IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ejores/v304y2023i1p113-138.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Infection transmission and prevention in metropolises with heterogeneous and dynamic populations

Author

Listed:
  • Rezapour, Shabnam
  • Baghaian, Atefe
  • Naderi, Nazanin
  • Sarmiento, Juan P.

Abstract

Due to dense social contacts, metropolises are considered as epicenters of contagious infectious diseases. Developing models for infection transmission and mitigation in metropolises is a challenging problem because of spatiotemporal variations in their population structures. Employing the fact that intra-urban mobility is mainly shaped by the transportation infrastructure and reflected in the traffic flux information, a novel multi-scale reaction-diffusion process is developed to model infection transmission in a metropolis.

Suggested Citation

  • Rezapour, Shabnam & Baghaian, Atefe & Naderi, Nazanin & Sarmiento, Juan P., 2023. "Infection transmission and prevention in metropolises with heterogeneous and dynamic populations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 304(1), pages 113-138.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:304:y:2023:i:1:p:113-138
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2021.09.016
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S037722172100775X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ejor.2021.09.016?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kang, Chaogui & Ma, Xiujun & Tong, Daoqin & Liu, Yu, 2012. "Intra-urban human mobility patterns: An urban morphology perspective," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(4), pages 1702-1717.
    2. J. A. P. Heesterbeek & K. Dietz, 1996. "The concept of Ro in epidemic theory," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 50(1), pages 89-110, March.
    3. Yu Liu & Chaogui Kang & Song Gao & Yu Xiao & Yuan Tian, 2012. "Understanding intra-urban trip patterns from taxi trajectory data," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 463-483, October.
    4. Isabelle Thomas & Ann Verhetsel & Hakim Hammadou & Dries Vanhofstraeten, 2003. "Distance decay in activity chains analysis. A Belgian case study," ERSA conference papers ersa03p119, European Regional Science Association.
    5. Doblas, Javier & Benitez, Francisco G., 2005. "An approach to estimating and updating origin-destination matrices based upon traffic counts preserving the prior structure of a survey matrix," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 39(7), pages 565-591, August.
    6. Elisa F. Long & Eike Nohdurft & Stefan Spinler, 2018. "Spatial Resource Allocation for Emerging Epidemics: A Comparison of Greedy, Myopic, and Dynamic Policies," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 20(2), pages 181-198, May.
    7. Serina Chang & Emma Pierson & Pang Wei Koh & Jaline Gerardin & Beth Redbird & David Grusky & Jure Leskovec, 2021. "Mobility network models of COVID-19 explain inequities and inform reopening," Nature, Nature, vol. 589(7840), pages 82-87, January.
    8. Holger Scheel & Stefan Scholtes, 2000. "Mathematical Programs with Complementarity Constraints: Stationarity, Optimality, and Sensitivity," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 25(1), pages 1-22, February.
    9. Anastasios Noulas & Salvatore Scellato & Renaud Lambiotte & Massimiliano Pontil & Cecilia Mascolo, 2012. "A Tale of Many Cities: Universal Patterns in Human Urban Mobility," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(5), pages 1-10, May.
    10. Marta C. González & César A. Hidalgo & Albert-László Barabási, 2009. "Understanding individual human mobility patterns," Nature, Nature, vol. 458(7235), pages 238-238, March.
    11. S Rezapour & R Zanjirani Farahani & T Drezner, 2011. "Strategic design of competing supply chain networks for inelastic demand," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 62(10), pages 1784-1795, October.
    12. Richard C. Larson, 2007. "Simple Models of Influenza Progression Within a Heterogeneous Population," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 55(3), pages 399-412, June.
    13. Roberto Patuelli & Aura Reggiani & Sean Gorman & Peter Nijkamp & Franz-Josef Bade, 2007. "Network Analysis of Commuting Flows: A Comparative Static Approach to German Data," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 7(4), pages 315-331, December.
    14. D. Brockmann & L. Hufnagel & T. Geisel, 2006. "The scaling laws of human travel," Nature, Nature, vol. 439(7075), pages 462-465, January.
    15. S Rezapour & R Zanjirani Farahani & T Drezner, 2011. "Strategic design of competing supply chain networks for inelastic demand," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 62(10), pages 1784-1795, October.
    16. Jayson S. Jia & Xin Lu & Yun Yuan & Ge Xu & Jianmin Jia & Nicholas A. Christakis, 2020. "Population flow drives spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 in China," Nature, Nature, vol. 582(7812), pages 389-394, June.
    17. Lotty E. Duijzer & Willem L. van Jaarsveld & Jacco Wallinga & Rommert Dekker, 2018. "Dose†Optimal Vaccine Allocation over Multiple Populations," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 27(1), pages 143-159, January.
    18. Neil M. Ferguson & Matt J. Keeling & W. John Edmunds & Raymond Gani & Bryan T. Grenfell & Roy M. Anderson & Steve Leach, 2003. "Planning for smallpox outbreaks," Nature, Nature, vol. 425(6959), pages 681-685, October.
    19. Chengbin Peng & Xiaogang Jin & Ka-Chun Wong & Meixia Shi & Pietro Liò, 2012. "Collective Human Mobility Pattern from Taxi Trips in Urban Area," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(4), pages 1-8, April.
    20. Filippo Simini & Marta C. González & Amos Maritan & Albert-László Barabási, 2012. "A universal model for mobility and migration patterns," Nature, Nature, vol. 484(7392), pages 96-100, April.
    21. Büyüktahtakın, İ. Esra & des-Bordes, Emmanuel & Kıbış, Eyyüb Y., 2018. "A new epidemics–logistics model: Insights into controlling the Ebola virus disease in West Africa," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 265(3), pages 1046-1063.
    22. Stephen Eubank & Hasan Guclu & V. S. Anil Kumar & Madhav V. Marathe & Aravind Srinivasan & Zoltán Toroczkai & Nan Wang, 2004. "Modelling disease outbreaks in realistic urban social networks," Nature, Nature, vol. 429(6988), pages 180-184, May.
    23. Castillo, Enrique & Menéndez, José María & Jiménez, Pilar, 2008. "Trip matrix and path flow reconstruction and estimation based on plate scanning and link observations," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 42(5), pages 455-481, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cheng, Qixiu & Lin, Yuqian & Zhou, Xuesong (Simon) & Liu, Zhiyuan, 2024. "Analytical formulation for explaining the variations in traffic states: A fundamental diagram modeling perspective with stochastic parameters," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 312(1), pages 182-197.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Meead Saberi & Taha H. Rashidi & Milad Ghasri & Kenneth Ewe, 2018. "A Complex Network Methodology for Travel Demand Model Evaluation and Validation," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 1051-1073, December.
    2. Chaogui Kang & Yu Liu & Diansheng Guo & Kun Qin, 2015. "A Generalized Radiation Model for Human Mobility: Spatial Scale, Searching Direction and Trip Constraint," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(11), pages 1-11, November.
    3. Meead Saberi & Hani S. Mahmassani & Dirk Brockmann & Amir Hosseini, 2017. "A complex network perspective for characterizing urban travel demand patterns: graph theoretical analysis of large-scale origin–destination demand networks," Transportation, Springer, vol. 44(6), pages 1383-1402, November.
    4. Wang, Wenjun & Pan, Lin & Yuan, Ning & Zhang, Sen & Liu, Dong, 2015. "A comparative analysis of intra-city human mobility by taxi," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 420(C), pages 134-147.
    5. Sanja Šćepanović & Igor Mishkovski & Pan Hui & Jukka K Nurminen & Antti Ylä-Jääski, 2015. "Mobile Phone Call Data as a Regional Socio-Economic Proxy Indicator," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(4), pages 1-15, April.
    6. Huang, Feihu & Qiao, Shaojie & Peng, Jian & Guo, Bing & Xiong, Xi & Han, Nan, 2019. "A movement model for air passengers based on trip purpose," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 798-808.
    7. He, Zhengbing, 2020. "Spatial-temporal fractal of urban agglomeration travel demand," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 549(C).
    8. Raja Jurdak, 2013. "The Impact of Cost and Network Topology on Urban Mobility: A Study of Public Bicycle Usage in 2 U.S. Cities," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(11), pages 1-6, November.
    9. Nimrod Serok & Efrat Blumenfeld-Lieberthal, 2015. "A Simulation Model for Intra-Urban Movements," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(7), pages 1-15, July.
    10. Sparks, Kevin & Moehl, Jessica & Weber, Eric & Brelsford, Christa & Rose, Amy, 2022. "Shifting temporal dynamics of human mobility in the United States," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    11. Jiang, Jincheng & Xu, Zhihua & Zhang, Zhenxin & Zhang, Jie & Liu, Kang & Kong, Hui, 2023. "Revealing the fractal and self-similarity of realistic collective human mobility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 630(C).
    12. Li, Ze-Tao & Nie, Wei-Peng & Cai, Shi-Min & Zhao, Zhi-Dan & Zhou, Tao, 2023. "Exploring the topological characteristics of urban trip networks based on taxi trajectory data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 609(C).
    13. Saberi, Meead & Ghamami, Mehrnaz & Gu, Yi & Shojaei, Mohammad Hossein (Sam) & Fishman, Elliot, 2018. "Understanding the impacts of a public transit disruption on bicycle sharing mobility patterns: A case of Tube strike in London," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 154-166.
    14. Chen, Ya & Li, Xue & Zhang, Richong & Huang, Zi-Gang & Lai, Ying-Cheng, 2020. "Instantaneous success and influence promotion in cyberspace — how do they occur?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 556(C).
    15. Daniel Austin & Robin M Cross & Tamara Hayes & Jeffrey Kaye, 2014. "Regularity and Predictability of Human Mobility in Personal Space," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(2), pages 1-8, February.
    16. Fernando Santa & Roberto Henriques & Joaquín Torres-Sospedra & Edzer Pebesma, 2019. "A Statistical Approach for Studying the Spatio-Temporal Distribution of Geolocated Tweets in Urban Environments," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-29, January.
    17. Siqin Wang & Mengxi Zhang & Tao Hu & Xiaokang Fu & Zhe Gao & Briana Halloran & Yan Liu, 2021. "A Bibliometric Analysis and Network Visualisation of Human Mobility Studies from 1990 to 2020: Emerging Trends and Future Research Directions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-22, May.
    18. Xiang-Wen Wang & Xiao-Pu Han & Bing-Hong Wang, 2014. "Correlations and Scaling Laws in Human Mobility," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(1), pages 1-10, January.
    19. Fan Yang & Zhenxing Yao & Fan Ding & Huachun Tan & Bin Ran, 2019. "Understanding Urban Mobility Pattern with Cellular Phone Data: A Case Study of Residents and Travelers in Nanjing," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-17, October.
    20. Huang, Zhiren & Wang, Pu & Zhang, Fan & Gao, Jianxi & Schich, Maximilian, 2018. "A mobility network approach to identify and anticipate large crowd gatherings," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 147-170.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:304:y:2023:i:1:p:113-138. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.