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Increasing market efficiency: Evolution of cross-correlations of stock returns

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  • Tóth, Bence
  • Kertész, János

Abstract

We analyse the temporal changes in the cross-correlations of returns on the New York Stock Exchange. We show that lead–lag relationships between daily returns of stocks vanished in less than 20 years. We have found that even for high-frequency data the asymmetry of time-dependent cross-correlation functions has a decreasing tendency, the position of their peaks is shifted towards the origin while these peaks become sharper and higher, resulting in a diminution of the Epps effect. All these findings indicate that the market becomes increasingly efficient.

Suggested Citation

  • Tóth, Bence & Kertész, János, 2006. "Increasing market efficiency: Evolution of cross-correlations of stock returns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 360(2), pages 505-515.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:360:y:2006:i:2:p:505-515
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2005.06.058
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bouchaud,Jean-Philippe & Potters,Marc, 2003. "Theory of Financial Risk and Derivative Pricing," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521819169, September.
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    2. Onali, Enrico & Goddard, John, 2009. "Unifractality and multifractality in the Italian stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 154-163, September.
    3. Wang, Yudong & Liu, Li & Gu, Rongbao, 2009. "Analysis of efficiency for Shenzhen stock market based on multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 271-276, December.
    4. Basnarkov, Lasko & Stojkoski, Viktor & Utkovski, Zoran & Kocarev, Ljupco, 2020. "Lead–lag relationships in foreign exchange markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 539(C).
    5. Drakos, Anastassios A., 2016. "Does the relationship between small and large portfolios’ returns confirm the lead–lag effect? Evidence from the Athens Stock Exchange," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 546-561.
    6. Nicolas Huth & Frédéric Abergel, 2012. "The times change: multivariate subordination, empirical facts," Post-Print hal-00620841, HAL.
    7. Lee, Sangwook & Kim, Min Jae & Kim, Soo Yong, 2011. "Interest rates factor model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(13), pages 2531-2548.
    8. Iacopo Mastromatteo & Matteo Marsili & Patrick Zoi, 2010. "Financial correlations at ultra-high frequency: theoretical models and empirical estimation," Papers 1011.1011, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2011.
    9. Boudt, Kris & Cornelissen, Jonathan & Croux, Christophe, 2012. "Jump robust daily covariance estimation by disentangling variance and correlation components," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 2993-3005.
    10. Lin, Xiaoqiang & Tang, Zhenpeng & Fei, Fangyu, 2013. "Testing for relationships between Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets: A threshold cointegration perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(18), pages 4064-4074.
    11. Nicolas Huth & Frédéric Abergel, 2010. "High frequency correlation modelling," Post-Print hal-00621244, HAL.
    12. Wang, Yudong & Wei, Yu & Wu, Chongfeng, 2011. "Detrended fluctuation analysis on spot and futures markets of West Texas Intermediate crude oil," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(5), pages 864-875.
    13. Abounoori, Esmaiel & Shahrazi, Mahdi & Rasekhi, Saeed, 2012. "An investigation of Forex market efficiency based on detrended fluctuation analysis: A case study for Iran," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(11), pages 3170-3179.

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