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Long-run stock price-house price relation: evidence from an ESTR model

Author

Listed:
  • David G McMillan

    (University of Stirling)

Abstract

The direction of any long-run relationship between stock prices and house prices provides useful information for policy makers and practitioners regarding the presence of wealth and credit effects. Using quarterly data from the UK and US this paper reports evidence of non-linear dynamics in the adjustment to equilibrium. Specifically, the equilibrium-deviation must become large before stock prices revert. However, there is no evidence that house price adjust to any disequilbrium. This supports a credit effect on stock prices.

Suggested Citation

  • David G McMillan, 2012. "Long-run stock price-house price relation: evidence from an ESTR model," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(2), pages 1737-1746.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-11-00582
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Tsangyao Chang & Xiao-lin Li & Stephen M. Miller & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "The Co-Movement and Causality between the U.S. Real Estate and Stock Markets in the Time and Frequency Domains," Working papers 2013-34, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
    2. Imran Yousaf & Shoaib Ali, 2020. "Integration between real estate and stock markets: new evidence from Pakistan," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(5), pages 887-900, April.
    3. Tamás Kiss & Hoang Nguyen & Pär Österholm, 2021. "Modelling Returns in US Housing Prices—You’re the One for Me, Fat Tails," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-17, October.
    4. Zulfiqar Ali Imran & Muhammad Ahad, 2022. "Safe-haven investments against stock returns in Pakistan: a role of real estate, gold, oil and US dollar," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 16(1), pages 167-189, February.
    5. Lin, Wen-Yuan & Tsai, I-Chun, 2019. "Trader differences in Shanghai’s A-share and B-share markets: Effects on interaction with the Shanghai housing market," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 1-1.
    6. Imran, Zulfiqar Ali & Ahad, Muhammad, 2021. "Safe Haven or Hedge: Diversification Abilities of Asset Classes in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 107613, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 May 2021.
    7. Maria I. Kyriakou & Athanasios Koulakiotis & Apostolos Kiohos & Vassilios Babalos, 2023. "Fractional Integration and Volatility Transmission Between Real Estate and Stock Markets: Novel Evidence from a FIGARCH-BEKK Approach," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(4), pages 939-962, May.
    8. Ming-Chu Chiang & I-Chun Tsai, 2020. "Importance of Proper Monetary Liquidity: Sustainable Development of the Housing and Stock Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-20, October.
    9. Li, Xiao-Lin & Chang, Tsangyao & Miller, Stephen M. & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2015. "The co-movement and causality between the U.S. housing and stock markets in the time and frequency domains," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 220-233.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    House Prices; Stock Prices; ESTR Model; Credit Effect;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G0 - Financial Economics - - General
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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