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The Impact of Covid-19 on Pricing in the Global Oil Market

Author

Listed:
  • Larisa G. Chuvakhina

    (Department of World Economy and International Business, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia)

  • Irina Z. Yarygina

    (Department of World Finance, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia.)

  • Olga E. Ustinova

    (Management and Innovation Department, Faculty of Higher School of Management, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia.)

  • Valentina N. Mironova

    (Department of World Economy and International Business, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia.)

  • Zhanna V. Ivanovskaya

    (Department of World Economy, and International Business, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia.)

Abstract

This article is devoted to analysing current factors affecting prices in the global oil market for the period from December 2019 to July 2022. The study focuses on the processes taking place in the economy of the United States and the eurozone countries, which led to an increase in inflation in response to the economic crisis caused by COVID-19 and their impact on current oil prices. It analyses the traditional and non-traditional measures of the US and Eurozone monetary policies designed to stimulate business activity and bring their economies out of recession. It is observed that the actions of financial regulators contributed to the growth of inflation rates, especially in the energy sector. The paper emphasizes the growing crisis in the United States and the eurozone countries, which in the future may lead to a decrease in the consumption of energy resources, including crude oil and petroleum products, which will negatively affect the stability of the global oil market. The influence of factors of the growth of US dollar inflation and measures aimed at regulating the physical volume of oil production in the framework of OPEC+ deals, which affect pricing in the world oil market, is compared using the correlation analysis. As a result of the study, it is concluded that during the analysed period there is a shift of factors affecting pricing in the world oil market from monetary to supply-demand factors in the commodity market. The current inflationary pressure of the US dollar and the euro, combined with a reduction in oil supplies to the world market due to the restrictions imposed, makes it difficult to predict oil prices and leads to an increase in the volatility of oil quotes.

Suggested Citation

  • Larisa G. Chuvakhina & Irina Z. Yarygina & Olga E. Ustinova & Valentina N. Mironova & Zhanna V. Ivanovskaya, 2022. "The Impact of Covid-19 on Pricing in the Global Oil Market," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 370-377, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2022-05-43
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kaufmann, Robert K., 2011. "The role of market fundamentals and speculation in recent price changes for crude oil," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 105-115, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Alfonso Marino & Paolo Pariso & Michele Picariello, 2023. "Exploring the Economic Recovery of Italy’s Regions Post-COVID-19: A focus on Energy, Services, ICT Opportunities, and the Digital Divide," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 271-280, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    world oil market; inflation; COVID-19; USA; Eurozone.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F50 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - General
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General

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