IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/
MyIDEAS: Log in (now much improved!) to save this article

The evolution and contribution of technological progress to the South African economy: Growth accounting and Kalman filter application

Listed author(s):
  • Roula INGLESI-LOTZ
  • Renee VAN EYDEN
  • Charlotte DU TOIT

This study examines the importance of technological progress to aggregate economic growth in South Africa. Quantifying the contribution of technological progress to economic growth has become imperative, considering the outcome of a simple growth accounting exercise. The findings of this exercise indicate that the contribution of technological growth to aggregate economic growth increased substantially, over the past three decades. Economic growth is modelled through a Cobb-Douglas production function, employing Kalman filter to determine the evolution of the Solow residual over time. The Solow residual represents both technological progress and structural change. According to the Kalman filter results, technological progress is characterised by an upward trend since the 1980s with a steeper slope during the 2000s. Our results show that technological progress has become a factor as important to production as capital stock and labour; fact that policy makers should take into consideration to boost economic growth.

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

File URL: http://www.usc.es/economet/journals1/aeid/aeid14113.pdf
Download Restriction: Access restricted to subscribers. Free on line subscription for universities from low income countries. More information at http://www.usc.es/economet/info.htm

As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.

Article provided by Euro-American Association of Economic Development in its journal Applied Econometrics and International Development.

Volume (Year): 14 (2014)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 175-188

as
in new window

Handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:14:y:2014:i:1_13
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.usc.es/economet/eaa.htm

Order Information: Web: http://www.usc.es/economet/info.htm Email:


References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

as
in new window


  1. SINHA, Dipendra, 2008. "Patents, Innovations And Economic Growth In Japan And South Korea: Evidence From Individual Country And Panel Data," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 8(1), pages 181-188.
  2. Robert E. Hall & Charles I. Jones, "undated". "The Productivity of Nations," Working Papers 96012, Stanford University, Department of Economics.
  3. Barro, Robert J, 1999. "Notes on Growth Accounting," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 119-137, June.
  4. Layard, Richard & Nickell, Stephen & Jackman, Richard, 2005. "Unemployment: Macroeconomic Performance and the Labour Market," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199279173.
  5. Hossain, A., 2006. "Sources of Economic Growth in Indonesia, 1966-2003," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 6(2).
  6. Loening, J.L., 2004. "Human Capital, Technology diffusion and Economic Growth in Low-to-Middle Income Country: a time series perspective of Guatemala, 1950-2001," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 4(3).
  7. Cuthbertson, Keith, 1988. "Expectations, Learning and the Kalman Filter," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, University of Manchester, vol. 56(3), pages 223-246, September.
  8. Hamilton, James D, 1985. "Uncovering Financial Market Expectations of Inflation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 93(6), pages 1224-1241, December.
  9. JW Fedderke, 2002. "The Structure of Growth in the South African Economy: Factor Accumulation and Total Factor Productivity Growth 1970-97," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 70(4), pages 282-299, March.
  10. Stan Du Plessis & Ben Smit, 2007. "South Africa's Growth Revival After 1994," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE), vol. 16(5), pages 668-704, November.
  11. T. W. Swan, 1956. "ECONOMIC GROWTH and CAPITAL ACCUMULATION," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 32(2), pages 334-361, November.
  12. Perron, Pierre, 1989. "The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(6), pages 1361-1401, November.
  13. T. Lawson, 1980. "Adaptive Expectations and Uncertainty," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 47(2), pages 305-320.
  14. Pahlavani, M., 2005. "Sources Of Economic Growth In Iran: A Cointegration Analysis In The Presence Of Structural Breaks, 1960-2003," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 5(4).
  15. Dolado, Juan J & Jenkinson, Tim & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simon, 1990. " Cointegration and Unit Roots," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4(3), pages 249-273.
Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:14:y:2014:i:1_13. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (M. Carmen Guisan)

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using RePEc data.