IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v486y2017icp118-126.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Information transfer across intra/inter-structure of CDS and stock markets

Author

Listed:
  • Lim, Kyuseong
  • Kim, Sehyun
  • Kim, Soo Yong

Abstract

We investigate the information flow between industrial sectors in credit default swap and stock markets in the United States based on transfer entropy. Both markets have been studied with respect to dynamics and relations. Our approach considers the intra-structure of each financial market as well as the inter-structure between two markets through a moving window in order to scan a period from 2005 to 2012. We examine the information transfer with different k, especially k=3, k=5 and k=7. Analysis indicates that the cases with k=3 and k=7 show the opposite trends but similar characteristics. Change in transfer entropy for intra-structure of CDS market precedes that of stock market in view of the entire time windows. Abrupt rise and fall in inter-structural information transfer between two markets are detected at the periods related to the financial crises, which can be considered as early warnings.

Suggested Citation

  • Lim, Kyuseong & Kim, Sehyun & Kim, Soo Yong, 2017. "Information transfer across intra/inter-structure of CDS and stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 118-126.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:486:y:2017:i:c:p:118-126
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2017.05.084
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437117306039
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2017.05.084?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stefano Schiavo & Javier Reyes & Giorgio Fagiolo, 2010. "International trade and financial integration: a weighted network analysis," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(4), pages 389-399.
    2. Jinkyu Kim & Gunn Kim & Sungbae An & Young-Kyun Kwon & Sungroh Yoon, 2013. "Entropy-Based Analysis and Bioinformatics-Inspired Integration of Global Economic Information Transfer," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, January.
    3. Kim, Kyungsik & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2004. "Multifractal features of financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 344(1), pages 272-278.
    4. Lim, Kyuseong & Kim, Min Jae & Kim, Sehyun & Kim, Soo Yong, 2014. "Statistical properties of the stock and credit market: RMT and network topology," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 407(C), pages 66-75.
    5. Okyu Kwon & Jae-Suk Yang, 2008. "Information flow between stock indices," Papers 0802.1747, arXiv.org.
    6. Chunxia, Yang & Xueshuai, Zhu & Luoluo, Jiang & Sen, Hu & He, Li, 2016. "Study on the contagion among American industries," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 444(C), pages 601-612.
    7. Tse, Chi K. & Liu, Jing & Lau, Francis C.M., 2010. "A network perspective of the stock market," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 659-667, September.
    8. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
    9. Sensoy, Ahmet & Sobaci, Cihat & Sensoy, Sadri & Alali, Fatih, 2014. "Effective transfer entropy approach to information flow between exchange rates and stock markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 180-185.
    10. Kwon, Okyu & Yang, Jae-Suk, 2008. "Information flow between composite stock index and individual stocks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(12), pages 2851-2856.
    11. Seung Ki Baek & Woo-Sung Jung & Okyu Kwon & Hie-Tae Moon, 2005. "Transfer Entropy Analysis of the Stock Market," Papers physics/0509014, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2005.
    12. Kim, Min Jae & Kwak, Young Bin & Kim, Soo Yong, 2011. "Dependence structure of the Korean stock market in high frequency data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(5), pages 891-901.
    13. Kim, Min Jae & Kim, Sehyun & Jo, Yong Hwan & Kim, Soo Yong, 2011. "Dependence structure of the commodity and stock markets, and relevant multi-spread strategy," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(21), pages 3842-3854.
    14. Zunino, L. & Tabak, B.M. & Figliola, A. & Pérez, D.G. & Garavaglia, M. & Rosso, O.A., 2008. "A multifractal approach for stock market inefficiency," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(26), pages 6558-6566.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Qiu, Lu & Yang, Huijie, 2020. "Transfer entropy calculation for short time sequences with application to stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 559(C).
    2. Wang, Hu & Li, Shouwei, 2020. "Risk contagion in multilayer network of financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 541(C).
    3. Choi, Insu & Lee, Myounggu & Kim, Hyejin & Kim, Woo Chang, 2023. "Elucidating Directed Statistical Dependencies: Investigating Global Financial Market Indices' Influence on Korean Short Selling Activities," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Leonidas Sandoval Junior & Asher Mullokandov & Dror Y. Kenett, 2015. "Dependency Relations among International Stock Market Indices," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-39, May.
    2. Xie, Wen-Jie & Yong, Yang & Wei, Na & Yue, Peng & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2021. "Identifying states of global financial market based on information flow network motifs," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    3. Nie, Chun-Xiao, 2023. "Time-varying characteristics of information flow networks in the Chinese market: An analysis based on sector indices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    4. Storhas, Dominik P. & De Mello, Lurion & Singh, Abhay Kumar, 2020. "Multiscale lead-lag relationships in oil and refined product return dynamics: A symbolic wavelet transfer entropy approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    5. Nicoló Andrea Caserini & Paolo Pagnottoni, 2022. "Effective transfer entropy to measure information flows in credit markets," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 31(4), pages 729-757, October.
    6. Jinkyu Kim & Gunn Kim & Sungbae An & Young-Kyun Kwon & Sungroh Yoon, 2013. "Entropy-Based Analysis and Bioinformatics-Inspired Integration of Global Economic Information Transfer," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, January.
    7. Park, Sangjin & Jang, Kwahngsoo & Yang, Jae-Suk, 2021. "Information flow between bitcoin and other financial assets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 566(C).
    8. Toan Luu Duc Huynh & Muhammad Shahbaz & Muhammad Ali Nasir & Subhan Ullah, 2022. "Financial modelling, risk management of energy instruments and the role of cryptocurrencies," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 47-75, June.
    9. Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Nguyen, Thong Trung, 2020. "“Small things matter most”: The spillover effects in the cryptocurrency market and gold as a silver bullet," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    10. Banerjee, Ameet Kumar & Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Dionisio, Andreia & Almeida, Dora & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2022. "Nonlinear nexus between cryptocurrency returns and COVID-19 news sentiment," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    11. Peng Yue & Qing Cai & Wanfeng Yan & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2020. "Information flow networks of Chinese stock market sectors," Papers 2004.08759, arXiv.org.
    12. Gu, Danlei & Lin, Aijing & Lin, Guancen, 2022. "Sleep and cardiac signal processing using improved multivariate partial compensated transfer entropy based on non-uniform embedding," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    13. Roberta Scaramozzino & Paola Cerchiello & Tomaso Aste, 2021. "Information theoretic causality detection between financial and sentiment data," DEM Working Papers Series 202, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    14. Papana, Angeliki & Kyrtsou, Catherine & Kugiumtzis, Dimitris & Diks, Cees, 2017. "Financial networks based on Granger causality: A case study," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 65-73.
    15. Jale, Jader S. & Júnior, Sílvio F.A.X. & Stošić, Tatijana & Stošić, Borko & Ferreira, Tiago A.E., 2019. "Information flow between Ibovespa and constituent companies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 516(C), pages 233-239.
    16. Scaramozzino, Roberta & Cerchiello, Paola & Aste, Tomaso, 2021. "Information theoretic causality detection between financial and sentiment data," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 110903, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    17. Lu, Jingen & Chen, Xiaohong & Liu, Xiaoxing, 2018. "Stock market information flow: Explanations from market status and information-related behavior," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 837-848.
    18. Sensoy, Ahmet & Sobaci, Cihat & Sensoy, Sadri & Alali, Fatih, 2014. "Effective transfer entropy approach to information flow between exchange rates and stock markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 180-185.
    19. Dimpfl, Thomas & Peter, Franziska J., 2018. "Analyzing volatility transmission using group transfer entropy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 368-376.
    20. Teng, Yue & Shang, Pengjian, 2017. "Transfer entropy coefficient: Quantifying level of information flow between financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 469(C), pages 60-70.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:486:y:2017:i:c:p:118-126. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.