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Integrating swaps and futures: A new direction for commodity research

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  • Mixon, Scott
  • Onur, Esen
  • Riggs, Lynn

Abstract

This paper introduces new regulatory data that provides unprecedented visibility into swaps positions of dealers and their counterparties. Our analysis suggests that, contrary to common perception, commercial end-users have a larger footprint in the WTI crude oil swaps space than financial end-users do. Commercial end-users’ swaps exposure is larger than their futures exposure, and they are net short in both markets. Financial end-users are smaller in swaps than in futures and are net long in both. Dealers perform a substantial amount of intermediation among market participants. We conclude that joint examination of swaps and futures data facilitates many new directions for commodity research.

Suggested Citation

  • Mixon, Scott & Onur, Esen & Riggs, Lynn, 2018. "Integrating swaps and futures: A new direction for commodity research," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(C), pages 3-21.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jocoma:v:10:y:2018:i:c:p:3-21
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jcomm.2017.06.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Dedi, Valentina & Mandilaras, Alex, 2022. "Trader positions and the price of oil in the futures market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 448-460.
    2. Lee Baker & Richard Haynes & John Roberts & Rajiv Sharma & Bruce Tuckman, 2021. "Risk Transfer with Interest Rate Swaps," Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 30(1), pages 3-28, February.
    3. Pankaj K. Jain & Ayla Kayhan & Esen Onur, 2024. "Determinants of commodity market liquidity," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 59(1), pages 9-30, February.
    4. Burns, Christopher B. & Prager, Daniel L., 2024. "Do agricultural swaps co-move with equity markets? Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
    5. Filippo Natoli, 2021. "Financialization Of Commodities Before And After The Great Financial Crisis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 488-511, April.
    6. Ho, Steven Wei & Lauwers, Alexandre R., 2023. "Is There Smart Money? How Information in the Commodity Futures Market Is Priced into the Cross Section of Stock Returns with Delay," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 58(8), pages 3201-3230, December.
    7. Daejin Kim, 2025. "Term Structure and Risk Premiums of Commodity Futures With Linear Regressions," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(2), pages 118-142, February.
    8. Fishe, Raymond P.H. & Smith, Aaron, 2019. "Do speculators drive commodity prices away from supply and demand fundamentals?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 1-1.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • L71 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Hydrocarbon Fuels
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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