IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v379y2025ics0306261924022864.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Typhoon related cascading fault chain dynamic evolution model and risk mitigation in distribution systems

Author

Listed:
  • Du, Ying
  • Zhang, Junxiang
  • Chen, Yuntian
  • Zhang, Haoran
  • Ji, Haoran
  • Wang, Chengshan
  • Yan, Jinyue

Abstract

The resilience of distribution system is severely influenced by typhoon disasters and the secondary disasters such as floods and debris flows. The cascading propagation of typhoon disasters, coupled with the cascading propagation of faults in distribution systems, creates a dual-coupling dynamic that results in large-scale faults. The key to mitigating losses from typhoon-related cascading faults lies in understanding the potential paths of cascading propagation and taking corresponding measures to preemptively interrupt the chain propagation. In this paper, based on the analysis of actual typhoon related fault data of Guangzhou, China, we created the knowledge graph of the typhoon related cascading fault chains and modeled the chain formation mechanism, successfully integrating the distribution systems and the typhoon disaster propagation systems. We also achieved the dynamic evolution of typhoon related cascading fault chains by using system dynamics. In the case studies of Guangzhou, we selected three typical typhoon related fault scenarios, and then the proposed model is utilized to capture the fault cascading pathway, which can help mitigate typhoon related fault risks in distribution systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Du, Ying & Zhang, Junxiang & Chen, Yuntian & Zhang, Haoran & Ji, Haoran & Wang, Chengshan & Yan, Jinyue, 2025. "Typhoon related cascading fault chain dynamic evolution model and risk mitigation in distribution systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 379(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:379:y:2025:i:c:s0306261924022864
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124903
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261924022864
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124903?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Amir AghaKouchak & Laurie S. Huning & Felicia Chiang & Mojtaba Sadegh & Farshid Vahedifard & Omid Mazdiyasni & Hamed Moftakhari & Iman Mallakpour, 2018. "How do natural hazards cascade to cause disasters?," Nature, Nature, vol. 561(7724), pages 458-460, September.
    2. Lifen Xu & Xiangwei Meng & Xuegong Xu, 2014. "Natural hazard chain research in China: A review," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 70(2), pages 1631-1659, January.
    3. Rong An & Xuehai Huang, 2012. "Constrained Finite Element Methods for Biharmonic Problem," Abstract and Applied Analysis, Hindawi, vol. 2012, pages 1-19, December.
    4. Ahmad, Salman & Mat Tahar, Razman & Muhammad-Sukki, Firdaus & Munir, Abu Bakar & Abdul Rahim, Ruzairi, 2016. "Application of system dynamics approach in electricity sector modelling: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 29-37.
    5. Oh, Seongmun & Jufri, Fauzan Hanif & Choi, Min-Hee & Jung, Jaesung, 2022. "A study of tropical cyclone impact on the power distribution grid in South Korea for estimating damage," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    6. Gjorgiev, Blazhe & Sansavini, Giovanni, 2022. "Identifying and assessing power system vulnerabilities to transmission asset outages via cascading failure analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    7. Rong An & Xuehai Huang, 2012. "Constrained C0 Finite Element Methods for Biharmonic Problem," Abstract and Applied Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2012(1).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Arnaud Mignan & Ziqi Wang, 2020. "Exploring the Space of Possibilities in Cascading Disasters with Catastrophe Dynamics," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(19), pages 1-21, October.
    2. Zhang, Xi & Wang, Qin & Bi, Xiaowen & Li, Donghong & Liu, Dong & Yu, Yuanjin & Tse, Chi Kong, 2024. "Mitigating cascading failure in power grids with deep reinforcement learning-based remedial actions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    3. Randell, Heather & Jiang, Chengsheng & Liang, Xin-Zhong & Murtugudde, Raghu & Sapkota, Amir, 2021. "Food insecurity and compound environmental shocks in Nepal: Implications for a changing climate," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    4. Lebeau, Alexis & Petitet, Marie & Quemin, Simon & Saguan, Marcelo, 2024. "Long-term issues with the Energy-Only Market design in the context of deep decarbonization," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    5. Katherine Emma Lonergan & Salvatore Francesco Greco & Giovanni Sansavini, 2023. "Ensuring/insuring resilient energy system infrastructure," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 43(4), pages 625-638, December.
    6. Peng Ye, 2022. "Remote Sensing Approaches for Meteorological Disaster Monitoring: Recent Achievements and New Challenges," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(6), pages 1-28, March.
    7. Herrera, Milton M. & Dyner, Isaac & Cosenz, Federico, 2019. "Assessing the effect of transmission constraints on wind power expansion in northeast Brazil," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 1-1.
    8. Sanjib Sharma & Rocky Talchabhadel & Santosh Nepal & Ganesh R. Ghimire & Biplob Rakhal & Jeeban Panthi & Basanta R. Adhikari & Soni M. Pradhanang & Shreedhar Maskey & Saurav Kumar, 2023. "Increasing risk of cascading hazards in the central Himalayas," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 119(2), pages 1117-1126, November.
    9. Zhao, Xian & Han, He & Jiao, Chunhui & Qiu, Qingan, 2024. "Reliability modeling of k-out-of-n: F balanced systems with common bus performance sharing," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    10. Lu, Qing-Chang & Zhang, Lei & Xu, Peng-Cheng & Cui, Xin & Li, Jing, 2022. "Modeling network vulnerability of urban rail transit under cascading failures: A Coupled Map Lattices approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    11. Paul Adrianus van Baal, 2020. "Effectiveness of a strategic energy reserve during the energy transition: The case of Switzerland," Competition and Regulation in Network Industries, , vol. 21(2), pages 65-90, June.
    12. Barbour, Emily J. & Sarfaraz Gani Adnan, Mohammed & Borgomeo, Edoardo & Paprocki, Kasia & Shah Alam Khan, M. & Salehin, Mashfiqus & W. Hall, Jim, 2022. "The unequal distribution of water risks and adaptation benefits in coastal Bangladesh," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 113320, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    13. Huicong Jia & Fang Chen & Donghua Pan, 2019. "Disaster Chain Analysis of Avalanche and Landslide and the River Blocking Dam of the Yarlung Zangbo River in Milin County of Tibet on 17 and 29 October 2018," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(23), pages 1-12, November.
    14. Ishardita Pambudi Tama & Willy Satrio Nugroho & Wayan Firdaus Mahmudy & Purnami Purnami, 2022. "The Evaluation of Technology Startup Role on Indonesian SMEs Industry 4.0 Adoption Using CLD-ABM Integrated Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-14, July.
    15. Feng, Jian Rui & Yu, Guanghui & Zhao, Mengke & Zhang, Jiaqing & Lu, Shouxiang, 2022. "Dynamic risk assessment framework for industrial systems based on accidents chain theory: The case study of fire and explosion risk of UHV converter transformer," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    16. Xilin Liu & Huizhu Chen, 2020. "Regional assessment on ecological risk of ecosystems under natural hazards: an application in Guangdong Province (SE China)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 100(1), pages 205-229, January.
    17. Chi Jin & Bo Li & Zhaoying Ye & Pengcheng Xiang, 2021. "Identifying the Non-Traditional Safety Risk Paths of Employees from Chinese International Construction Companies in Africa," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(4), pages 1-19, February.
    18. Xie, Haonan & Jiang, Meihui & Zhang, Dongdong & Goh, Hui Hwang & Ahmad, Tanveer & Liu, Hui & Liu, Tianhao & Wang, Shuyao & Wu, Thomas, 2023. "IntelliSense technology in the new power systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    19. Montoya-Duque, Laura & Arango-Aramburo, Santiago & Arias-Gaviria, Jessica, 2022. "Simulating the effect of the Pay-as-you-go scheme for solar energy diffusion in Colombian off-grid regions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PB).
    20. Mieko Kumasaki & Malcolm King & Mitsuru Arai & Lili Yang, 2016. "Anatomy of cascading natural disasters in Japan: main modes and linkages," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(3), pages 1425-1441, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:379:y:2025:i:c:s0306261924022864. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.