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Do weather conditions drive China's carbon-coal-electricity markets systemic risk? A multi-timescale analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Zhao, Yi
  • Dai, Xingyu
  • Zhang, Dongna
  • Wang, Qunwei
  • Cao, Yaru

Abstract

This paper uses the wavelet coherency method to reveal the timescale-varying driving mechanism of 12 different types of weather conditions data on risk measures of China's Carbon-Coal-Electricity (CCE) system. First, we find that temperature may be a major factor influencing the co-movement pattern of China's CCE system on a long-term timescale, but cannot affect information spillover pattern of the CCE system. Second, snowfall, cloud, and wind levels could influence the long-term variation of the CCE system's risk measurement. Third, none of the selected weather condition indicators could influence the short- and medium-run CCE systemic risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhao, Yi & Dai, Xingyu & Zhang, Dongna & Wang, Qunwei & Cao, Yaru, 2023. "Do weather conditions drive China's carbon-coal-electricity markets systemic risk? A multi-timescale analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:51:y:2023:i:c:s1544612322006092
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2022.103432
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Wu, Dan & Dai, Xingyu & Zhao, Ruikun & Cao, Yaru & Wang, Qunwei, 2023. "Pass-through from temperature intervals to China's commodity futures’ interval-valued returns: Evidence from the varying-coefficient ITS model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    4. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Arfaoui, Nadia, 2023. "Exploring downside risk dependence across energy markets: Electricity, conventional energy, carbon, and clean energy during episodes of market crises," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    5. Joseph P. Byrne & Prince Asare Vitenu-Sackey, 2024. "The Macroeconomic Impact of Global and Country-Specific Climate Risk," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 87(3), pages 655-682, March.
    6. Zhang, Dongna & Dai, Xingyu & Wang, Qunwei, 2025. "Do green assets enhance portfolio optimization? A multi-horizon investing perspective," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 57(5).
    7. Qiao, Sen & Chang, Yuan & Yang, Meng & Dang, Yi Jing, 2025. "Motivation or resistance: A multidimensional analysis of quantile network spillovers between smart grids and carbon markets from a digital technology perspective," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    8. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Zhang, Dongna & Urquhart, Andrew, 2025. "AI and carbon pricing in turbulent times: Navigating market dynamics for a sustainable future," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    9. Xue, Jianhao & Dai, Xingyu & Zhang, Dongna & Nghiem, Xuan-Hoa & Wang, Qunwei, 2024. "Tail risk spillover network among green bond, energy and agricultural markets under extreme weather scenarios," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).

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