IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v414y2014icp308-320.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Multifractal detrended cross-correlations between the CSI 300 index futures and the spot markets based on high-frequency data

Author

Listed:
  • Cao, Guangxi
  • Han, Yan
  • Cui, Weijun
  • Guo, Yu

Abstract

The cross-correlation between the China Securities Index 300 (CSI 300) index futures and the spot markets based on high-frequency data is discussed in this paper. We empirically analyze the cross-correlation by using the multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DCCA), and investigate further the characteristics of asymmetry, frequency difference, and transmission direction of the cross-correlation. The results indicate that the cross-correlation between the two markets is significant and multifractal. Meanwhile, weak asymmetries exist in the cross-correlation, and higher data frequency results in a lower multifractality degree of the cross-correlation. The causal relationship between the two markets is bidirectional, but the CSI 300 index futures market has greater impact on the spot market.

Suggested Citation

  • Cao, Guangxi & Han, Yan & Cui, Weijun & Guo, Yu, 2014. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlations between the CSI 300 index futures and the spot markets based on high-frequency data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 414(C), pages 308-320.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:414:y:2014:i:c:p:308-320
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2014.07.065
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437114006499
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2014.07.065?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Evangelos Drimbetas & Nikolaos Sariannidis & Nicos Porfiris, 2007. "The effect of derivatives trading on volatility of the underlying asset: evidence from the Greek stock market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 139-148.
    2. Yuan, Ying & Zhuang, Xin-tian & Liu, Zhi-ying, 2012. "Price–volume multifractal analysis and its application in Chinese stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(12), pages 3484-3495.
    3. Jian Yang & Zihui Yang & Yinggang Zhou, 2012. "Intraday price discovery and volatility transmission in stock index and stock index futures markets: Evidence from China," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(2), pages 99-121, February.
    4. Alvarez-Ramirez, Jose & Rodriguez, Eduardo & Carlos Echeverria, Juan, 2009. "A DFA approach for assessing asymmetric correlations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(12), pages 2263-2270.
    5. Wang, Yudong & Wei, Yu & Wu, Chongfeng, 2010. "Cross-correlations between Chinese A-share and B-share markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(23), pages 5468-5478.
    6. He, Ling-Yun & Chen, Shu-Peng, 2011. "A new approach to quantify power-law cross-correlation and its application to commodity markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(21), pages 3806-3814.
    7. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi, 2013. "Cross-correlations between Renminbi and four major currencies in the Renminbi currency basket," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(6), pages 1418-1428.
    8. Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2011. "Multifractal detrending moving average cross-correlation analysis," Papers 1103.2577, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2011.
    9. Ma, Feng & Wei, Yu & Huang, Dengshi, 2013. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis between the Chinese stock market and surrounding stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(7), pages 1659-1670.
    10. Yuan, Ying & Zhuang, Xin-tian & Jin, Xiu, 2009. "Measuring multifractality of stock price fluctuation using multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(11), pages 2189-2197.
    11. Wee Ching Pok & Sunil Poshakwale, 2004. "The impact of the introduction of futures contracts on the spot market volatility: the case of Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(2), pages 143-154.
    12. B. Podobnik & I. Grosse & D. Horvatić & S. Ilic & P. Ch. Ivanov & H. E. Stanley, 2009. "Quantifying cross-correlations using local and global detrending approaches," The European Physical Journal B: Condensed Matter and Complex Systems, Springer;EDP Sciences, vol. 71(2), pages 243-250, September.
    13. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
    14. Liao, Yin & Anderson, Heather M., 2019. "Testing for cojumps in high-frequency financial data: An approach based on first-high-low-last prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 252-274.
    15. Wei-Xing Zhou, 2008. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis for two nonstationary signals," Papers 0803.2773, arXiv.org.
    16. Zebende, G.F. & da Silva, M.F. & Machado Filho, A., 2013. "DCCA cross-correlation coefficient differentiation: Theoretical and practical approaches," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(8), pages 1756-1761.
    17. He, Ling-Yun & Chen, Shu-Peng, 2011. "Multifractal Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis of agricultural futures markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 44(6), pages 355-361.
    18. Siokis, Fotios M., 2013. "Multifractal analysis of stock exchange crashes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(5), pages 1164-1171.
    19. Cao, Guangxi & Xu, Longbing & Cao, Jie, 2012. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlations between the Chinese exchange market and stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(20), pages 4855-4866.
    20. Siqueira, Erinaldo Leite & Stošić, Tatijana & Bejan, Lucian & Stošić, Borko, 2010. "Correlations and cross-correlations in the Brazilian agrarian commodities and stocks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(14), pages 2739-2743.
    21. Zebende, G.F., 2011. "DCCA cross-correlation coefficient: Quantifying level of cross-correlation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(4), pages 614-618.
    22. Zhong, Maosen & Darrat, Ali F. & Otero, Rafael, 2004. "Price discovery and volatility spillovers in index futures markets: Some evidence from Mexico," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(12), pages 3037-3054, December.
    23. Wang, Dong-Hua & Suo, Yuan-Yuan & Yu, Xiao-Wen & Lei, Man, 2013. "Price–volume cross-correlation analysis of CSI300 index futures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(5), pages 1172-1179.
    24. He, Ling-Yun & Chen, Shu-Peng, 2011. "Nonlinear bivariate dependency of price–volume relationships in agricultural commodity futures markets: A perspective from Multifractal Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(2), pages 297-308.
    25. Darren Butterworth, 2000. "The impact of futures trading on underlying stock index volatility: the case of the FTSE Mid 250 contract," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(7), pages 439-442.
    26. Gao-Feng Gu & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2010. "Detrending moving average algorithm for multifractals," Papers 1005.0877, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2010.
    27. Bera, Anil K. & Jarque, Carlos M., 1981. "Efficient tests for normality, homoscedasticity and serial independence of regression residuals : Monte Carlo Evidence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 313-318.
    28. Green, Christopher J & Joujon, Emmanuel, 2000. "Unified Tests of Causality and Cost of Carry: The Pricing of the French Stock Index Futures Contract," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 5(2), pages 121-140, April.
    29. Cao, Guangxi & Cao, Jie & Xu, Longbing & He, LingYun, 2014. "Detrended cross-correlation analysis approach for assessing asymmetric multifractal detrended cross-correlations and their application to the Chinese financial market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 393(C), pages 460-469.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Hongwei & Jin, Chen & Bouri, Elie & Gao, Wang & Xu, Yahua, 2023. "Realized higher-order moments spillovers between commodity and stock markets: Evidence from China," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
    2. Liu, Chao & Fan, Yixin & Xie, Qiwei & Wang, Chao, 2022. "Market-based versus bank-based financial structure in China: From the perspective of financial risk," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 24-39.
    3. Stosic, Dusan & Stosic, Darko & de Mattos Neto, Paulo S.G. & Stosic, Tatijana, 2019. "Multifractal characterization of Brazilian market sectors," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 956-964.
    4. Liu, Chao & Zheng, Ying & Zhao, Qi & Wang, Chao, 2020. "Financial stability and real estate price fluctuation in China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    5. Shao, Ying-Hui & Yang, Yan-Hong & Shao, Hao-Lin & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2019. "Time-varying lead–lag structure between the crude oil spot and futures markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 723-733.
    6. Jiang, Jiaqi & Gu, Rongbao, 2016. "Asymmetrical long-run dependence between oil price and US dollar exchange rate—Based on structural oil shocks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 456(C), pages 75-89.
    7. Hasan, Rashid & Mohammed Salim, M., 2017. "Power law cross-correlations between price change and volume change of Indian stocks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 473(C), pages 620-631.
    8. Cao, Guangxi & Shi, Yingying, 2017. "Simulation analysis of multifractal detrended methods based on the ARFIMA process," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 235-243.
    9. Gu, Fu & Wang, Jiqiang & Guo, Jianfeng & Fan, Ying, 2020. "How the supply and demand of steam coal affect the investment in clean energy industry? Evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    10. Cao, Guangxi & Zhang, Minjia, 2015. "Extreme values in the Chinese and American stock markets based on detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 436(C), pages 25-35.
    11. Cao, Guangxi & Han, Yan & Li, Qingchen & Xu, Wei, 2017. "Asymmetric MF-DCCA method based on risk conduction and its application in the Chinese and foreign stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 468(C), pages 119-130.
    12. Ruan, Qingsong & Yang, Haiquan & Lv, Dayong & Zhang, Shuhua, 2018. "Cross-correlations between individual investor sentiment and Chinese stock market return: New perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 243-256.
    13. Xiaole Wan & Zhen Zhang & Chi Zhang & Qingchun Meng, 2020. "Stock Market Temporal Complex Networks Construction, Robustness Analysis, and Systematic Risk Identification: A Case of CSI 300 Index," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-19, July.
    14. Chen, Hong & Zhu, Li & Jia, GuoZhu, 2020. "MF-DCCA between molecular properties and aqueous solubility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 556(C).
    15. Fei Ren & Mei-Ling Cai & Sai-Ping Li & Xiong Xiong & Zhang-HangJian Chen, 2023. "A Multi-market Comparison of the Intraday Lead–Lag Relations Among Stock Index-Based Spot, Futures and Options," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(1), pages 1-28, June.
    16. Zhou, Yu & Chen, Shi, 2016. "Cross-correlation analysis between Chinese TF contracts and treasury ETF based on high-frequency data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 443(C), pages 117-127.
    17. Chen, Yuwen & Zheng, Tingting, 2017. "Asymmetric joint multifractal analysis in Chinese stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 10-19.
    18. Zhang, Chen & Ni, Zhiwei & Ni, Liping, 2015. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis between PM2.5 and meteorological factors," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 438(C), pages 114-123.
    19. Cao, Guangxi & Ling, Meijun, 2022. "Asymmetry and conduction direction of the interdependent structure between cryptocurrency and US dollar, renminbi, and gold markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    20. Cao, Guangxi & Zhang, Minjia & Li, Qingchen, 2017. "Volatility-constrained multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis: Cross-correlation among Mainland China, US, and Hong Kong stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 472(C), pages 67-76.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zebende, G.F. & da Silva, M.F. & Machado Filho, A., 2013. "DCCA cross-correlation coefficient differentiation: Theoretical and practical approaches," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(8), pages 1756-1761.
    2. Zhou, Yu & Chen, Shi, 2016. "Cross-correlation analysis between Chinese TF contracts and treasury ETF based on high-frequency data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 443(C), pages 117-127.
    3. Cao, Guangxi & Xu, Longbing & Cao, Jie, 2012. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlations between the Chinese exchange market and stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(20), pages 4855-4866.
    4. Cao, Guangxi & Cao, Jie & Xu, Longbing & He, LingYun, 2014. "Detrended cross-correlation analysis approach for assessing asymmetric multifractal detrended cross-correlations and their application to the Chinese financial market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 393(C), pages 460-469.
    5. Liu, Li & Wang, Yudong, 2014. "Cross-correlations between spot and futures markets of nonferrous metals," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 400(C), pages 20-30.
    6. Dutta, Srimonti & Ghosh, Dipak & Chatterjee, Sucharita, 2016. "Multifractal detrended Cross Correlation Analysis of Foreign Exchange and SENSEX fluctuation in Indian perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 463(C), pages 188-201.
    7. Chatterjee, Sucharita, 2020. "Analysis of the human gait rhythm in Neurodegenerative disease: A multifractal approach using Multifractal detrended cross correlation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    8. Liu, Li & Ma, Guofeng, 2014. "Cross-correlation between crude oil and refined product prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 413(C), pages 284-293.
    9. El Alaoui, Marwane & Benbachir, Saâd, 2013. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis in the MENA area," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(23), pages 5985-5993.
    10. Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2013. "Mixed-correlated ARFIMA processes for power-law cross-correlations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(24), pages 6484-6493.
    11. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi & He, Ling-Yun & Chen, Shou, 2014. "Detrended minimum-variance hedge ratio: A new method for hedge ratio at different time scales," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 405(C), pages 70-79.
    12. Zhang, Chen & Ni, Zhiwei & Ni, Liping, 2015. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis between PM2.5 and meteorological factors," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 438(C), pages 114-123.
    13. Zhuang, Xiaoyang & Wei, Yu & Ma, Feng, 2015. "Multifractality, efficiency analysis of Chinese stock market and its cross-correlation with WTI crude oil price," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 430(C), pages 101-113.
    14. Wang, Gang-Jin & Xie, Chi, 2013. "Cross-correlations between Renminbi and four major currencies in the Renminbi currency basket," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(6), pages 1418-1428.
    15. Qin, Jing & Ge, Jintian & Lu, Xinsheng, 2018. "The effectiveness of the monetary policy in China: New evidence from long-range cross-correlation analysis and the components of multifractality," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 506(C), pages 1026-1037.
    16. Chatterjee, Sucharita & Ghosh, Dipak, 2021. "Impact of Global Warming on SENSEX fluctuations — A study based on Multifractal detrended cross correlation analysis between the temperature anomalies and the SENSEX fluctuations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 571(C).
    17. Wang, Dong-Hua & Suo, Yuan-Yuan & Yu, Xiao-Wen & Lei, Man, 2013. "Price–volume cross-correlation analysis of CSI300 index futures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(5), pages 1172-1179.
    18. El Alaoui, Marwane, 2017. "Price–volume multifractal analysis of the Moroccan stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 473-485.
    19. Dutta, Srimonti & Ghosh, Dipak & Samanta, Shukla, 2014. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of gold price and SENSEX," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 413(C), pages 195-204.
    20. Cao, Guangxi & Han, Yan & Li, Qingchen & Xu, Wei, 2017. "Asymmetric MF-DCCA method based on risk conduction and its application in the Chinese and foreign stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 468(C), pages 119-130.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:414:y:2014:i:c:p:308-320. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.