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Interpreting rational expectations econometrics via analytic function approach

Author

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  • Fei Tan

    (Department of Economics, Saint Louis University; ICSS, Zhejiang University)

Abstract

An analytic function method is applied to illustrate Geweke's (2010) three econometric interpretations for a generic rational expectations (RE) model. This delivers an explicit characterization of the model's cross-equation restrictions imposed by the RE hypothesis under each interpretation. It is shown that the degree of identification on the deep parameters is positively related to the strength of the underlying econometric interpretation, and observationally equivalent models may arise once the cross-equation restrictions are interpreted in a minimal sense. This offers important insights into the econometric modeling and evaluation of dynamic economic models.

Suggested Citation

  • Fei Tan, 2017. "Interpreting rational expectations econometrics via analytic function approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 1182-1190.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-17-00218
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    7. Olivier J. Blanchard, 1982. "Identification in Dynamic Linear Models with Rational Expectations," NBER Technical Working Papers 0024, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Rational expectations; econometric interpretation; identification; analytic functions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling

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