IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jeborg/v241y2026ics0167268125004950.html

Markets and New Industrial Policy: Systemic directionality or polycentric evolutionism?

Author

Listed:
  • Cheang, Bryan
  • Pennington, Mark

Abstract

Proponents of “new industrial policy” claim that systemic directionality can be imparted to market economies in ways recognising the epistemic challenges of complexity and uncertainty. This paper evaluates these efforts to reformulate industrial policy on a more epistemically modest, evolutionary footing and argues that they fail. We contend that the focus on “systemic directionality” undercuts the emphasis placed on evolutionary learning and the epistemic limitations of centralised authority. Proper attention to these problems implies neither a laissez-faire/market fundamentalist position nor one that favours “systemic directionality.” Rather, it points towards a largely directionless environment where market-state entanglements arise through a polycentric evolutionism at multiple different scales.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheang, Bryan & Pennington, Mark, 2026. "Markets and New Industrial Policy: Systemic directionality or polycentric evolutionism?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:241:y:2026:i:c:s0167268125004950
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107378
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167268125004950
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107378?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Magnus Henrekson & Christian Sandström & Mikael Stenkula, 2024. "Moonshots and the New Industrial Policy: Questioning the Mission Economy," International Studies in Entrepreneurship, in: Magnus Henrekson & Christian Sandström & Mikael Stenkula (ed.), Moonshots and the New Industrial Policy, pages 3-28, Springer.
    2. Koppl,Roger & Gatti,Roberto Cazzolla & Devereaux,Abigail & Fath,Brian D. & Herriot,James & Hordijk,Wim, 2023. "Explaining Technology," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781009386258.
    3. Samuel DeCanio, 2014. "Democracy, the Market, and the Logic of Social Choice," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 58(3), pages 637-652, July.
    4. Howard Aldrich & Geoffrey Hodgson & David Hull & Thorbjørn Knudsen & Joel Mokyr & Viktor Vanberg, 2008. "In defence of generalized Darwinism," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 18(5), pages 577-596, October.
    5. Dold, Malte & Lewis, Paul, 2022. "F.A. Hayek on the political economy of endogenous preferences: An historical overview and contemporary assessment," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 104-119.
    6. Vernon L. Smith, 2003. "Constructivist and Ecological Rationality in Economics," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(3), pages 465-508, June.
    7. David S. Landes, 1994. "What room for accident in history?: explaining big changes by small events," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 47(4), pages 637-656, November.
    8. Pablo Paniagua, 2018. "Money and the emergence of knowledge in society," Review of Social Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 76(1), pages 95-118, January.
    9. Magnus Henrekson & Anders Kärnä & Tino Sanandaji, 2022. "Schumpeterian entrepreneurship: coveted by policymakers but impervious to top-down policymaking," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 32(3), pages 867-890, July.
    10. Randall G. Holcombe, 2024. "Engineering Is Not Entrepreneurship," International Studies in Entrepreneurship, in: Magnus Henrekson & Christian Sandström & Mikael Stenkula (ed.), Moonshots and the New Industrial Policy, pages 43-60, Springer.
    11. Storr,Virgil Henry & Stein,Solomon M., 2024. "Understanding Ludwig Lachmann's Economics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781009479363.
    12. Lambert, Karras J. & Fegley, Tate, 2023. "Economic Calculation in Light of Advances in Big Data and Artificial Intelligence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 243-250.
    13. Rodney H. Yerger, 2024. "Analyzing the Effectiveness of State-Guided Innovation," International Studies in Entrepreneurship, in: Magnus Henrekson & Christian Sandström & Mikael Stenkula (ed.), Moonshots and the New Industrial Policy, pages 95-108, Springer.
    14. Mario Cimoli & Giovanni Dosi & Xiaodan Yu, 2020. "Industrial Policies, Patterns of Learning and Development: an Evolutionary Perspective," LEM Papers Series 2020/08, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    15. Boettke, Peter J. & Candela, Rosolino A., 2023. "On the feasibility of technosocialism," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 44-54.
    16. Nils Karlson & Christian Sandström & Karl Wennberg, 2021. "Bureaucrats or Markets in Innovation Policy? – a critique of the entrepreneurial state," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 34(1), pages 81-95, March.
    17. Cheang, Bryan, 2024. "Why mission-directed governance risks authoritarianism: lessons from East Asia," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 125640, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    18. Diane Coyle, 2024. "State and Markets: Not Whether But How," International Studies in Entrepreneurship, in: Magnus Henrekson & Christian Sandström & Mikael Stenkula (ed.), Moonshots and the New Industrial Policy, pages 31-41, Springer.
    19. Charles Delmotte & Malte Dold, 2022. "Dynamic preferences and the behavioral case against sin taxes," Constitutional Political Economy, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 80-99, March.
    20. Karl Aiginger & Dani Rodrik, 2020. "Rebirth of Industrial Policy and an Agenda for the Twenty-First Century," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 189-207, June.
    21. Roger Koppl, 2002. "Big Players and the Economic Theory of Expectations," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-0-230-62924-0, September.
    22. Mariana Mazzucato, 2016. "From market fixing to market-creating: a new framework for innovation policy," Industry and Innovation, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 140-156, February.
    23. Réka Juhász & Nathan Lane & Dani Rodrik, 2024. "The New Economics of Industrial Policy," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 16(1), pages 213-242, August.
    24. Alberto Mingardi, 2015. "A Critique of Mazzucato's Entrepreneurial State," Cato Journal, Cato Journal, Cato Institute, vol. 35(3), pages 603-625, Fall.
    25. Hausmann, Ricardo & Rodrik, Dani, 2003. "Economic development as self-discovery," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(2), pages 603-633, December.
    26. Magnus Henrekson & Christian Sandström & Mikael Stenkula (ed.), 2024. "Moonshots and the New Industrial Policy," International Studies in Entrepreneurship, Springer, number 978-3-031-49196-2, September.
    27. Storr,Virgil Henry & Stein,Solomon M., 2024. "Understanding Ludwig Lachmann's Economics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781009087667.
    28. Cheang, Bryan, 2024. "Why mission-directed governance risks authoritarianism: lessons from East Asia," Journal of Institutional Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20, pages 1-1, January.
    29. Benjamin Powell, 2005. "State Development Planning: Did it Create an East Asian Miracle?," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 18(3), pages 305-323, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cheang, Bryan, 2024. "Why mission-directed governance risks authoritarianism: lessons from East Asia," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 125640, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Giovanni Dosi & Andrea Roventini & Emmanuele Russo, 2020. "Public Policies And The Art Of Catching Up," Working Papers hal-03242369, HAL.
    3. Giovanni Dosi & Andrea Roventini & Emanuele Russo, 2021. "Public policies and the art of catching up: matching the historical evidence with a multicountry agent-based model [Catching up, forging ahead, and falling behind]," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 30(4), pages 1011-1036.
    4. Fu, Xiao & Lin, Ping & Ye, Gaofen, 2026. "Industrial policy in China: Its development and ongoing transformation," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    5. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/3s3jn8tt5h9mab7fo128gecbhj is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Jon Mikel Zabala-Iturriagagoitia, 2022. "Fostering regional innovation, entrepreneurship and growth through public procurement," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 1205-1222, February.
    7. Sergio Mariotti, 2025. "“Open strategic autonomy” as an industrial policy compass for the EU competitiveness and growth: The good, the bad, or the ugly?," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 52(1), pages 1-26, March.
    8. Skyrman, Viktor, 2024. "Industrial policy, progressive derisking, and the financing of Europe's green transition," Working Papers 78, Austrian Foundation for Development Research (ÖFSE).
    9. Tomaso Duso & Martin Peitz, 2026. "Aligning Competition Policy and Industrial Policy in the EU ±," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 1-35, December.
    10. Boyao Zhang & Liping Xu, 2025. "Research on Policy Optimization for Coordinated Development of Digital Content Industry in China’s Yangtze River Delta Region—Based on the PMC-Index Model," SAGE Open, , vol. 15(3), pages 21582440251, September.
    11. Carmen Heinrich & Christoph Knill & Yves Steinebach, 2025. "Analyzing industrial policy portfolios," Policy Sciences, Springer;Society of Policy Sciences, vol. 58(1), pages 87-109, March.
    12. Silva Neira, Ignacio & Pédussel Wu, Jennifer, 2026. "Redefining global trade patterns: BRICS, G7, and technological trade in Latin America," IPE Working Papers 269/2026, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    13. Cantner, Uwe & Vannuccini, Simone, 2021. "Pervasive technologies and industrial linkages: Modeling acquired purposes," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 386-399.
    14. Algers, Jonas & Gong, Jindan & Nykvist, Björn & Åhman, Max, 2025. "Competition and climate policy in the steel transition: Comparing costs and subsidies in the US and the EU," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    15. Magnus Henrekson & Mikael Stenkula, 2024. "Bottom-Up Policies Trump Top-Down Missions," International Studies in Entrepreneurship, in: Magnus Henrekson & Christian Sandström & Mikael Stenkula (ed.), Moonshots and the New Industrial Policy, pages 309-331, Springer.
    16. Mariana Mazzucato & Rainer Kattel & Josh Ryan-Collins, 2020. "Challenge-Driven Innovation Policy: Towards a New Policy Toolkit," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 421-437, June.
    17. Hafele, Jakob & Le Lannou, Laure-Alizée & Rochowicz, Nils & Kuhls, Sonia & Gräbner-Radkowitsch, Claudius, 2023. "Securing future-fit jobs in the green transformation: A policy framework for industrial policy," ZOE Discussion Papers 10, ZOE. institute for future-fit economies, Bonn.
    18. Mark Pennington, 2021. "Hayek on complexity, uncertainty and pandemic response," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 34(2), pages 203-220, June.
    19. Dullien Sebastian, 2025. "Industriepolitik der neuen Regierung: Von holistischem Ansatz noch weit entfernt," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, vol. 105(8), pages 572-575.
    20. James Caton, 2017. "Entrepreneurship, search costs, and ecological rationality in an agent-based economy," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 30(1), pages 107-130, March.
    21. repec:jpe:journl:1124 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Bryan Cheang, 2024. "What Can Industrial Policy Do? Evidence from Singapore," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 37(1), pages 1-34, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:241:y:2026:i:c:s0167268125004950. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jebo .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.