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Efecto Harberger-Laursen-Metzler. Evidencia para Argentina (1986-2014)

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  • Luis N. Lanteri

    (Universidad Nacional del Rosario. Argentina.)

Abstract

Este trabajo analiza el vínculo entre la cuenta corriente y los términos del intercambio, en el caso de la economía argentina. Se emplean modelos de SVAR, con restricciones de largo plazo, y datos anuales que cubren el período 1986-2014. Las funciones de respuesta sugieren una reacción positiva de la cuenta corriente ante choques en los términos del intercambio (corto plazo), avalando la existencia del efecto Harberger-Laursen-Metzler (HLM), mientras que el análisis de varianza muestra que los términos del intercambio explican alrededor de un 18% de la varianza de la cuenta corriente, resultado similar al de otros países en desarrollo.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis N. Lanteri, 2015. "Efecto Harberger-Laursen-Metzler. Evidencia para Argentina (1986-2014)," Economic Analysis Working Papers (2002-2010). Atlantic Review of Economics (2011-2016), Colexio de Economistas de A Coruña, Spain and Fundación Una Galicia Moderna, vol. 1, pages 1-1, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:eac:articl:09/14
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    References listed on IDEAS

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