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Long-term water demand for electricity, industry and households

Author

Listed:
  • Bijl, David L.
  • Bogaart, Patrick W.
  • Kram, Tom
  • de Vries, Bert J.M.
  • van Vuuren, Detlef P.

Abstract

Better water demand projections are needed in order to better assess water scarcity. The focus in this paper is on non-agricultural water demand, as this is the fastest-growing and least well-modelled demand component. We describe an end use-oriented model for future water demand in the electricity, industry and municipal sectors, with several new features. In the electricity sector, effects of thermal efficiency improvements on water demand are incorporated in our model. In the industry and municipal sectors, we separately estimate potential water efficiency improvements for withdrawal and consumption, so that consumption is no longer a simple fraction of withdrawal. We develop three scenarios for 26 regions and the period 1971–2100. The Medium and High scenarios project increasing global withdrawal (1930–2876km3/yr) and consumption (537–694km3/yr) in 2100, with especially dramatic increases in developing regions. Also, an alternative future is presented, with high standards of living and much lower water withdrawal (1010km3/yr) and consumption (236km3/yr). Aggressive efficiency measures can reduce baseline withdrawal and consumption in 2100 by 60% relative to zero efficiency gains.

Suggested Citation

  • Bijl, David L. & Bogaart, Patrick W. & Kram, Tom & de Vries, Bert J.M. & van Vuuren, Detlef P., 2016. "Long-term water demand for electricity, industry and households," Environmental Science & Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(P1), pages 75-86.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enscpo:v:55:y:2016:i:p1:p:75-86
    DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2015.09.005
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    Cited by:

    1. Linus Nyiwul, 2023. "Demand for water innovation: evidence on wastewater technology adoption in thirteen African countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(5), pages 3383-3410, October.
    2. Gunnar Luderer & Michaja Pehl & Anders Arvesen & Thomas Gibon & Benjamin L Bodirsky & Harmen Sytze de Boer & Oliver Fricko & Mohamad Hejazi & Florian Humpenöder & Gokul Iyer & Silvana Mima & Ioanna Mo, 2019. "Environmental co-benefits and adverse side-effects of alternative power sector decarbonization strategies," Post-Print hal-02380468, HAL.
    3. Zhou, Yuanchun & Ma, Mengdie & Gao, Peiqi & Xu, Qiming & Bi, Jun & Naren, Tuya, 2019. "Managing water resources from the energy - water nexus perspective under a changing climate: A case study of Jiangsu province, China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 380-390.
    4. Jia, Chenhui & Yan, Ping & Liu, Pei & Li, Zheng, 2021. "Energy industrial water withdrawal under different energy development scenarios: A multi-regional approach and a case study of China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    5. Burek, Jasmina & Nutter, Darin W., 2020. "Environmental implications of perishables storage and retailing☆," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    6. Torrell, Gregory & Stevens, Reid, 2018. "The Texas state water plan: history and future," Western Economics Forum, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 16(1).
    7. Krarti, Moncef & Aldubyan, Mohammad, 2021. "Mitigation analysis of water consumption for power generation and air conditioning of residential buildings: Case study of Saudi Arabia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    8. Miguel Ángel Pardo & Ricardo Cobacho & Luis Bañón, 2020. "Standalone Photovoltaic Direct Pumping in Urban Water Pressurized Networks with Energy Storage in Tanks or Batteries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-20, January.
    9. Miguel Ángel Pardo & Héctor Fernández & Antonio Jodar-Abellan, 2020. "Converting a Water Pressurized Network in a Small Town into a Solar Power Water System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-26, August.
    10. I. Mouratiadou & M. Bevione & D. L. Bijl & L. Drouet & M. Hejazi & S. Mima & M. Pehl & G. Luderer, 2018. "Water demand for electricity in deep decarbonisation scenarios: a multi-model assessment," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 147(1), pages 91-106, March.
    11. Han, Xinxueqi & Hua, En & Engel, Bernie A. & Guan, Jiajie & Yin, Jieling & Wu, Nan & Sun, Shikun & Wang, Yubao, 2022. "Understanding implications of climate change and socio-economic development for the water-energy-food nexus: A meta-regression analysis," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).

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