IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/dem/demres/v55y2026i4.html

How do family transitions shape residential mobility among Quebec residents? Evidence on lagged, synchronous, and anticipatory effects by immigration status

Author

Listed:
  • Georges Alain Tchango Ngalé

    (Université de Montréal)

  • Vissého Adjiwanou

    (Université du Québec à Montréal)

  • Solène Lardoux

    (Université de Montréal)

Abstract

Background: Quebec has experienced sustained immigration alongside profound transformations in family trajectories, reshaping residential needs across the life course. While prior research has mainly focused on synchronous links between family transitions and residential mobility, less attention has been paid to the combined role of anticipatory and lagged dynamics, particularly in relation to immigration status and heterogeneity within immigrant populations. Objective: This study examines how union formation, union dissolution, and childbirth influence residential mobility among Quebec residents, and how these temporal patterns vary between immigrants and non-immigrants, as well as across immigrant profiles defined by duration of residence and age at arrival. Methods: We use retrospective data from the 2020 TrajIPaQ survey, reconstructing residential and family histories for 2006–2019. The analytical sample includes 1,392 individuals (15,873 person-years). Residential mobility is modeled using discrete-time logistic regressions with individual fixed effects, incorporating one- to two-year leads and lags of family transitions. Models are estimated for the full sample and stratified by immigration characteristics. Results: Union formation is strongly associated with moving in the year of the event, with no clear anticipatory or lagged effects. Union dissolution displays contrasting temporal patterns: Among non-immigrants, mobility peaks two years after separation, whereas among immigrants – especially recent and adult arrivals – moves occur primarily in the year of rupture. Childbirth is linked to reduced mobility in the year of birth and the following year among non-immigrants, suggesting residential stabilization, while no synchronous effect is observed among immigrants. Evidence of anticipatory mobility before childbirth is limited and mainly visible among more established immigrants. Contribution: Family transitions shape residential mobility through distinct temporal configurations that vary by event type and immigration status. These findings underscore the value of dynamic, context-sensitive approaches to family mobility in immigrant-receiving societies.

Suggested Citation

  • Georges Alain Tchango Ngalé & Vissého Adjiwanou & Solène Lardoux, 2026. "How do family transitions shape residential mobility among Quebec residents? Evidence on lagged, synchronous, and anticipatory effects by immigration status," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 55(4), pages 113-166.
  • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:55:y:2026:i:4
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2026.55.4
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol55/4/55-4.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.4054/DemRes.2026.55.4?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sergi Vidal & Johannes Huinink, 2019. "Introduction to the special collection on spatial mobility, family dynamics, and gender relations," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 41(21), pages 593-616.
    2. King, Gary & Zeng, Langche, 2001. "Logistic Regression in Rare Events Data," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(2), pages 137-163, January.
    3. John Iceland & Melissa Scopilliti, 2008. "Immigrant residential segregation in U.S. metropolitan areas, 1990–2000," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 45(1), pages 79-94, February.
    4. Hill Kulu & Júlia Mikolai & Michael J. Thomas & Sergi Vidal & Christine Schnor & Didier Willaert & Fieke H. L. Visser & Clara H. Mulder, 2021. "Separation and Elevated Residential Mobility: A Cross-Country Comparison," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 37(1), pages 121-150, March.
    5. Júlia Mikolai & Hill Kulu, 2018. "Divorce, Separation, and Housing Changes: A Multiprocess Analysis of Longitudinal Data from England and Wales," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 55(1), pages 83-106, February.
    6. Julie Lacroix & Jonathan Zufferey, 2019. "A Life Course Approach to Immigrants’ Relocation: Linking Long- and Short-distance Mobility Sequences," Migration Letters, Migration Letters, vol. 16(2), pages 283-300, April.
    7. Paul Boyle & Hill Kulu & Thomas Cooke & Vernon Gayle & Clara Mulder, 2008. "Moving and union dissolution," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 45(1), pages 209-222, February.
    8. Feijten Peteke & Maarten van Ham, 2007. "Residential mobility and migration of the separated," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 17(21), pages 623-654.
    9. Tina Hannemann & Hill Kulu, 2015. "Union formation and dissolution among immigrants and their descendants in the United Kingdom," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 33(10), pages 273-312.
    10. Luis Angeles, 2010. "Demographic transitions: analyzing the effects of mortality on fertility," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 23(1), pages 99-120, January.
    11. Hill Kulu & Tina Hannemann, 2019. "Mixed marriage among immigrants and their descendants in the United Kingdom: Analysis of longitudinal data with missing information," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 73(2), pages 179-196, May.
    12. Birgitta Rabe & Mark Taylor, 2010. "Residential mobility, quality of neighbourhood and life course events," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 173(3), pages 531-555, July.
    13. Julie Lacroix & Júlia Mikolai & Hill Kulu, 2024. "On the Timing of Marriage and Childbearing: Family Formation Pathways Among Immigrants in Switzerland," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 40(1), pages 1-32, December.
    14. Arellano, Manuel, 2003. "Panel Data Econometrics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199245291.
    15. Timothy Morris, 2017. "Examining the influence of major life events as drivers of residential mobility and neighbourhood transitions," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 36(35), pages 1015-1038.
    16. Sergi Vidal & Johannes Huinink & Michael Feldhaus, 2017. "Fertility Intentions and Residential Relocations," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 54(4), pages 1305-1330, August.
    17. Hill Kulu & Fiona Steele, 2013. "Interrelationships Between Childbearing and Housing Transitions in the Family Life Course," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 50(5), pages 1687-1714, October.
    18. Julie Lacroix & Alain Gagnon & Philippe Wanner, 2020. "Family changes and residential mobility among immigrant and native-born populations: Evidence from Swiss administrative data," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 43(41), pages 1199-1234.
    19. Millimet, Daniel L. & Bellemare, Marc, 2023. "Fixed Effects and Causal Inference," IZA Discussion Papers 16202, IZA Network @ LISER.
    20. Hill Kulu & Amparo González-Ferrer, 2014. "Family Dynamics Among Immigrants and Their Descendants in Europe: Current Research and Opportunities," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 30(4), pages 411-435, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Julia Mikolai & Hill Kulu & Clara Mulder, 2020. "Family life transitions, residential relocations, and housing in the life course: Current research and opportunities for future work: Introduction to the Special Collection on “Separation, Divorce, and Residential Mobility in a Comparative Perspectiv," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 43(2), pages 35-58.
    2. Julie Lacroix & Alain Gagnon & Philippe Wanner, 2020. "Family changes and residential mobility among immigrant and native-born populations: Evidence from Swiss administrative data," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 43(41), pages 1199-1234.
    3. Hill Kulu & Júlia Mikolai & Michael J. Thomas & Sergi Vidal & Christine Schnor & Didier Willaert & Fieke H. L. Visser & Clara H. Mulder, 2021. "Separation and Elevated Residential Mobility: A Cross-Country Comparison," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 37(1), pages 121-150, March.
    4. Lívia Murinkó, 2019. "Housing consequences of divorce and separation in a 'super home ownership' regime: The case of Hungary," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 40(34), pages 975-1014.
    5. Marika Jalovaara & Hill Kulu, 2019. "Homeownership after separation: A longitudinal analysis of Finnish register data," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 41(29), pages 847-872.
    6. Julia Mikolai & Hill Kulu, 2019. "Union dissolution and housing trajectories in Britain," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 41(7), pages 161-196.
    7. Roselinde Wiel & Niels Kooiman & Clara H. Mulder, 2021. "Family Complexity and Parents’ Migration: The Role of Repartnering and Distance to Non-Resident Children," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 37(4), pages 877-907, November.
    8. Júlia Mikolai & Hill Kulu, 2018. "Divorce, Separation, and Housing Changes: A Multiprocess Analysis of Longitudinal Data from England and Wales," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 55(1), pages 83-106, February.
    9. Isaure Delaporte & Hill Kulu, 2024. "Family Formation and Employment Changes Among Descendants of Immigrants in France: A Multiprocess Analysis," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 40(1), pages 1-77, December.
    10. Hill Kulu & Tina Hannemann, 2016. "Introduction to research on immigrant and ethnic minority families in Europe," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 35(2), pages 31-46.
    11. Alon Pertzikovitz & Sergi Vidal & Helga A. G. Valk, 2024. "Residential Mobility in Childhood and Union Dissolution Later in Life," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 40(1), pages 1-29, December.
    12. Joseph Harrison & Katherine Keenan & Frank Sullivan & Hill Kulu, 2023. "Union formation and fertility amongst immigrants from Pakistan and their descendants in the United Kingdom: A multichannel sequence analysis," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 48(10), pages 271-320.
    13. Zheng Mu, 2025. "Life on the Move: A Mixed-Method Study on Internal Migration and Divorce in China," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 46(2), pages 572-585, June.
    14. Lisa Van Landschoot & Helga A. G. de Valk & Jan Van Bavel, 2017. "Fertility among descendants of immigrants in Belgium: The role of the partner," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 36(60), pages 1827-1858.
    15. Lahiri, Kajal & Yang, Liu, 2013. "Forecasting Binary Outcomes," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1025-1106, Elsevier.
    16. Zuzana Žilinčíková & Christine Schnor, 2021. "Who moves out and who keeps the home? Short-term and medium-term mobility consequences of grey divorce in Belgium," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 45(9), pages 291-328.
    17. Rafael González-Val & Miriam Marcén, 2024. "Divorce law reforms and house prices in Europe," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 517-549, December.
    18. Gusta G. Wachter & Helga A. G. Valk, 2022. "Cohort Succession in the Timing of Marriage Among the Children of Turkish and Moroccan Immigrants," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 38(3), pages 485-516, August.
    19. Rosalind Edwards & Susie Weller & Emma Davidson & Lynn Jamieson, 2023. "Small Stories of Home Moves: A Gendered and Generational Breadth-and-Depth Investigation," Sociological Research Online, , vol. 28(1), pages 210-227, March.
    20. Bian, Xun & Jiang, Hanchen, 2026. "When Illness Strikes Home: The Impact of Severe Health Shocks on Homeownership," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1766, Global Labor Organization (GLO).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:55:y:2026:i:4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Editorial Office (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.demogr.mpg.de/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.