IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/chsofr/v152y2021ics0960077921008134.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

How evolutionary game could solve the human vaccine dilemma

Author

Listed:
  • Kabir, K.M. Ariful

Abstract

Competitive and cooperative human traits that have detrimental effects on epidemic aspects can be regarded as a social dilemma. Often applied to intervention policy and epidemic incentive, evolutionary game theory can be imperative for predicting human behavior and social dilemma that improve health traits regarded as a vaccine-preventable intervention. Here, we consider the pairwise game as a decision mechanism, modeling coupled epidemic dynamics with the game aspect of the associated vaccine-preventable disease such as seasonal influenza. This work progressively investigates several vaccine effectiveness models and vaccine contact-reduction models under individual-based risk assessment, society-based risk assessment, and replicator dynamic, which then inspect for repeated season framework. In the context of social dilemma, it also explores the idea of dilemma strength (DS) and social efficiency deficit (SED) by allowing the evolution of the preference of vaccine strategies besides risk perception. Vaccine effectiveness plays an imperative role in increasing vaccine uptake in the prisoner's dilemma classes; however, in the cases of chicken and stag-hunt, the prevalence of vaccine uptake depends on the level of reliability and the extend of anxiety and selfishness. These model and findings have clear implications for policymakers to endorse adequate provisions that reduce social deficiency hidden in the complex situation.

Suggested Citation

  • Kabir, K.M. Ariful, 2021. "How evolutionary game could solve the human vaccine dilemma," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:152:y:2021:i:c:s0960077921008134
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111459
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960077921008134
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111459?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bin Wu & Feng Fu & Long Wang, 2011. "Imperfect Vaccine Aggravates the Long-Standing Dilemma of Voluntary Vaccination," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(6), pages 1-7, June.
    2. Chris T Bauch & Samit Bhattacharyya, 2012. "Evolutionary Game Theory and Social Learning Can Determine How Vaccine Scares Unfold," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(4), pages 1-12, April.
    3. Iwamura, Yoshiro & Tanimoto, Jun, 2018. "Realistic decision-making processes in a vaccination game," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 494(C), pages 236-241.
    4. Wang, Qingqing & Du, Chunpeng & Geng, Yini & Shi, Lei, 2020. "Historical payoff can not overcome the vaccination dilemma on Barabási–Albert scale-free networks," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    5. Alam, Muntasir & Kuga, Kazuki & Tanimoto, Jun, 2019. "Three-strategy and four-strategy model of vaccination game introducing an intermediate protecting measure," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 346(C), pages 408-422.
    6. Lu, Yikang & Geng, Yini & Gan, Wen & Shi, Lei, 2019. "Impacts of conformist on vaccination campaign in complex networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 526(C).
    7. Kabir, K.M. Ariful & Kuga, Kazuki & Tanimoto, Jun, 2019. "Effect of information spreading to suppress the disease contagion on the epidemic vaccination game," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 180-187.
    8. Kabir, KM Ariful & Kuga, Kazuki & Tanimoto, Jun, 2020. "The impact of information spreading on epidemic vaccination game dynamics in a heterogeneous complex network- A theoretical approach," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    9. Fukuda, Eriko & Kokubo, Satoshi & Tanimoto, Jun & Wang, Zhen & Hagishima, Aya & Ikegaya, Naoki, 2014. "Risk assessment for infectious disease and its impact on voluntary vaccination behavior in social networks," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 1-9.
    10. Zhu, Zhewen & Dong, Yuting & Lu, Yikang & Shi, Lei, 2021. "Information exchange promotes and jeopardizes cooperation on interdependent networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 569(C).
    11. Zhen Wang & Marko Jusup & Lei Shi & Joung-Hun Lee & Yoh Iwasa & Stefano Boccaletti, 2018. "Exploiting a cognitive bias promotes cooperation in social dilemma experiments," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-7, December.
    12. Wooyoung Lim & Pengfei Zhang, 2020. "Herd immunity and a vaccination game: An experimental study," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(5), pages 1-16, May.
    13. Tanimoto, Jun, 2018. "Effect of noise-perturbing intermediate defense measures in voluntary vaccination gamesAuthor-Name: Ida, Yuki," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 337-341.
    14. Kabir, K.M. Ariful & Tanimoto, Jun, 2019. "Evolutionary vaccination game approach in metapopulation migration model with information spreading on different graphs," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 41-55.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cui, Guang-Hai & Wang, Zhen & Li, Jun-Li & Jin, Xing & Zhang, Zhi-Wang, 2021. "Influence of precaution and dynamic post-indemnity based insurance policy on controlling the propagation of epidemic security risks in networks," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 392(C).
    2. Kabir, K.M. Ariful & Tanimoto, Jun, 2019. "Dynamical behaviors for vaccination can suppress infectious disease – A game theoretical approach," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 229-239.
    3. Wang, Mengyao & Pan, Qiuhui & He, Mingfeng, 2020. "The interplay of behaviors and attitudes in public goods game considering environmental investment," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 382(C).
    4. Kabir, KM Ariful & Kuga, Kazuki & Tanimoto, Jun, 2020. "The impact of information spreading on epidemic vaccination game dynamics in a heterogeneous complex network- A theoretical approach," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    5. Alam, Muntasir & Tanaka, Masaki & Tanimoto, Jun, 2019. "A game theoretic approach to discuss the positive secondary effect of vaccination scheme in an infinite and well-mixed population," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 201-213.
    6. Alam, Muntasir & Ida, Yuki & Tanimoto, Jun, 2021. "Abrupt epidemic outbreak could be well tackled by multiple pre-emptive provisions-A game approach considering structured and unstructured populations," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    7. Kabir, K.M. Ariful & Kuga, Kazuki & Tanimoto, Jun, 2019. "Effect of information spreading to suppress the disease contagion on the epidemic vaccination game," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 180-187.
    8. Ullah, Mohammad Sharif & Higazy, M. & Kabir, K.M. Ariful, 2022. "Dynamic analysis of mean-field and fractional-order epidemic vaccination strategies by evolutionary game approach," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    9. Kabir, K.M. Ariful & Tanimoto, Jun, 2019. "Evolutionary vaccination game approach in metapopulation migration model with information spreading on different graphs," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 41-55.
    10. Meng, Xueyu & Lin, Jianhong & Fan, Yufei & Gao, Fujuan & Fenoaltea, Enrico Maria & Cai, Zhiqiang & Si, Shubin, 2023. "Coupled disease-vaccination behavior dynamic analysis and its application in COVID-19 pandemic," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    11. Wang, Jianwei & Xu, Wenshu & Chen, Wei & Yu, Fengyuan & He, Jialu, 2021. "Information sharing can suppress the spread of epidemics: Voluntary vaccination game on two-layer networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 583(C).
    12. Vivekanandhan, Gayathri & Nourian Zavareh, Mahdi & Natiq, Hayder & Nazarimehr, Fahimeh & Rajagopal, Karthikeyan & Svetec, Milan, 2022. "Investigation of vaccination game approach in spreading covid-19 epidemic model with considering the birth and death rates," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    13. Kabir, KM Ariful & Chowdhury, Atiqur & Tanimoto, Jun, 2021. "An evolutionary game modeling to assess the effect of border enforcement measures and socio-economic cost: Export-importation epidemic dynamics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    14. Liu, Chuang & Zhou, Nan & Zhan, Xiu-Xiu & Sun, Gui-Quan & Zhang, Zi-Ke, 2020. "Markov-based solution for information diffusion on adaptive social networks," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 380(C).
    15. Kabir, K.M. Ariful & Tanimoto, Jun, 2021. "The role of pairwise nonlinear evolutionary dynamics in the rock–paper–scissors game with noise," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 394(C).
    16. Kejriwal, Saransh & Sheth, Sarjan & Silpa, P.S. & Sarkar, Sumit & Guha, Apratim, 2022. "Attaining herd immunity to a new infectious disease through multi-stage policies incentivising voluntary vaccination," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    17. Li, Qiu & Li, MingChu & Lv, Lin & Guo, Cheng & Lu, Kun, 2017. "A new prediction model of infectious diseases with vaccination strategies based on evolutionary game theory," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 51-60.
    18. Ariful Kabir, K.M. & Tanimoto, Jun, 2021. "A cyclic epidemic vaccination model: Embedding the attitude of individuals toward vaccination into SVIS dynamics through social interactions," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).
    19. Jiang, Bei & Yuan, Lin & Zou, Rongcheng & Su, Rui & Mi, Yuqiang, 2023. "The effect of migration on vaccination dilemma in networked populations," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    20. Wang, Jianwei & He, Jialu & Yu, Fengyuan & Guo, Yuxin & Li, Meiyu & Chen, Wei, 2020. "Realistic decision-making process with memory and adaptability in evolutionary vaccination game," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:152:y:2021:i:c:s0960077921008134. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thayer, Thomas R. (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/chaos-solitons-and-fractals .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.