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Prediction intervals for the Holt-Winters forecasting procedure

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  • Yar, Mohammed
  • Chatfield, Chris

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  • Yar, Mohammed & Chatfield, Chris, 1990. "Prediction intervals for the Holt-Winters forecasting procedure," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 127-137.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:6:y:1990:i:1:p:127-137
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    Cited by:

    1. Kim, Jae H. & Wong, Kevin & Athanasopoulos, George & Liu, Shen, 2011. "Beyond point forecasting: Evaluation of alternative prediction intervals for tourist arrivals," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 887-901.
    2. repec:ntu:ntugeo:vol2-iss1-14-054 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Manikas, Andrew & Chang, Yih-Long & Ferguson, Mark, 2009. "BlueLinx can benefit from innovative inventory management methods for commodity forward buys," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 545-554, June.
    4. Snyder, Ralph D. & Koehler, Anne B. & Hyndman, Rob J. & Ord, J. Keith, 2004. "Exponential smoothing models: Means and variances for lead-time demand," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 158(2), pages 444-455, October.
    5. J. D. Bermudez & J. V. Segura & E. Vercher, 2007. "Holt-Winters Forecasting: An Alternative Formulation Applied to UK Air Passenger Data," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(9), pages 1075-1090.
    6. De Gooijer, Jan G. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2006. "25 years of time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 443-473.
    7. Gardner, Everette Jr., 2006. "Exponential smoothing: The state of the art--Part II," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 637-666.
    8. Bianchi, Lisa & Jarrett, Jeffrey & Choudary Hanumara, R., 1998. "Improving forecasting for telemarketing centers by ARIMA modeling with intervention," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 497-504, December.
    9. Scarpel, Rodrigo Arnaldo, 2015. "An integrated mixture of local experts model for demand forecasting," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 35-42.
    10. Jan G. de Gooijer & Rob J. Hyndman, 2005. "25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-068/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    11. Anne B. Koehler & Rob J. Hyndman & Ralph D. Snyder & J. Keith Ord, 2005. "Prediction intervals for exponential smoothing using two new classes of state space models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(1), pages 17-37.
    12. Weller, Barry R., 1995. "Software review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 175-187, March.
    13. James W. Taylor & Derek W. Bunn, 1999. "A Quantile Regression Approach to Generating Prediction Intervals," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(2), pages 225-237, February.
    14. Cote, Murray J., 2005. "A note on "Bed allocation techniques based on census data"," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 183-192, June.
    15. Taylor, James W. & Bunn, Derek W., 1999. "Investigating improvements in the accuracy of prediction intervals for combinations of forecasts: A simulation study," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 325-339, July.
    16. Mihaela Simionescu, 2014. "M1 and M2 indicators- new proposed measures for the global accuracy of forecast intervals," Computational Methods in Social Sciences (CMSS), "Nicolae Titulescu" University of Bucharest, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 2(1), pages 54-59, June.
    17. Chen, Chunhang, 1997. "Robustness properties of some forecasting methods for seasonal time series: A Monte Carlo study," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 269-280, June.
    18. Grubb, Howard & Mason, Alexina, 2001. "Long lead-time forecasting of UK air passengers by Holt-Winters methods with damped trend," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 71-82.
    19. J D Bermúdez & J V Segura & E Vercher, 2010. "Bayesian forecasting with the Holt–Winters model," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 61(1), pages 164-171, January.

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