international evidence," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 369-391, January.
    9. Chi Cheong Allen Ng & Jianfu Shen, 2020. "Quality investing in Asian stock markets," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(3), pages 3033-3064, September.
    10. Nusret Cakici & Sris Chatterjee & Ren-Raw Chen, 2019. "Default Risk and Cross Section of Returns," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-15, June.
    11. Eero J. Pätäri & Timo H. Leivo & Sheraz Ahmed, 2022. "Can the FSCORE add value to anomaly-based portfolios? A reality check in the German stock market," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 36(3), pages 321-367, September.
    12. Christian Walkshäusl & Florian Weißofner & Ulrich Wessels, 2019. "Separating momentum from reversal in international stock markets," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(2), pages 111-123, March.
    13. Huang, Alan Guoming & Sun, Kevin Jialin, 2019. "Equity financing restrictions and the asset growth effect: International vs. Asian evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    14. Mazouz, Khelifa & Wu, Yuliang, 2022. "Why do firm fundamentals predict returns? Evidence from short selling activity," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    15. Eero Pätäri & Timo Leivo, 2017. "A Closer Look At Value Premium: Literature Review And Synthesis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(1), pages 79-168, February.
    16. Ciciretti, Rocco & Dalò, Ambrogio & Dam, Lammertjan, 2023. "The contributions of betas versus characteristics to the ESG premium," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 104-124.
    17. Andreas G. Koutoupis & Christos G. Kampouris & Athanasia V. Sakellaridou, 2022. "Can Financial Strength Indicators Form A Profitable Investment Strategy? The Case Of F-Score in Europe," Journal of Accounting and Management Information Systems, Faculty of Accounting and Management Information Systems, The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, vol. 21(3), pages 355-372, September.
    18. Bartram, Söhnke M. & Grinblatt, Mark, 2018. "Agnostic fundamental analysis works," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(1), pages 125-147.
    19. Ahmad, Fawad & Oriani, Raffaele, 2022. "Investor attention, information acquisition, and value premium: A mispricing perspective," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    20. Ng, Chi Cheong Allen & Shen, Jianfu, 2016. "Screen winners from losers using simple fundamental analysis in the Pacific-Basin stock markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 159-177.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Value; Mispricing; Decomposition; Stock returns; International markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:93:y:2024:i:c:p:155-163. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620167 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.