Modelling The Asymmetric Effects Of Inflation On Real Investment In Iran, 1959-2008
Using a threshold regression model and annual data (1960-2008), this paper examines the determinants of investment in Iran. We found that real GDP, the trade openness index and inflation can influence investment. However, the effect of inflation on investment follows an asymmetry adjustment process. The threshold value for the rate of inflation has endogenously been estimated to be at 11.9 per cent. If the annual rate of inflation exceeds this threshold, it will have a negative impact on investment. But, if inflation remains below this rate, not only the negative effect fades away but also rising prices can boost investment. Although investment exhibited a positive trend since 1990 it is not yet enough to guarantee high increases in income per capita and low rates of unemployment, given the high increase of population and labor force during the last years. We recommend economic polices geared at fostering not only public investment but also private sector investment in order to achieve the goals of higher income per capita and higher employment rates.
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.
Volume (Year): 10 (2010)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
|Contact details of provider:|| Web page: http://www.usc.es/economet/eaa.htm|
|Order Information:|| Web: http://www.usc.es/economet/info.htm Email: |
References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Valadkhani, Abbas, 2001. "An Analysis of Iran’s Third Five-Year Development Plan in the Post-Revolution Era (2000-2005)," MPRA Paper 50386, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Guisan, M.Carmen & Exposito, Pilar, 2003. "Education, Industry, Trade and Development of Asia-Pacific countries in 1980-99," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 3(2), pages 117-142.
- Abbas Valadkhani, 2004. "What determines private investment in Iran?," International Journal of Social Economics, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 31(5/6), pages 457-468, May.
- Charles W. Bischoff, 1971. "Business Investment in the 1970s: A Comparison of Models," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 2(1), pages 13-64.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eaa:aeinde:v:10:y:2010:i:1_11. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (M. Carmen Guisan)
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.