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On a probability distribution model combining household power consumption, electric vehicle home-charging and photovoltaic power production

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  • Munkhammar, Joakim
  • Widén, Joakim
  • Rydén, Jesper

Abstract

In this paper we develop a probability distribution model combining household power consumption, electric vehicle (EV) home-charging and photovoltaic (PV) power production. The model is set up using a convolution approach to merge three separate existing probability distribution models for household electricity use, EV home-charging and PV power production. This model is investigated on two system levels: household level and aggregate level of multiple households. Results for the household level show the power consumption/production mismatch as probability distributions for different time bins. This is further investigated with different levels of PV power production. The resulting yearly distribution of the aggregate scenario of multiple uncorrelated households with EV charging and PV power production is shown to not be normally distributed due to the mismatch of PV power production and household power consumption on a diurnal and annual basis.

Suggested Citation

  • Munkhammar, Joakim & Widén, Joakim & Rydén, Jesper, 2015. "On a probability distribution model combining household power consumption, electric vehicle home-charging and photovoltaic power production," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 135-143.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:142:y:2015:i:c:p:135-143
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2014.12.031
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    4. Hernández, J.C. & Ruiz-Rodriguez, F.J. & Jurado, F., 2017. "Modelling and assessment of the combined technical impact of electric vehicles and photovoltaic generation in radial distribution systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 316-332.
    5. Fischer, David & Harbrecht, Alexander & Surmann, Arne & McKenna, Russell, 2019. "Electric vehicles’ impacts on residential electric local profiles – A stochastic modelling approach considering socio-economic, behavioural and spatial factors," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 644-658.
    6. Kabir, M.N. & Mishra, Y. & Bansal, R.C., 2016. "Probabilistic load flow for distribution systems with uncertain PV generation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 343-351.
    7. Shi, Jiaqi & Liu, Nian & Huang, Yujing & Ma, Liya, 2022. "An Edge Computing-oriented Net Power Forecasting for PV-assisted Charging Station: Model Complexity and Forecasting Accuracy Trade-off," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
    8. Luthander, Rasmus & Widén, Joakim & Munkhammar, Joakim & Lingfors, David, 2016. "Self-consumption enhancement and peak shaving of residential photovoltaics using storage and curtailment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 221-231.
    9. Cao, Sunliang & Alanne, Kari, 2018. "The techno-economic analysis of a hybrid zero-emission building system integrated with a commercial-scale zero-emission hydrogen vehicle," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 639-661.
    10. Yang, Lu & Xie, Pengli & Bi, Chongke & Zhang, Ronghui & Cai, Bowen & Shao, Xiaowei & Wang, Rongben, 2020. "Household power consumption pattern modeling through a single power sensor," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 121-133.
    11. Verma, Anoop & Asadi, Ali & Yang, Kai & Tyagi, Satish, 2015. "A data-driven approach to identify households with plug-in electrical vehicles (PEVs)," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 71-79.
    12. Shepero, Mahmoud & Munkhammar, Joakim & Widén, Joakim & Bishop, Justin D.K. & Boström, Tobias, 2018. "Modeling of photovoltaic power generation and electric vehicles charging on city-scale: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 61-71.
    13. Zhou, Bowen & Yao, Feng & Littler, Tim & Zhang, Huaguang, 2016. "An electric vehicle dispatch module for demand-side energy participation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 464-474.
    14. Neaimeh, Myriam & Wardle, Robin & Jenkins, Andrew M. & Yi, Jialiang & Hill, Graeme & Lyons, Padraig F. & Hübner, Yvonne & Blythe, Phil T. & Taylor, Phil C., 2015. "A probabilistic approach to combining smart meter and electric vehicle charging data to investigate distribution network impacts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 688-698.
    15. Cao, Sunliang, 2019. "The impact of electric vehicles and mobile boundary expansions on the realization of zero-emission office buildings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C), pages 1-1.

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