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Information-based trade in the Shanghai stock market

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  • Copeland, Laurence
  • Wong, Woon K.
  • Zeng, Yong

Abstract

We show that the probability of information-based trade (PIN) played a significant role in explaining monthly returns on Shanghai A shares over the period 2001 to 2006. In particular, PIN, as approximated by order imbalance as a proportion of total transactions, appears to explain returns even after controlling for risk in the much-cited Fama and French [Fama, E. F. & French, K. R. (1992). The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns. Journal of Finance, XLVII, 427-465.] three-factor model. However, we also find that some of the PIN effect appears to be indistinguishable from a turnover effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Copeland, Laurence & Wong, Woon K. & Zeng, Yong, 2009. "Information-based trade in the Shanghai stock market," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 180-190.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:glofin:v:20:y:2009:i:2:p:180-190
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David Easley & Soeren Hvidkjaer & Maureen O'Hara, 2002. "Is Information Risk a Determinant of Asset Returns?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(5), pages 2185-2221, October.
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    7. David Easley & Maureen O'hara, 2004. "Information and the Cost of Capital," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 59(4), pages 1553-1583, August.
    8. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1992. "The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 427-465, June.
    9. Kubota, Keiichi & Takehara, Hitoshi, 2009. "Information based trade, the PIN variable, and portfolio style differences: Evidence from Tokyo stock exchange firms," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 319-337, June.
    10. Xu, Cheng Kenneth, 2000. "The microstructure of the Chinese stock market," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 79-97.
    11. Shanken, Jay, 1992. "On the Estimation of Beta-Pricing Models," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(1), pages 1-33.
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    Cited by:

    1. Guobin Fan & Eric Girardin & Wong K. Wong & Yong Zeng, 2015. "The Risk of Individual Stocks’ Tail Dependence with the Market and Its Effect on Stock Returns," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2015, pages 1-17, November.
    2. Kang, Moonsoo, 2010. "Probability of information-based trading and the January effect," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(12), pages 2985-2994, December.
    3. Lockwood, Jimmy & Lockwood, Larry & Miao, Hong & Ramchander, Sanjay & Yang, Dongxiao, 2022. "The information content of ETF options," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).

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