IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ1/2017-02-09.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Sustainability of the Current Account: Evidence from Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Shabbir Ahmad

    (Department of Finance, College of Business, Effat University, Jeddah, KSA.)

Abstract

This study examines the sustainability of the current account deficit using Pakistani data over the period 1974-2007. Employing the intertemporal budget constraint model and using autoregressive distributed lag bound testing approach, it is concluded that there is a long-run relationship between real exports and imports. However, the hypothesis of one to one relationship between the two variables does not hold in its strong form. This highlights the need for better policies to improve the current account balance in the long-run

Suggested Citation

  • Shabbir Ahmad, 2017. "Sustainability of the Current Account: Evidence from Pakistan," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 68-72.
  • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2017-02-09
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/download/3966/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: http://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/3966/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shabbir Ahmad & Abul Shamsuddin & Malcolm Treadgold, 2012. "A monetary analysis of foreign exchange market disequilibrium in Fiji," International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(1), pages 66-81.
    2. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hyun-Jae Rhee, 1997. "Are Imports and Exports of Korea Cointegrated?," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 109-114.
    3. Shabbir Ahmad, 2010. "The long‐run Fisher effect in developing economies," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 27(4), pages 268-275, October.
    4. Arize, Augustine C., 2002. "Imports and exports in 50 countries: Tests of cointegration and structural breaks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 101-115, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Abdulla S. Al-Khulaifi, 2013. "Exports and Imports in Qatar: Evidence from Cointegration and Error Correction Model," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 3(9), pages 1122-1133, September.
    2. Ali Farhan Chaudhry & Abdul Rauf Butt & Muhammad Irfan Chani, 2017. "Long-Run Relationship between Exports and Imports of Pakistan," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(8), pages 204-211, August.
    3. Jungho Baek, 2016. "Analyzing a Long-Run Relationship between Exports and Imports Revisited: Evidence from G-7 Countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(2), pages 665-676.
    4. Francis Annan, 2011. "Testing Long Run Relationship between Exports and Imports: Evidence from Ghana," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 3(6), pages 381-387.
    5. KHOKHAR, Joga Singh, 2010. "Will India’S Trade Deficit Ever Converge To Zero?- An Application Of Bounds Testing Approach To Co-Integration," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 10(1).
    6. Zeshan Arshad & Saba Mukhtar & Amina Bibi & Azeema Zia, 2015. "Imports and Exports of Pakistan Time Series (1970-2013)," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 3(10), pages 473-478, October.
    7. PERERA, Nelson & VARMA, Reetu, 2008. "An Empirical Analysis Of Sustainability Of Trade Deficit: Evidence From Sri Lanka," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 5(1), pages 79-92.
    8. Mitra Lal Devkota, 2019. "Testing The Causality And Cointegration Between Exports, Imports, And Exchange Rates: Evidence From India," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1, pages 5-13, February.
    9. KONYA, Laszlo & SINGH, Jai Pal, 2008. "Are Indian Exports And Imports Cointegrated?," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 8(2), pages 177-186.
    10. Augustine C. Arize & Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee, 2018. "Do Imports and Exports Adjust Nonlinearly? Evidence from 100 Countries," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(1), pages 1-30.
    11. Ahmad Jameel Khadaroo, 2016. "Current Account Deficit in Mauritius: Risks and Prospects," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 84(1), pages 109-128, March.
    12. Khyati Kathuria & Nand Kumar, 2022. "Are exports and imports of India’s trading partners cointegrated? Evidence from Fourier bootstrap ARDL procedure," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1177-1191, March.
    13. Alice Constance Mensah & Ebenezer Okyere, 2018. "Analysis of Ghana,s Imports and Exports," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 4(1), pages 1-6, 01-2018.
    14. Nag, Biswajit & Mukherjee, Jaydeep, 2012. "The sustainability of trade deficits in the presence of endogenous structural breaks: Evidence from the Indian economy," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(5), pages 519-526.
    15. Verma, Reetu & Perera, Nelson, 2008. "An Empirical Analysis of Sustainability of Trade Deficit:Evidence from Sri Lanka," Economics Working Papers wp08-06, School of Economics, University of Wollongong, NSW, Australia.
    16. Dierk Herzer & Nowak-Lehmann Felicitas, 2006. "Is there a long-run relationship between exports and imports in Chile?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(15), pages 981-986.
    17. Dierk Herzer & Felicitas Nowak-Lehmann D., 2005. "Are exports and imports of Chile cointegrated?," Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers 111, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research.
    18. Jamal HUSEIN, 2014. "Are Exports and Imports Cointegrated? Evidence from Nine MENA Countries," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 14(1), pages 123-132.
    19. Burak Güris & Burcu Kiran, 2011. "Foreign Trade Deficit Sustainability of Turkey," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 167-174.
    20. Chen, Shyh-Wei & Xie, Zixiong, 2015. "Testing for current account sustainability under assumptions of smooth break and nonlinearity," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 142-156.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Intertemporal Budget Constraint; Current Account Deficit; Cointegration; Autoregressive Distributed Lag; Bound Testing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2017-02-09. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ilhan Ozturk (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.