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Confidence intervals for population projections based on Monte Carlo methods

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  • Pflaumer, Peter

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  • Pflaumer, Peter, 1988. "Confidence intervals for population projections based on Monte Carlo methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(1), pages 135-142.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:4:y:1988:i:1:p:135-142
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    Cited by:

    1. Booth, Heather, 2006. "Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 547-581.
    2. Hendrik Hansen & Peter Pflaumer, 2011. "Zur Prognose der Lebenserwartung in Deutschland: Ein Vergleich verschiedener Verfahren," AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Springer;Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft - German Statistical Society, vol. 5(3), pages 203-219, December.
    3. António Brandão Moniz, 2008. "Assessing scenarios on the future of work," Enterprise and Work Innovation Studies, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, IET/CICS.NOVA-Interdisciplinary Centre on Social Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology, vol. 4(4), pages 91-106, November.
    4. Nico Keilman & Dinh Quang Pham & Arve Hetland, 2002. "Why population forecasts should be probabilistic - illustrated by the case of Norway," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 6(15), pages 409-454, May.
    5. Casas Sánchez, J.M. & Gutiérrez De Mesa, J.L. & Núñez Velázquez, J.J., 2003. "Generación de una proyección de la población española para el período 1996-2025, mediante un modelo de simulación estocástica," Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Estudios de Economía Aplicada, vol. 21, pages 73-90, Abril.
    6. Hendrik Hansen, 2013. "The forecasting performance of mortality models," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 97(1), pages 11-31, January.
    7. Rodier, Caroline J. & Johnston, Robert A., 2002. "Uncertain socioeconomic projections used in travel demand and emissions models: could plausible errors result in air quality nonconformity?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 36(7), pages 613-631, August.
    8. W. Lutz & P. Saariluoma & W.C. Sanderson & S. Scherbov, 2000. "New Developments in the Methodology of Expert- and Argument-Based Probabilistic Population Forecasting," Working Papers ir00020, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.

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