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Using subsystem linear regression metamodels in stochastic simulation

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  • Reis dos Santos, Pedro M.
  • Isabel Reis dos Santos, M.

Abstract

This article explores the use of metamodels as simulation building blocks. The metamodel replaces a part of the simulation model with a mathematical function that mimics the input-output behavior of that part, with respect to some measure of interest to the designer. The integration of metamodels as components of the simulation model simplifies the model and reduces the simulation time. Such use of the metamodels also gives the designer a better understanding of the behavior of those parts of the model, making the simulation model as a whole more intelligible. The metamodel-based simulation model building process is examined, step by step, and the designer options are explored. This process includes the identification of the metamodel candidates and the construction of the metamodels themselves. The assessment of the proposed approach includes the evaluation of the integration effort of the metamodel into the metamodel-based simulation model, and the accuracy of the output data when compared to the original system. A metamodel-based simulation model validation test, based on a simulation model validation test, is developed to ensure that the response conforms to the original simulation model. The proposed test comprises the cases when the simulation response variance varies with the experimental point and when it is constant. A message routing and processing example, with a fourth-degree polynomial regression metamodel, is used to illustrate the proposed procedure. An integrated simulation system is used to integrate the metamodel-based simulation model as well as the original simulation model.

Suggested Citation

  • Reis dos Santos, Pedro M. & Isabel Reis dos Santos, M., 2009. "Using subsystem linear regression metamodels in stochastic simulation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 196(3), pages 1031-1040, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:196:y:2009:i:3:p:1031-1040
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    8. Reis dos Santos, M. Isabel & Porta Nova, Acacio M.O., 2006. "Statistical fitting and validation of non-linear simulation metamodels: A case study," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 171(1), pages 53-63, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Reis dos Santos, M. Isabel & Reis dos Santos, Pedro M., 2016. "Switching regression metamodels in stochastic simulation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 251(1), pages 142-147.
    2. Cadero, A. & Aubry, A. & Brun, F. & Dourmad, J.Y. & Salaün, Y. & Garcia-Launay, F., 2018. "Global sensitivity analysis of a pig fattening unit model simulating technico-economic performance and environmental impacts," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 221-229.

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