IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v11y2020i1d10.1038_s41467-020-17171-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Meta-analysis of multidecadal biodiversity trends in Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Francesca Pilotto

    (Senckenberg Research Institute and Natural History Museum Frankfurt
    Umeå University)

  • Ingolf Kühn

    (Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ
    Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Geobotany and Botanical Garden
    German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle - Jena - Leipzig)

  • Rita Adrian

    (Leibniz Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries & Department of Biology, Chemistry and Pharmacy, Freie Universität Berlin)

  • Renate Alber

    (Agency for Environment and Climate Protection)

  • Audrey Alignier

    (UMR 0980 BAGAP, INRAE – Institut Agro – ESA
    LTSER Zone Atelier Armorique)

  • Christopher Andrews

    (UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology)

  • Jaana Bäck

    (University of Helsinki)

  • Luc Barbaro

    (Dynafor, INRAE, University of Toulouse, France & CESCO, Muséum National d’Histoire Naturelle, Sorbonne-Univ, Paris, France & LTSER Zone Atelier Pyrénées Garonne)

  • Deborah Beaumont

    (Rothamsted Research, North Wyke, Okehampton)

  • Natalie Beenaerts

    (Hasselt University)

  • Sue Benham

    (Forest Research)

  • David S. Boukal

    (University of South Bohemia, Faculty of Science, Department of Ecosystem Biology & Soil and Water Research Infrastructure
    Biology Centre, Institute of Entomology)

  • Vincent Bretagnolle

    (CEBC, UMR7372, CNRS & La Rochelle University
    LTSER Zone Atelier Plaine & Val de Sèvre)

  • Elisa Camatti

    (Institute of Marine Sciences, National Research Council)

  • Roberto Canullo

    (University of Camerino)

  • Patricia G. Cardoso

    (CIIMAR, Interdisciplinary Centre of Marine and Environmental Research of the University of Porto)

  • Bruno J. Ens

    (Sovon Dutch Centre for Field Ornithology)

  • Gert Everaert

    (Flanders Marine Institute)

  • Vesela Evtimova

    (Bulgarian Academy of Sciences)

  • Heidrun Feuchtmayr

    (UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Lancaster Environment Centre)

  • Ricardo García-González

    (Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (CSIC))

  • Daniel Gómez García

    (Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología (CSIC))

  • Ulf Grandin

    (Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences)

  • Jerzy M. Gutowski

    (Forest Research Institute)

  • Liat Hadar

    (Ramat Hanadiv)

  • Lubos Halada

    (Institute of Landscape Ecology SAS)

  • Melinda Halassy

    (MTA Centre for Ecological Research, Institute of Ecology and Botany)

  • Herman Hummel

    (and Utrecht University)

  • Kaisa-Leena Huttunen

    (University of Oulu
    University of Oulu Infrastructure Platform)

  • Bogdan Jaroszewicz

    (Faculty of Biology, University of Warsaw)

  • Thomas C. Jensen

    (Norwegian Institute for Nature Research)

  • Henrik Kalivoda

    (Institute of Landscape Ecology SAS)

  • Inger Kappel Schmidt

    (University of Copenhagen)

  • Ingrid Kröncke

    (Senckenberg am Meer, Marine Research Department)

  • Reima Leinonen

    (Transport and the Environment)

  • Filipe Martinho

    (University of Coimbra)

  • Henning Meesenburg

    (Northwest German Forest Research Institute)

  • Julia Meyer

    (Senckenberg am Meer, Marine Research Department)

  • Stefano Minerbi

    (Forest Services, Autonomous Province of Bolzano - South Tyrol)

  • Don Monteith

    (UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Lancaster Environment Centre)

  • Boris P. Nikolov

    (Bulgarian Academy of Sciences)

  • Daniel Oro

    (CEAB (CSIC)
    IMEDEA (CSIC-UIB))

  • Dāvis Ozoliņš

    (University of Latvia)

  • Bachisio M. Padedda

    (Università degli Studi di Sassari)

  • Denise Pallett

    (UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology)

  • Marco Pansera

    (Institute of Marine Sciences, National Research Council)

  • Miguel Ângelo Pardal

    (University of Coimbra)

  • Bruno Petriccione

    (Castel di Sangro Biodiversity Unit)

  • Tanja Pipan

    (ZRC SAZU Karst Research Institute, Ljubljana & UNESCO Chair on Karst Education University of Nova Gorica)

  • Juha Pöyry

    (Biodiversity Centre)

  • Stefanie M. Schäfer

    (UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology)

  • Marcus Schaub

    (Swiss Federal Institute for Forest Snow and Landscape Research WSL)

  • Susanne C. Schneider

    (Norwegian Institute for Water Research)

  • Agnija Skuja

    (University of Latvia)

  • Karline Soetaert

    (and Utrecht University)

  • Gunta Spriņģe

    (University of Latvia)

  • Radoslav Stanchev

    (Bulgarian Academy of Sciences)

  • Jenni A. Stockan

    (James Hutton Institute)

  • Stefan Stoll

    (University of Applied Sciences Trier, Environmental Campus Birkenfeld
    University of Duisburg-Essen)

  • Lisa Sundqvist

    (Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute)

  • Anne Thimonier

    (Swiss Federal Institute for Forest Snow and Landscape Research WSL)

  • Gert Van Hoey

    (Flanders Research Institute for Agriculture, Fishery and Food)

  • Gunther Van Ryckegem

    (Research Institute for Nature and Forest)

  • Marcel E. Visser

    (Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW))

  • Samuel Vorhauser

    (Agency for Environment and Climate Protection)

  • Peter Haase

    (Senckenberg Research Institute and Natural History Museum Frankfurt
    University of Duisburg-Essen)

Abstract

Local biodiversity trends over time are likely to be decoupled from global trends, as local processes may compensate or counteract global change. We analyze 161 long-term biological time series (15–91 years) collected across Europe, using a comprehensive dataset comprising ~6,200 marine, freshwater and terrestrial taxa. We test whether (i) local long-term biodiversity trends are consistent among biogeoregions, realms and taxonomic groups, and (ii) changes in biodiversity correlate with regional climate and local conditions. Our results reveal that local trends of abundance, richness and diversity differ among biogeoregions, realms and taxonomic groups, demonstrating that biodiversity changes at local scale are often complex and cannot be easily generalized. However, we find increases in richness and abundance with increasing temperature and naturalness as well as a clear spatial pattern in changes in community composition (i.e. temporal taxonomic turnover) in most biogeoregions of Northern and Eastern Europe.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesca Pilotto & Ingolf Kühn & Rita Adrian & Renate Alber & Audrey Alignier & Christopher Andrews & Jaana Bäck & Luc Barbaro & Deborah Beaumont & Natalie Beenaerts & Sue Benham & David S. Boukal & , 2020. "Meta-analysis of multidecadal biodiversity trends in Europe," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-11, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:11:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-020-17171-y
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-17171-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-17171-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-020-17171-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Camille Parmesan & Gary Yohe, 2003. "A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems," Nature, Nature, vol. 421(6918), pages 37-42, January.
    2. Kuemmerle, Tobias & Levers, Christian & Erb, Karlheinz & Estel, Stephan & Jepsen, Martin R & Müller, Daniel & Plutzar, Christoph & Stürck, Julia & Verkerk, Pieter J & Verburg, Peter H & Reenberg, Anet, 2016. "Hotspots of land use change in Europe," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 11(6), pages 1-14.
    3. Viechtbauer, Wolfgang, 2010. "Conducting Meta-Analyses in R with the metafor Package," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 36(i03).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Nobel, Anne & Lizin, Sebastien & Malina, Robert, 2023. "What drives the designation of protected areas? Accounting for spatial dependence using a composite marginal likelihood approach," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sarahi Nunez & Eric Arets & Rob Alkemade & Caspar Verwer & Rik Leemans, 2019. "Assessing the impacts of climate change on biodiversity: is below 2 °C enough?," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 154(3), pages 351-365, June.
    2. Whitney S Beck & Ed K Hall, 2018. "Confounding factors in algal phosphorus limitation experiments," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(10), pages 1-19, October.
    3. Richard Tol, 2011. "Regulating knowledge monopolies: the case of the IPCC," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 108(4), pages 827-839, October.
    4. Ding, Yimin & Wang, Weiguang & Song, Ruiming & Shao, Quanxi & Jiao, Xiyun & Xing, Wanqiu, 2017. "Modeling spatial and temporal variability of the impact of climate change on rice irrigation water requirements in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 89-101.
    5. Bart Verkuil & Serpil Atasayi & Marc L Molendijk, 2015. "Workplace Bullying and Mental Health: A Meta-Analysis on Cross-Sectional and Longitudinal Data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(8), pages 1-16, August.
    6. Anne Goodenough & Adam Hart, 2013. "Correlates of vulnerability to climate-induced distribution changes in European avifauna: habitat, migration and endemism," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 118(3), pages 659-669, June.
    7. repec:cup:judgdm:v:15:y:2020:i:6:p:972-988 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Wesley R. Brooks & Stephen C. Newbold, 2013. "Ecosystem damages in integrated assessment models of climate change," NCEE Working Paper Series 201302, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised Mar 2013.
    9. Jonas Schmidt & Tammo H. A. Bijmolt, 2020. "Accurately measuring willingness to pay for consumer goods: a meta-analysis of the hypothetical bias," Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 499-518, May.
    10. Hao Wang & Guohua Liu & Zongshan Li & Xin Ye & Bojie Fu & Yihe Lü, 2017. "Analysis of the Driving Forces in Vegetation Variation in the Grain for Green Program Region, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-14, October.
    11. Mario Herberz & Tobias Brosch & Ulf J. J. Hahnel, 2020. "Kilo what? Default units increase value sensitivity in joint evaluations of energy efficiency," Judgment and Decision Making, Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 15(6), pages 972-988, November.
    12. Fabina, Nicholas S. & Abbott, Karen C. & Gilman, R.Tucker, 2010. "Sensitivity of plant–pollinator–herbivore communities to changes in phenology," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(3), pages 453-458.
    13. Xiumei Wang & Jianjun Dong & Taogetao Baoyin & Yuhai Bao, 2019. "Estimation and Climate Factor Contribution of Aboveground Biomass in Inner Mongolia’s Typical/Desert Steppes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-15, November.
    14. Piers Steel & Sjoerd Beugelsdijk & Herman Aguinis, 2021. "The anatomy of an award-winning meta-analysis: Recommendations for authors, reviewers, and readers of meta-analytic reviews," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 52(1), pages 23-44, February.
    15. González-García, Alberto & Palomo, Ignacio & González, José A. & López, César A. & Montes, Carlos, 2020. "Quantifying spatial supply-demand mismatches in ecosystem services provides insights for land-use planning," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    16. Anna Yusa & Peter Berry & June J.Cheng & Nicholas Ogden & Barrie Bonsal & Ronald Stewart & Ruth Waldick, 2015. "Climate Change, Drought and Human Health in Canada," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-54, July.
    17. A. Ogden & J. Innes, 2008. "Climate change adaptation and regional forest planning in southern Yukon, Canada," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 13(8), pages 833-861, October.
    18. Augusteijn, Hilde Elisabeth Maria & van Aert, Robbie Cornelis Maria & van Assen, Marcel A. L. M., 2021. "Posterior Probabilities of Effect Sizes and Heterogeneity in Meta-Analysis: An Intuitive Approach of Dealing with Publication Bias," OSF Preprints avkgj, Center for Open Science.
    19. Ye, Qing & Yang, Xiaoguang & Dai, Shuwei & Chen, Guangsheng & Li, Yong & Zhang, Caixia, 2015. "Effects of climate change on suitable rice cropping areas, cropping systems and crop water requirements in southern China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 35-44.
    20. Georgiou, George K. & Guo, Kan & Naveenkumar, Nithya & Vieira, Ana Paula Alves & Das, J.P., 2020. "PASS theory of intelligence and academic achievement: A meta-analytic review," Intelligence, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    21. Brandt, Laura A. & Benscoter, Allison M. & Harvey, Rebecca & Speroterra, Carolina & Bucklin, David & Romañach, Stephanie S. & Watling, James I. & Mazzotti, Frank J., 2017. "Comparison of climate envelope models developed using expert-selected variables versus statistical selection," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 345(C), pages 10-20.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:11:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-020-17171-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.