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New leads in speculative behavior

Author

Listed:
  • Kindler, A.
  • Bourgeois-Gironde, S.
  • Lefebvre, G.
  • Solomon, S.

Abstract

The Kiyotaki and Wright (1989) (henceforth KW) model of money emergence as a medium of exchange has been studied from various perspectives in recent papers. In the present work we propose a minimalistic model for the behavior of agents in the KW framework, which may either reproduce the theoretical predictions of Kiyotaki and Wright (1989) on the emerging Nash equilibria, or (less closely) the empirical results of Brown (1996), Duffy and Ochs (1999) and our own, introduced in a first part of the present paper. The main import is the systematic computer scanning of speculative monetary equilibria under drastic bounded rationality of agents, based on behavior previously observed in the lab.

Suggested Citation

  • Kindler, A. & Bourgeois-Gironde, S. & Lefebvre, G. & Solomon, S., 2017. "New leads in speculative behavior," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 467(C), pages 365-379.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:467:y:2017:i:c:p:365-379
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2016.10.028
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Oberfield, Ezra & Trachter, Nicholas, 2012. "Commodity money with frequent search," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 147(6), pages 2332-2356.
    2. Jack Ochs & John Duffy, 1999. "Emergence of Money as a Medium of Exchange: An Experimental Study," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(4), pages 847-877, September.
    3. Nicholas McKinney, C. Jr. & Van Huyck, John B., 2007. "Estimating bounded rationality and pricing performance uncertainty," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 62(4), pages 625-639, April.
    4. Juliette Rouchier, 2003. "Re-implementation of a multi-agent model aimed at sustaining experimental economic research: The case of simulations with emerging speculation," Post-Print halshs-00550494, HAL.
    5. Duffy, John, 2001. "Learning to speculate: Experiments with artificial and real agents," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 25(3-4), pages 295-319, March.
    6. Kiyotaki, Nobuhiro & Wright, Randall, 1989. "On Money as a Medium of Exchange," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 97(4), pages 927-954, August.
    7. Juliette Rouchier, 2003. "Re-Implementation of a Multi-Agent Model Aimed at Sustaining Experimental Economic Research: the Case of Simulations with Emerging Speculation," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 6(4), pages 1-7.
    8. Basci, Erdem, 1999. "Learning by imitation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 23(9-10), pages 1569-1585, September.
    9. Colin F. Camerer & Teck-Hua Ho & Juin-Kuan Chong, 2004. "A Cognitive Hierarchy Model of Games," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 119(3), pages 861-898.
    10. Daniel Kahneman, 2003. "Maps of Bounded Rationality: Psychology for Behavioral Economics," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(5), pages 1449-1475, December.
    11. Brown, Paul M., 1996. "Experimental evidence on money as a medium of exchange," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 583-600, April.
    12. Charles A. Holt & Susan K. Laury, 2002. "Risk Aversion and Incentive Effects," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(5), pages 1644-1655, December.
    13. Marimon, Ramon & McGrattan, Ellen & Sargent, Thomas J., 1990. "Money as a medium of exchange in an economy with artificially intelligent agents," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 329-373, May.
    14. Nagel, Rosemarie, 1995. "Unraveling in Guessing Games: An Experimental Study," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(5), pages 1313-1326, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aurélien Nioche & Basile Garcia & Germain Lefebvre & Thomas Boraud & Nicolas P. Rougier & Sacha Bourgeois-Gironde, 2019. "Coordination over a unique medium of exchange under information scarcity," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 5(1), pages 1-11, December.

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