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Who will win the Nobel Prize?

Listed author(s):
  • Terence tai-leung Chong


    (Department of Economics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong)

  • Cally Choi


    (London School of Economics)

  • Benjamin Everard


    (George Washington University)

This paper identifies the determinants of the Nobel Prize Award. The analysis is analogous in spirit to Hamermesh and Schmidt (Econometrica, 2003) on the election of Econometric Society fellows. It is found that the number of citations, age and nationality have significant impacts on the odds of winning the Nobel. We provide the first statistical evidence that John Bates Clark medalists and individuals affiliated with the University of Chicago have a higher chance of winning the Prize.

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Article provided by AccessEcon in its journal Economics Bulletin.

Volume (Year): 29 (2009)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 1107-1116

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Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-09-00260
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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Charles E. Scott & John J. Siegfried, 2003. "American Economic Association Universal Academic Questionnaire Summary Statistics," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(2), pages 521-524, May.
  2. Daniel S. Hamermesh & Peter Schmidt, 2003. "The Determinants of Econometric Society Fellows Elections," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(1), pages 399-407, January.
  3. Hendrik P. van Dalen, 1999. "The Golden Age of Nobel Economists," The American Economist, , vol. 43(2), pages 19-35, October.
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