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Pollination services at risk: Bee habitats will decrease owing to climate change in Brazil

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  • Giannini, Tereza C.
  • Acosta, André L.
  • Garófalo, Carlos A.
  • Saraiva, Antonio M.
  • Alves-dos-Santos, Isabel
  • Imperatriz-Fonseca, Vera L.

Abstract

Native bees are important providers of pollination services, but there are cumulative evidences of their decline. Global changes such as habitat losses, invasions of exotic species and climate change have been suggested as the main causes of the decline of pollinators. In this study, the influence of climate change on the distribution of 10 species of Brazilian bees was estimated with species distribution modelling. We used Maxent algorithm (maximum entropy) and two different scenarios, an optimistic and a pessimistic, to the years 2050 and 2080. We also evaluated the percentage reduction of species habitat based on the future scenarios of climate change through Geographic Information System (GIS). Results showed that the total area of suitable habitats decreased for all species but one under the different future scenarios. The greatest reductions in habitat area were found for Melipona bicolor bicolor and Melipona scutellaris, which occur predominantly in areas related originally to Atlantic Moist Forest. The species analysed have been reported to be pollinators of some regional crops and the consequence of their decrease for these crops needs further clarification.

Suggested Citation

  • Giannini, Tereza C. & Acosta, André L. & Garófalo, Carlos A. & Saraiva, Antonio M. & Alves-dos-Santos, Isabel & Imperatriz-Fonseca, Vera L., 2012. "Pollination services at risk: Bee habitats will decrease owing to climate change in Brazil," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 244(C), pages 127-131.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:244:y:2012:i:c:p:127-131
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.06.035
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Gallai, Nicola & Salles, Jean-Michel & Settele, Josef & Vaissière, Bernard E., 2009. "Economic valuation of the vulnerability of world agriculture confronted with pollinator decline," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(3), pages 810-821, January.
    2. Camille Parmesan & Gary Yohe, 2003. "A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems," Nature, Nature, vol. 421(6918), pages 37-42, January.
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    1. repec:rza:wpaper:741 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Tibesigwa , Byela, 2018. "Naturally Available Pollinator Decline Will Decrease Household Food Security and Increase the Gender Gap in Nutrition between Men and Women Who Head Smallholder Farm Households in Sub-Saharan Africa," EfD Discussion Paper 18-5, Environment for Development, University of Gothenburg.
    3. Jorge Velásquez-Tibatá & María H Olaya-Rodríguez & Daniel López-Lozano & César Gutiérrez & Iván González & María C Londoño-Murcia, 2019. "BioModelos: A collaborative online system to map species distributions," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(3), pages 1-13, March.
    4. Gutiérrez-Arellano, Claudia & Mulligan, Mark, 2020. "Small-sized protected areas contribute more per unit area to tropical crop pollination than large protected areas," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    5. Hong, Wei & Chen, Bingxue & Lu, Yuntao & Lu, Chuanqi & Liu, Shengping, 2022. "Using system equalization principle to study the effects of multiple factors to the development of bee colony," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 470(C).
    6. Kaloveloni, Aggeliki & Tscheulin, Thomas & Vujić, Ante & Radenković, Snežana & Petanidou, Theodora, 2015. "Winners and losers of climate change for the genus Merodon (Diptera: Syrphidae) across the Balkan Peninsula," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 313(C), pages 201-211.
    7. Rafaella Guimarães Porto & Rita Fernandes Almeida & Oswaldo Cruz-Neto & Marcelo Tabarelli & Blandina Felipe Viana & Carlos A. Peres & Ariadna Valentina Lopes, 2020. "Pollination ecosystem services: A comprehensive review of economic values, research funding and policy actions," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 12(6), pages 1425-1442, December.

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