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The robustness value of public transport development plans

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  • Cats, O.

Abstract

Investments in transport are increasingly motivated by the need to improve its robustness — the capacity to absorb disturbances with a minimal impact on system performance. Nonetheless, there is lack of knowledge on how to assess and quantify the robustness value of new investments. This study investigates the robustness of alternative public transport networks by assessing the consequences of link failures on network performance. A full-scan disruption impact analysis is performed and its implications on passenger's group composition and travel time losses are analysed for a public transport development plan in Stockholm, Sweden. The results suggest that as a result of the development plan, the robustness of the case study network will improve in terms of average performance deterioration as well as worst case scenario for all performance indicators. Neglecting abnormal operations in project appraisal can potentially lead to the underestimation of its benefits. Moreover, the critical links in each network are identified and impact disparity is investigated. The analysis method presented in this study can support the consideration of development plan impacts on network robustness in the strategic planning process.

Suggested Citation

  • Cats, O., 2016. "The robustness value of public transport development plans," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 236-246.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:51:y:2016:i:c:p:236-246
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2016.01.011
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    Cited by:

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    5. Cats, Oded, 2017. "Topological evolution of a metropolitan rail transport network: The case of Stockholm," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 172-183.
    6. Iliopoulou, Christina & Makridis, Michail A., 2023. "Critical multi-link disruption identification for public transport networks: A multi-objective optimization framework," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 626(C).
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    15. Cats, Oded & Krishnakumari, Panchamy, 2020. "Metropolitan rail network robustness," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 549(C).
    16. Kashin Sugishita & Yasuo Asakura, 2021. "Vulnerability studies in the fields of transportation and complex networks: a citation network analysis," Public Transport, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 1-34, March.
    17. Chan, Ho-Yin & Chen, Anthony & Li, Guoyuan & Xu, Xiangdong & Lam, William, 2021. "Evaluating the value of new metro lines using route diversity measures: The case of Hong Kong's Mass Transit Railway system," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    18. Wang, Bi & Su, Qin & Chin, Kwai Sang, 2021. "Vulnerability assessment of China–Europe Railway Express multimodal transport network under cascading failures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 584(C).
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    20. Waitt, Gordon & Stanes, Elyse, 2022. "Reactivating commuter cycling: COVID-19 pandemic disruption to everyday transport choices in Sydney, Australia," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
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    22. Zhiru Wang & Wubin Ma & Albert Chan, 2020. "Exploring the Relationships between the Topological Characteristics of Subway Networks and Service Disruption Impact," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-18, May.

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