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M&A operations: Further evidence of informed trading in the CDS market

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  • Pereira da Silva, Paulo
  • Vieira, Isabel
  • Vieira, Carlos

Abstract

Previous studies showed that private information gathered through banking services such as loans and syndicated debt is incorporated into CDS rates by large banks. Additionally, there is also evidence that innovations in CDS rates precede stock market returns prior to credit events. This paper adds to the literature by showing that the information obtained by major banks while providing M&A investment banking services is assimilated by CDS rates prior to the operation announcement. We also find strong supportive evidence that CDS innovations have incremental predictive power over stock returns before M&A announcements, and that this predictive power may be even greater when major dealers in the CDS market supplied investment banking services to one of the parts of the deal.

Suggested Citation

  • Pereira da Silva, Paulo & Vieira, Isabel & Vieira, Carlos, 2015. "M&A operations: Further evidence of informed trading in the CDS market," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 32, pages 116-130.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:mulfin:v:32-33:y:2015:i::p:116-130
    DOI: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2015.10.002
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    2. Luc Renneboog & Peter G. Szilagyi & Cara Vansteenkiste, 2017. "Creditor rights, claims enforcement, and bond performance in mergers and acquisitions," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 48(2), pages 174-194, February.
    3. Renneboog, Luc & Szilagyi, Peter & Vansteenkiste, Cara, 2017. "Creditor rights, claims enforcement, and bond returns in mergers and acquisitions," Other publications TiSEM ef3ad779-66b4-4fca-a8e8-7, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    4. Wanke, Peter & Maredza, Andrew & Gupta, Rangan, 2017. "Merger and acquisitions in South African banking: A network DEA model," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 362-376.
    5. Saker Sabkha & Christian Peretti & Dorra Hmaied, 2019. "On the informational market efficiency of the worldwide sovereign credit default swaps," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(7), pages 581-608, December.
    6. Goodness C. Aye & Giray Gozgor & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Dynamic and Asymmetric Response of Inequality to Income Volatility: The Case of the United Kingdom," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 147(3), pages 747-762, February.
    7. Benjamin Hippert, 2019. "The relationship between announcements of complete mergers and acquisitions and acquirers' abnormal CDS spread changes," Working Papers Dissertations 52, Paderborn University, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit default swaps; Information flow; Informed trading; Price discovery; M&A activity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

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