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Realistic decision-making processes in a vaccination game

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  • Iwamura, Yoshiro
  • Tanimoto, Jun

Abstract

Previous studies of vaccination games have nearly always assumed a pairwise comparison between a focal and neighboring player for the strategy updating rule, which comes from numerous compiled studies on spatial versions of 2-player and 2-strategy (2 × 2) games such as the spatial prisoner’s dilemma (SPD). We propose, in this study, new update rules because the human decision-making process of whether to commit to a vaccination is obviously influenced by a “sense of crisis” or “fear” urging him/her toward vaccination, otherwise they will likely be infected. The rule assumes that an agent evaluates whether getting a vaccination or trying to free ride should be attempted based on observations of whether neighboring non-vaccinators were able to successfully free ride during the previous time-step. Compared to the conventional updating rule (standard pairwise comparison assuming a Fermi function), the new rules generally realize higher vaccination coverage and smaller final epidemic sizes. One rule in particular shows very good performance with significantly smaller epidemic sizes despite comparable levels of vaccination coverage. This is because the specific update rule helps vaccinators spread widely in the domain, which effectively hampers the spread of epidemics.

Suggested Citation

  • Iwamura, Yoshiro & Tanimoto, Jun, 2018. "Realistic decision-making processes in a vaccination game," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 494(C), pages 236-241.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:494:y:2018:i:c:p:236-241
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.11.148
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    11. Meng, Xueyu & Lin, Jianhong & Fan, Yufei & Gao, Fujuan & Fenoaltea, Enrico Maria & Cai, Zhiqiang & Si, Shubin, 2023. "Coupled disease-vaccination behavior dynamic analysis and its application in COVID-19 pandemic," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
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    16. Jovic Aaron S. Caasi & Brian M. Joseph & Heera J. Kodiyamplakkal & Jaelene Renae U. Manibusan & Leslie J. Camacho Aquino & Hyunju Oh & Jan Rychtář & Dewey Taylor, 2022. "A Game-Theoretic Model of Voluntary Yellow Fever Vaccination to Prevent Urban Outbreaks," Games, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-14, August.
    17. Vivekanandhan, Gayathri & Nourian Zavareh, Mahdi & Natiq, Hayder & Nazarimehr, Fahimeh & Rajagopal, Karthikeyan & Svetec, Milan, 2022. "Investigation of vaccination game approach in spreading covid-19 epidemic model with considering the birth and death rates," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
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