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Model-based decision support for the choice of active spring frost protection measures in apple production

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  • Schmitz, Christine
  • Zimmermann, Lars
  • Schiffers, Katja
  • Whitney, Cory
  • Balmer, Martin
  • Luedeling, Eike

Abstract

Late spring frosts are a major problem for apple production in Germany. Frost events frequently lead to yield losses and quality reduction. This has motivated the development of several frost protection measures, which differ in terms of effectiveness, costs and workload. In many cases, it is an open question for fruit growers if investing in frost protection is worthwhile and which strategy would most positively affect their bottom line.

Suggested Citation

  • Schmitz, Christine & Zimmermann, Lars & Schiffers, Katja & Whitney, Cory & Balmer, Martin & Luedeling, Eike, 2025. "Model-based decision support for the choice of active spring frost protection measures in apple production," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:224:y:2025:i:c:s0308521x24004050
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104255
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. repec:plo:pone00:0200201 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Keith Shepherd & Douglas Hubbard & Norman Fenton & Karl Claxton & Eike Luedeling & Jan de Leeuw, 2015. "Policy: Development goals should enable decision-making," Nature, Nature, vol. 523(7559), pages 152-154, July.
    3. Anka Cebulj & Maja Mikulič-Petkovšek & Robert Veberič & Jerneja Jakopic, 2021. "Effect of Spring Frost Damage on Apple Fruit ( Malus domestica Borkh.) Inner Quality at Harvest," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-10, December.
    4. Peter Pfleiderer & Inga Menke & Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, 2019. "Increasing risks of apple tree frost damage under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 157(3), pages 515-525, December.
    5. Mark Strong & Jeremy E. Oakley, 2013. "An Efficient Method for Computing Single-Parameter Partial Expected Value of Perfect Information," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 33(6), pages 755-766, August.
    6. Holger Hoffmann & Thomas Rath, 2013. "Future Bloom and Blossom Frost Risk for Malus domestica Considering Climate Model and Impact Model Uncertainties," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(10), pages 1-13, October.
    7. Rojas, Gonzalo & Fernandez, Eduardo & Whitney, Cory & Luedeling, Eike & Cuneo, Italo F., 2021. "Adapting sweet cherry orchards to extreme weather events – Decision Analysis in support of farmers' investments in Central Chile," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    8. Yann Vitasse & Martine Rebetez, 2018. "Unprecedented risk of spring frost damage in Switzerland and Germany in 2017," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 149(2), pages 233-246, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Schmitz, Christine & Zimmermann, Lars & Schiffers, Katja & Balmer, Martin & Luedeling, Eike, 2025. "ProbApple – A probabilistic model to forecast apple yield and quality," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).

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