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Chasing noise

Author

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  • Mendel, Brock
  • Shleifer, Andrei

Abstract

We present a simple model in which rational but uninformed traders occasionally chase noise as if it were information, thereby amplifying sentiment shocks and moving prices away from fundamental values. In the model, noise traders can have an impact on market equilibrium disproportionate to their size in the market. The model offers a partial explanation for the surprisingly low market price of financial risk in the spring of 2007.

Suggested Citation

  • Mendel, Brock & Shleifer, Andrei, 2012. "Chasing noise," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(2), pages 303-320.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:104:y:2012:i:2:p:303-320
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2011.02.018
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jeremy C. Stein, 2009. "Presidential Address: Sophisticated Investors and Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 64(4), pages 1517-1548, August.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Banerjee, Snehal & Green, Brett, 2015. "Signal or noise? Uncertainty and learning about whether other traders are informed," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(2), pages 398-423.
    2. Rossi, S & Tinn, K, 2012. "Man or Machine? Rational trading without information about fundamentals," Working Papers 12194, Imperial College, London, Imperial College Business School.
    3. repec:eee:quaeco:v:64:y:2017:i:c:p:183-195 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Yang, Chunpeng & Li, Jinfang, 2013. "Investor sentiment, information and asset pricing model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 436-442.
    5. Irresberger, Felix & Mühlnickel, Janina & Weiß, Gregor N.F., 2015. "Explaining bank stock performance with crisis sentiment," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 311-329.
    6. repec:eee:ecofin:v:42:y:2017:i:c:p:504-512 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Jon Kleinberg & Himabindu Lakkaraju & Jure Leskovec & Jens Ludwig & Sendhil Mullainathan, 2017. "Human Decisions and Machine Predictions," NBER Working Papers 23180, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Weihong HUANG & Wanying Wang, 2012. "Price-Volume Relations in Financial Market," Economic Growth Centre Working Paper Series 1209, Nanyang Technological University, School of Social Sciences, Economic Growth Centre.
    9. Guo, Bin & Zhang, Wei & Chen, Shu-Heng & Zhang, Yongjie, 2015. "The optimal pricing of a market maker in a heterogeneous agent economy," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 14(C), pages 178-187.
    10. Li, Jinfang, 2014. "Multi-period sentiment asset pricing model with information," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 118-130.
    11. Buckley, Winston & Long, Hongwei & Perera, Sandun, 2014. "A jump model for fads in asset prices under asymmetric information," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 236(1), pages 200-208.
    12. Robert S. Chirinko & Christopher Curran, 2013. "Greenspan Shrugs: Central Bank Communication, Formal Pronouncements and Bond Market Volatility," CESifo Working Paper Series 4236, CESifo Group Munich.
    13. Yang, Chunpeng & Cai, Chuangqun, 2014. "Higher order expectations in sentiment asset pricing model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 95-100.
    14. Yang, Chunpeng & Li, Jinfang, 2014. "Two-period trading sentiment asset pricing model with information," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 1-7.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Insiders; Sentiment; Informed trading;

    JEL classification:

    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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