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The impact of stock market volatility on corporate bond credit spreads

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  • Bewley, Ronald
  • Rees, David
  • Berg, Paul

Abstract

There has been a rapid increase in the number of corporate bonds issued in Australia since the middle of 1998. This increase has stimulated interest in characterising the yield curves and the factors that determine changes in these spreads. The focus of this paper is on measuring any impact of stock market volatility on spreads using two different measures. One measure is based on volatility implied from options prices while the other is derived from a conditional heteroscedastic volatility model of changes in a stock market index. It is found that the former has no significant impact on spreads but the latter is both significant and stable over time. This impact is estimated to be negative implying that an increase in volatility cause a decrease in corporate bond spreads.

Suggested Citation

  • Bewley, Ronald & Rees, David & Berg, Paul, 2004. "The impact of stock market volatility on corporate bond credit spreads," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 64(3), pages 363-372.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:64:y:2004:i:3:p:363-372
    DOI: 10.1016/S0378-4754(03)00102-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bewley, R. A., 1979. "The direct estimation of the equilibrium response in a linear dynamic model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 357-361.
    2. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    3. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
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    1. Dmitry Patlasov, 2024. "Assessment of the Russian stock market volatility impact on credit spreads of Russian corporate bonds," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 76, pages 29-50.
    2. Daniel Jubinski & Amy F. Lipton, 2012. "Equity volatility, bond yields, and yield spreads," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(5), pages 480-503, May.
    3. Wassim Dbouk & Lawrence Kryzanowski, 2010. "Determinants of credit spread changes for the financial sector," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 27(1), pages 67-82, March.

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